Toronto Maple Leafs (6) vs. Arizona Coyotes (-130) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

The Toronto Maple Leafs will be on the road Thursday taking the ice against the Coyotes at Gila River Arena in Glendale. Toronto will be looking to put an end to their six-game losing streak following a 4-2 loss against the Golden Knights in Las Vegas on Tuesday. The Coyotes will be looking for a third win in a row following a 3-0 win at home against the Los Angeles Kings.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are now 9-10-4 following a 2-4 loss against the Golden Knights. The Maple Leafs were outshot 33-37 in the game while winning 35 of 65 faceoffs. Toronto was able to score a goal on one of their two power-play opportunities but gave up a goal both of the times they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had 19 blocked shots and eight takeaways in the game.

The Maple Leafs have been good for an average of 3.13 goals per game this season while giving up 3.43 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 33.2 shots per game while allowing 33.3 on the defensive end of the ice. Toronto has scored 13 power-play goals for a 17.6 conversion rate to go with a 73.1 penalty kill percentage.

The Arizona Coyotes are now 13-7-2 on the season following a 3-0 win against the Kings. Arizona was outshot 27 to 31 in the game while winning 25 of 49 faceoffs. The Coyotes were able to score a goal on two of their four power-play opportunities while defending the net each of the four times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 25 blocked shots and nine takeaways in the game.

Arizona has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 2.77 goals per game for the season while giving up 2.23 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 30.5 shots per game while allowing 31.6 on the defensive end of the ice. They have 12 power-play goals this season for a 17.1 conversion rate to go with an 82.1 penalty kill percentage.

The Coyotes will take the ice as -130 favorite on Thursday while Toronto skates in as 110 underdogs. The total is sitting at six on the game. I’m liking Arizona to win the game skating at their own rink. They are the stronger defending the net and have a much higher percentage on the penalty kill. I think a power-play goal could be what puts the Coyotes in the winner’s column in this one.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • Toronto is 0-5 in their last five games vs. an opponent who gives up two goals or less in their previous game.
  • Toronto is 0-4 in their previous four games on the road.
  • Arizona is 4-0 in their previous four games on two days of rest.
  • Coyotes are 4-1 in their previous five games.
Toronto Maple Leafs    ( 110 ) Vs. Arizona Coyotes Arizona Coyotes   ( -130 ) Vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs (6) vs. Arizona Coyotes (-130) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

Toronto Maple Leafs
O/U :6

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-21
Time: 21:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Toronto Maple Leafs (6) vs. Arizona Coyotes (-130) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

Arizona Coyotes
SIDE :-130

3.31 Forecast
(O/U 6.27 )
2.96
80% C.O.W 37%
69% C.O.G.O 69%
130 DMVI -141
(C) BEARISH MVI (B) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Toronto Maple Leafs Arizona Coyotes
Season Record : 9-14 Season Record : 13-9
Away Record : 3-7 Away Record : 7-5
Home Record : 6-7 Home Record : 6-4
Line : Line :
O/U : 6 O/U : 6
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 2 – 4 vs Vegas Golden Knights Last game: Won 0 – 3 vs Los Angeles Kings
SU: 0-1 ATS: 0-1-0 O/U: 0-1-0
SU: 33-36 ATS: 37-33-2 O/U: 34-36-2
Current game: vs. Arizona Coyotes Current game: vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
SU: 4-10 ATS: 7-8-0 O/U: 7-8-0
SU: 10-4 ATS: 8-7-0 O/U: 7-8-0
Next Game: At COLORADO Next Game: At LOS ANGELES
SU: 4-10 ATS: 7-8-0 O/U: 7-7-1
SU: 31-26 ATS: 24-34-1 O/U: 24-33-2
Days Rest : 1 (Road) Days Rest : 2 (Home)
(L) SU:  (41.5 %) ATS:  (53.7%) O/U: (49%)
(L) SU: (59.5%) ATS: (46.4%) O/U: (50%)
(T) SU: (2-0) ATS: (2-0-0) O/U: (1-1-0)
(T) SU: (1-0) ATS: (1-0-0) O/U: (0-1-0)
Streaks : 6 SU Lost – 3 ATS Lost – 1 Under Streaks : 2 SU Win – 5 ATS Win – 4 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 46.94% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98%
Home Favorite: 6 Win -7 Lost   (GF)3.23 – (GA)3.23 Home Favorite: 4 Win -3 Lost   (GF)2.86 – (GA)1.86
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Home Underdog: 2 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)1.33
Road Favorite: 3 Win -1 Lost   (GF)4.25 – (GA)2.75 Road Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)2
Road Underdog: 0 Win -6 Lost   (GF)2.33 – (GA)4.67 Road Underdog: 6 Win -5 Lost   (GF)2.91 – (GA)2.73
Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (GF)1.67 – (GA)4.67 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)2.67 – (GA)1
Last 5 game: 0 Win 5 Lost    (GF)2.6 – (GA)4.8 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)3 – (GA)1.6
Last 7 game: 1 Win 6 Lost   (GF)2.43 – (GA)4 Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)2.86 – (GA)2.14
Last 10 game: 3 Win 7 Lost   (GF)2.7 – (GA)3.6 Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (GF)2.9 – (GA)2.1
Last 15 game: 5 Win 10 Lost   (GF)2.8 – (GA)3.53 Last 15 game: 9 Win 6 Lost   (GF)2.87 – (GA)2.4
Situations (Toronto Maple Leafs) Situations (Arizona Coyotes)
Coming off a road underdog lost (Vegas) Coming off a home fav win (LAK)
Coming off a 6 game losing streak Coming off a 2 game winning streak
Coming off 1 under Coming off 4 unders
Scored 2 or less goals FOR in last game Scored 3 or more goals FOR in last game
Scored 4 or more goals AGAINST in last game Scored 0 or less goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 4 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 0 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 3 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 2 goal loss Coming off 2 game home stand
Coming off 2 game road stand Coming off a 3 goal win
Coming off 1 day off Coming off 2 days off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When TORONTO team played as a Road team – With 1 day off – Last 5 years – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog – Scored 2 goals FOR in their last game 10-2-0 5-7 6-6-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When ARIZONA team Played as Home team as a Favorite – With 2 days off – Coming off a 2 game winning streak 5-5-0 8-2 3-7-0
When ARIZONA team Played as Home team as a Favorite – before a division game – After a conference game – Coming off a 2 game Home stand 7-5-0 9-2 7-4-1

 

 

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