St Louis Blues (6) vs. Calgary Flames (-153) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

The St. Louis Blues will be on the road Saturday taking the ice against the Flames at the Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary. The Blues will be looking to keep their winning streak alive after beating the Oilers 5-2 in Edmonton on Wednesday. The Flames will be looking for a third consecutive win after getting the best of the New Jersey Devils 5-2 their last time on the ice.

 

The St. Louis Blues are now 11-3-3 on the season following a 5-2 win against the Edmonton Oilers. The Blues were outshot 25-34 in the game but managed to win 36 of 61 faceoffs. St. Louis was able to score a goal on two of their three power-play opportunities while defending the net two of the three times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 15 blocked shots and 11 takeaways in the game.

 

The Blues have been good for an average of 3.18 goals per game this season while giving up 2.82 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 28.4 shots per game while allowing 30.6 on the defensive end of the ice. St. Louis has scored 14 power-play goals for a 25.9 conversion rate to go with an 80.8 penalty kill percentage.

 

The Calgary Flames are now 10-7-2 on the season following a 5-2 win against the New Jersey Devils. Calgary was able to outshoot the Devils 38-23 in the game but only managed to win 33 of 72 faceoffs. The Flames were able to score a goal on two of their six power-play opportunities while defending the net each of the three times they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had nine blocked shots and nine takeaways in the game.

 

Calgary has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 2.89 goals per game for the season while giving up the same number to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 31.3 shots per game while allowing 31.8 on the defensive end of the ice. They have 12 power-play goals this season for an 18.8 conversion rate to go with an 88.4 penalty kill percentage.

 

The Bles will take the ice on Saturday as 117 underdogs with the total sitting at six in the game. The Blues have been hot on the ice as of late. They are scoring more goals per game than the Flames with both teams giving up around the same number. Calgary spends an average of 70 more minutes in the penalty box per game and I see that being the difference in the game. The Blues are simply too sharp on the power-play for a team to spend that many minutes a night skating a man down.

 

St. Louis is 4-0 in their last four games after giving up two goals or less in the previous game.

St. Louis is 4-0 in their previous four games on the road. St. Louis is 12-2 in their previous 14 games on two days of rest.

Flames are 2-9 in their last 11 games after allowing two goals or less in the previous game.

 

 

St Louis Blues 1.5   ( 133 ) Vs. Calgary Flames Calgary Flames -1.5  ( -153 ) Vs. St Louis Blues
St Louis Blues

St Louis Blues
O/U :6

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-09
Time: 22:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Calgary Flames

Calgary Flames
SIDE :-153

2.6 Forecast
(O/U 5.16 )
2.56
18% C.O.W 40%
42% C.O.G.O 42%
-114 DMVI -101
(A) BULLISH MVI (B) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
St Louis Blues Calgary Flames
Season Record : 11-6 Season Record : 9-9
Away Record : 6-3 Away Record : 4-7
Home Record : 5-3 Home Record : 5-2
Line : 1.5 Line : -1.5
O/U : 6 O/U : 6
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 5 – 2 vs Edmonton Oilers Last game: Won 2 – 5 vs New Jersey Devils
SU: 24-23 ATS: 27-21-0 O/U: 21-21-6
SU: 6-5 ATS: 6-6-0 O/U: 6-4-2
Current game: vs. Calgary Flames Current game: vs. St Louis Blues
SU: 20-20 ATS: 23-17-1 O/U: 14-25-2
SU: 20-20 ATS: 17-23-1 O/U: 14-25-2
Next Game: Vs. ARIZONA Next Game: Vs. DALLAS
SU: 16-18 ATS: 21-16-1 O/U: 17-19-2
SU: 17-18 ATS: 14-21-0 O/U: 13-21-1
Days Rest : 2 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (54.3 %) ATS:  (58.7%) O/U: (56.5%)
(L) SU: (58.3%) ATS: (49.2%) O/U: (49.2%)
(T) SU: (2-0) ATS: (2-0-0) O/U: (1-1-0)
(T) SU: (6-1) ATS: (4-3-0) O/U: (4-2-1)
Streaks : 6 SU Win – 3 ATS Win – 1 Over Streaks : 2 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 2 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 38.78% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 51.02%
Home Favorite: 5 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)2.63 Home Favorite: 5 Win -2 Lost   (GF)3.86 – (GA)2.71
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Favorite: 2 Win -2 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)4.25 Road Favorite: 2 Win -2 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)2
Road Underdog: 4 Win -1 Lost   (GF)2.8 – (GA)2.2 Road Underdog: 2 Win -5 Lost   (GF)2.43 – (GA)3.71
Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (GF)3.67 – (GA)2 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)3.67 – (GA)3
Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost    (GF)3.4 – (GA)2 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)4 – (GA)2.8
Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (GF)3.14 – (GA)2.43 Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)3.14 – (GA)2.57
Last 10 game: 8 Win 2 Lost   (GF)3.2 – (GA)2.5 Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.3 – (GA)2.9
Last 15 game: 10 Win 5 Lost   (GF)3.27 – (GA)2.93 Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)2.93
Situations (St Louis Blues) Situations (Calgary Flames)
Coming off a road underdog win (EDM) Coming off a home fav win (N.J.)
Coming off a 6 game winning streak Coming off a 2 game winning streak
Coming off 1 over Coming off 2 overs
Scored 5 or more goals FOR in last game Scored 5 or more goals FOR in last game
Scored 2 or less goals AGAINST in last game Scored 2 or less goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 5 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 5 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 3 goal win Coming off 2 game home stand
Coming off 3 game road stand Coming off a 3 goal win
Coming off 2 days off Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When ST LOUIS team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Non Division Opponent – Total is 6.0 – Allowed 2 or less goals AGAINST in their last game 15-4-0 9-7 3-12-4
Query ATS SU O/U
When CALGARY team played as a home team – Coming off vs Eastern Conference opponent – After a non conference game – Allowed 2 or less goals AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a 2 game Home stand 6-10-1 10-6 2-15-0
When ANY NHL Team played as a home team – Total is 6.0 – During the month of November – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite – Coming off 2 overs 7-8-0 6-7 0-13-2

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