Toronto Maple Leafs (6.5) vs. Washington Capitals (-125) Preview & Prediction (10/16/2019)

The Toronto Maple Leafs will be on the road on Wednesday taking the ice against the Capitals at Capital One Arena in Washington D.C. Toronto will be looking for a third consecutive win after coming out on top 4-2 against the Minnesota Wild Tuesday night.

The Washington Capitals will be looking for their second win in three games after losing 3-6 at home against the Colorado Avalanche. Washington has been scoring plenty of goals. They simply haven’t been able to keep their opponents out of the net. They will have to step it up on the defensive end of the ice Wednesday night.

The Toronto Maple Leafs have back-to-back wins after coming out on top 4-2 against the Wild their last time on the ice. The Maple Leafs outshot Minnesota 34-29 but only won 24 of 53 faceoffs. They were able to light the lantern twice on three power-play opportunities while defending the net each of the three times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. Toronto was good for 11 blocked shots and six takeaways in the game.

On the season, Toronto has been able to find the net for an average of four goals per game while giving up 3.29 to their opponents. They are firing an average of 35 shots per game while allowing 30.9 on the defensive end of the ice. The Maple Leafs have seven power-play goals on the season with a 28 percent conversion rate. They have been able to build a penalty kill percentage of 81.0.

The Washington Capitals will be looking to get back on track after a 3-6 loss against the Colorado Avalanche on Monday. The Capitals outshot Colorado 32-25 and won 38 of 66 faceoffs. They had two power-play opportunities in the game but failed to find the net on either of them. They gave up one goal the four times they were forced to skate shorthanded. Washington had 19 blocked shots and nine takeaways in the game.

The Capitals have been able to find the net for an average of 3.14 goals per game this season while giving up 3.29. They have averaged 30.1 shots per night while allowing 27.1 on the defensive end of the ice. Washington has six power-play goals this year for a 22.2 conversion percentage to go with a penalty kill percentage of 84.0.

The numbers are pretty even across the board in this one. I think the biggest advantage of the game will be playing with the home crowd. I’m liking the Capitals to win on their own ice.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • Toronto is 0-4 playing on zero days rest
  • Toronto is 0-4 previous four games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Washington is 6-2 previous eight games following a loss of three or more goals.
  • Washington is 9-3 last 12 after giving up at least five goals in the previous game.

Leafs vs. Capitals Game Notes

 

Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5   ( 105 ) Vs. Washington Capitals Washington Capitals -1.5  ( -125 ) Vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto Maple Leafs
O/U :6.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-10-16
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Washington Capitals

Washington Capitals
SIDE :-125

3.48 Forecast
(O/U 6.67 )
3.19
38% C.O.W 62%
31% C.O.G.O 31%
-182 DMVI -108
(B) NEUTRAL MVI (C) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Toronto Maple Leafs Washington Capitals
Season Record : 4-3 Season Record : 3-4
Away Record : 2-0 Away Record : 3-1
Home Record : 2-3 Home Record : 0-3
Line : 1.5 Line : -1.5
O/U : 6.5 O/U : 6.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 2 – 4 vs Minnesota Wild Last game: Lost 6 – 3 vs Colorado Avalanche
SU: 4-9 ATS: 4-9-0 O/U: 5-7-1
SU: 10-6 ATS: 7-9-0 O/U: 9-6-1
Current game: vs. Washington Capitals Current game: vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
SU: 14-26 ATS: 22-20-0 O/U: 20-21-1
SU: 26-14 ATS: 20-22-0 O/U: 20-21-1
Next Game: Vs. BOSTON Next Game: Vs. NY RANGERS
SU: 16-17 ATS: 21-14-0 O/U: 18-15-2
SU: 20-13 ATS: 16-18-0 O/U: 14-14-6
Days Rest : 0 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (35.7 %) ATS:  (42.9%) O/U: (57.1%)
(L) SU: (56.4%) ATS: (48.7%) O/U: (51.3%)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (0-1) ATS: (0-1-0) O/U: (1-0-0)
Streaks : 2 SU Win – 2 ATS Win – 1 Push Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 37.14% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 54.42%
Home Favorite: 2 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.8 – (GA)4.2 Home Favorite: 0 Win -3 Lost   (GF)2.67 – (GA)4.33
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost   (GF)4.5 – (GA)1.5 Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Road Underdog: 3 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3.5 – (GA)2.5
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)4 – (GA)3.67 Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (GF)4 – (GA)4.33
Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (GF)3.8 – (GA)4 Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (GF)3.4 – (GA)4
Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)3.43 Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.14 – (GA)3.29
Last 10 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)3.43 Last 10 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.14 – (GA)3.29
Last 15 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)3.43 Last 15 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.14 – (GA)3.29
Situations (Toronto Maple Leafs) Situations (Washington Capitals)
Coming off a home fav win (MIN) Coming off a home fav lost (COL)
Coming off a 2 game winning streak Coming off a 1 game losing streak
Coming off 1 push Coming off 1 over
Scored 4 or more goals FOR in last game Scored 3 or less goals FOR in last game
Scored 2 or less goals AGAINST in last game Scored 6 or more goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 6 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 4 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 3 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 2 goal win Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NHL Team played as a Road team – before a division game – Last 3 years – playing on Wednesday – Coming off vs Western Conference opponent – Scored 4 or more goals FOR in their last game – Coming off a 2 game winning streak 20-5-0 16-9 12-11-2
Query ATS SU O/U
When WASHINGTON team played as a home team – Last 2 years – After a non division game – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite 5-6-0 9-2 5-4-2

 

What is the Raymond Report?

The Raymond Report is a detailed sport analytical tipsheet, breaking down upcoming game matchups between two teams. The information provided in the Raymond Reports, gives the players a statistical advantage, which they can apply to their betting strategies. Get the information the sportsbooks don’t want you to know about today!

Atsstats

 

Where to Bet?