Tampa Bay Lightning (-119) vs. St Louis Blues (6) Preview & Prediction (11/19/2019)

The Tampa Bay Lightning  will be on the road Tuesday taking the ice against the Blues at the Enterprise Center in St. Louis. The Lightning will be looking for a second win in three games following a 3-4 loss against the Jets in Winnipeg on Saturday. The Blues will be looking to snap a three-game streak following a 1-4 loss at home to the Anaheim ducks their last time on the ice.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are now 9-6-2 on the season following a 3-4 loss in Winnipeg to the Jets. The Lightning was able to outshoot the Jets 34-27 in the game but only managed to win 19 of 45 faceoffs. Tampa Bay was unable to score a goal on either of their two power-play opportunities but were able to defend the net three of the four times they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had eight blocked shots and 11 takeaways in the game.

The Lightning have been good for an average of 3.71 goals per game this season while giving up 3.47 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 32.6 shots per game while allowing 33.5 on the defensive end of the ice. Tampa Bay has scored 16 power-play goals for a 30.8 conversion rate to go with a 76.7 penalty kill percentage.

The St Louis Blues are now 12-4-5 on the year following a 1-4 loss at home to the Anaheim Ducks. St. Louis was able to outshoot the Ducks 38-25 while only winning 25 of 55 faceoffs. The Blues were unable to find the back of the net on any of their four power-play opportunities but managed to defend the net both of the times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had four blocked shots and five takeaways in the game.

St. Louis has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 2.95 goals per game for the season while giving up 2.81 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 29.0 shots per game while allowing 30.2 on the defensive end of the ice. They have 17 power-play goals this season for a 25.0 conversion rate to go with an 80.6 penalty kill percentage.

The Lightning will take the ice on Tuesday as -115 favorites with the Blues being -105 underdogs. The total for the game is sitting at six. I’m liking St. Louis to win at home in this one. No, they don’t score as many goals per game but they are stronger when it comes to defending the net. Also, the Lightning are spending an average of 58 more minutes per game in the penalty box and the Blues have been producing on the power-play. I’m liking St. Louis, here.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • Tampa Bay is 0-5 in their previous five games vs. the Central division.
  • Tampa Bay is 0-4 in their previous four games vs. the Western Conference.
  • Tampa Bay is 3-7 in their previous 10 games as a favorite on the road.
  • St. Louis is 5-1 in their last six after losing by three or more goals in the previous game.
Tampa Bay Lightning    ( -119 ) Vs. St Louis Blues St Louis Blues   ( -101 ) Vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning (-119) vs. St Louis Blues (6) Preview & Prediction (11/19/2019)

Tampa Bay Lightning
SIDE :-119

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-19
Time: 20:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Tampa Bay Lightning (-119) vs. St Louis Blues (6) Preview & Prediction (11/19/2019)

St Louis Blues
O/U :6

3.24 Forecast
(O/U 6.72 )
3.48
40% C.O.W 71%
49% C.O.G.O 49%
-175 DMVI -120
(B) NEUTRAL MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Tampa Bay Lightning St Louis Blues
Season Record : 9-8 Season Record : 12-9
Away Record : 5-5 Away Record : 7-4
Home Record : 4-3 Home Record : 5-5
Line : Line :
O/U : 6 O/U : 6
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 4 – 3 vs Winnipeg Jets Last game: Lost 4 – 1 vs Anaheim Ducks
SU: 10-21 ATS: 19-14-0 O/U: 19-12-2
SU: 17-9 ATS: 12-15-0 O/U: 12-9-6
Current game: vs. St Louis Blues Current game: vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
SU: 3-12 ATS: 6-9-0 O/U: 8-6-1
SU: 12-3 ATS: 9-6-0 O/U: 8-6-1
Next Game: At CHICAGO Next Game: Vs. CALGARY
SU: 7-7 ATS: 7-7-0 O/U: 7-7-0
SU: 16-16 ATS: 16-17-0 O/U: 15-16-2
Days Rest : 2 (Road) Days Rest : 2 (Home)
(L) SU:  (53.1 %) ATS:  (56.3%) O/U: (56.3%)
(L) SU: (61.8%) ATS: (47.4%) O/U: (48.7%)
(T) SU: (1-1) ATS: (1-1-0) O/U: (0-2-0)
(T) SU: (3-2) ATS: (1-4-0) O/U: (2-3-0)
Streaks : Streaks :
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: % Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %
Home Favorite: 4 Win -3 Lost   (GF)4.14 – (GA)3.29 Home Favorite: 5 Win -5 Lost   (GF)2.7 – (GA)2.8
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Favorite: 3 Win -5 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)3.75 Road Favorite: 2 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.6 – (GA)4
Road Underdog: 2 Win -0 Lost   (GF)5.5 – (GA)3 Road Underdog: 5 Win -1 Lost   (GF)2.83 – (GA)2.17
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)5.67 – (GA)3.33 Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (GF)1.67 – (GA)3.33
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (GF)4.4 – (GA)3.4 Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (GF)2.6 – (GA)2.8
Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)4.29 – (GA)3.86 Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)2.71 – (GA)2.57
Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (GF)3.7 – (GA)3.8 Last 10 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)2.6
Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (GF)3.73 – (GA)3.53 Last 15 game: 9 Win 6 Lost   (GF)2.87 – (GA)2.73
Situations (Tampa Bay Lightning) Situations (St Louis Blues)
Coming off a home fav lost (WIN) Coming off a home fav lost (ANA)
Coming off a 1 game losing streak Coming off a 3 game losing streak
Coming off 3 overs Coming off 4 unders
Scored 3 or less goals FOR in last game Scored 1 goal FOR in last game
Scored 4 or more goals AGAINST in last game Scored 4 or more goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 4 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 4 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 3 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 1 goal FOR in last game
Coming off a 1 goal loss Coming off 2 days off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When TAMPA BAY team played as a Road team – Vs Western conference opponent – After a non division game – Coming off a 3 game Home stand 2-10-0 1-11 2-8-2
Query ATS SU O/U
When ST LOUIS team played as a home team – With 2 days off – Allowed 4 goals AGAINST in their last game 17-7-0 20-4 11-11-2
When ST LOUIS team played as a home team – Before a non division game – playing on Tuesday – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite 6-7-1 10-3 2-10-2

 

 

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