Vegas Golden Knights (-140) vs. New York Rangers (6.5) Preview (12/02/2019)

The Las Vegas Golden Knights will be on the road Monday taking the ice against the Rangers at Madison Square Garden in New York. The Golden Knights will be looking for a third consecutive win after beating the Arizona Coyotes 2-1 in a shootout in Las Vegas on Friday. The Rangers will be looking for back-to-back wins after beating the Devils 4-0 in New Jersey their last time on the ice.

 

The Las Vegas Golden Knights are now 13-11-4 on the season following a 2-1 shootout win at home against the Arizona Coyotes. The Golden Knights were able to outshoot Arizona 38-36 in the game while winning 31 of 57 faceoffs. Las Vegas was able to score a goal on one of their five power-play opportunities while defending the net the one time they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 16 blocked shots and seven takeaways in the game.

 

The Golden Knights have been good for an average of 2.86 goals per game this season while giving up 2.89 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 33.6 shots per game while allowing 31.8 on the defensive end of the ice. Las Vegas has scored 19 power-play goals for a 21.1 conversion rate to go with an 84.6 penalty kill percentage.

 

The New York Rangers are now 13-9-3 following a 4-0 win against the Devils in New Jersey. New York was outshot 23-33 in the game while winning 30 of 53 faceoffs. The Rangers were able to score a goal on one of their two power-play opportunities while defending the net each of the eight times they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had 11 blocked shots and six takeaways in the game.

 

New York has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 3.32 goals per game for the season while giving up 3.28 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 29.2 shots per game while allowing 35.8 on the defensive end of the ice. They have 18 power-play goals this season for a 20.0 conversion rate to go with a 76.8 penalty kill percentage.

 

As of Sunday night, both the line and the totals were off for this game. I’m liking the Rangers offense in this matchup. According to the numbers, Las Vegas is a much better team at the defensive end of the ice. That being said, if you look at their previous five games, the Knights have been giving up some goals. I think playing at home gives New York all the edge they need to win the game. I won’t be surprised if they put the puck in the net three of four times. My money’s on the Rangers.

 

Vegas Golden Knights -1.5   ( -140 ) Vs. New York Rangers New York Rangers 1.5  ( 120 ) Vs. Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights

Vegas Golden Knights
SIDE :-140

Vs.
Date: 2019-12-02
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
New York Rangers

New York Rangers
O/U :6.5

2.75 Forecast
(O/U 5.55 )
2.8
43% C.O.W 41%
61% C.O.G.O 61%
-102 DMVI 117
(C) NEUTRAL PVI (B) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

PVI = (Performance Value Index) – The Performance Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.
Raymond Report
Vegas Golden Knights New York Rangers
Season Record : 13-15 Season Record : 13-12
Away Record : 6-7 Away Record : 5-6
Home Record : 7-8 Home Record : 8-6
Line : -1.5 Line : 1.5
O/U : 6.5 O/U : 6.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 1 – 2 vs Arizona Coyotes Last game: Won 4 – 0 vs New Jersey Devils
SU: 0-1 ATS: 0-1-0 O/U: 1-0-0
SU: 25-44 ATS: 21-50-0 O/U: 23-43-5
Current game: vs. New York Rangers Current game: vs. Vegas Golden Knights
SU: 1-1 ATS: 0-2-0 O/U: 2-0-0
SU: 1-1 ATS: 2-0-0 O/U: 2-0-0
Next Game: At NEW JERSEY Next Game: At COLUMBUS
SU: 2-0 ATS: 0-2-0 O/U: 0-2-0
SU: 4-9 ATS: 4-10-1 O/U: 5-8-2
Days Rest : 2 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (52.3 %) ATS:  (58.1%) O/U: (53.5%)
(L) SU: (58.2%) ATS: (45.9%) O/U: (51.4%)
(T) SU: (1-1) ATS: (0-2-0) O/U: (1-1-0)
(T) SU: (6-3) ATS: (7-2-0) O/U: (2-7-0)
Streaks : 2 SU Win – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Under Streaks : 1 SU Win – 5 ATS Win – 4 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 53.06% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.1%
Home Favorite: 7 Win -8 Lost   (GF)3.27 – (GA)3 Home Favorite: 2 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.2 – (GA)3.6
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Home Underdog: 6 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.78 – (GA)2.89
Road Favorite: 5 Win -4 Lost   (GF)2.78 – (GA)2.44 Road Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)1
Road Underdog: 1 Win -3 Lost   (GF)2.25 – (GA)3.5 Road Underdog: 4 Win -6 Lost   (GF)2.9 – (GA)3.8
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)2.67 – (GA)2.67 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)3 – (GA)1.67
Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (GF)2.2 – (GA)2.8 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)3.6 – (GA)2.4
Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)2.29 Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (GF)3.29 – (GA)2.43
Last 10 game: 4 Win 6 Lost   (GF)2.9 – (GA)2.8 Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.2 – (GA)3.2
Last 15 game: 5 Win 10 Lost   (GF)2.73 – (GA)3 Last 15 game: 9 Win 6 Lost   (GF)3.33 – (GA)3.2
Situations (Vegas Golden Knights) Situations (New York Rangers)
Coming off a home fav win (PHX) Coming off a road underdog win (N.J.)
Coming off a 2 game winning streak Coming off 1 game winning streak
Coming off 1 under Coming off 4 unders
Scored 2 or more goals FOR in last game Scored 4 or more goals FOR in last game
Scored 1 goal AGAINST in last game Scored 0 or less goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 1 goal AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 0 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 4 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 1 goal win Coming off 2 game road stand
Coming off 2 days off Coming off a Division sandwich
Coming off a 4 goal win
3 game in 4 nights
Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U

 

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The Raymond Report is a unique Sports Analytics tip sheet based on the 3-Key Fundamentals of Sports Handicapping;
A) Line/Price Value ($): When calculating the “Value” of a line or price, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a past game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game. (Perception vs. Reality = Value)
B) Percentage Play (%): Every time a team wins or covers (Side or Totals), their chances of repeating that same action decreases, based on the law of average theory.
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