Vegas Golden Knights (6.5) vs. Washington Capitals (-125) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

The Las Vegas Golden Knights will be on the road Saturday taking the ice against the Capitals at Capital One Arena in Washington D.C. The Golden Knights will be looking for their second win in three games following a 2-1 loss in Toronto against the Maple Leafs on Thursday. The Capitals will be looking to keep their winning streak rolling following a 4-5 win in Florida against the Panthers their last time on the ice.

 

The Las Vegas Golden Knights are now 9-5-3 on the season following a 2-1 overtime loss in Toronto against the Maple Leafs. The Golden Knights were able to outshoot Toronto 38 to 37 in the game but only managed to win 31 of 67 faceoffs. Las Vegas was unable to score on any of their five power-play opportunities but were able to defend the net each of the four times they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had 20 blocked shots and seven takeaways in the game.

 

The Golden Knights have been good for an average of 2.94 goals per game this season while giving up 2.82 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 34.3 shots per game while allowing 32.9 on the defensive end of the ice. Las Vegas has scored 13 power-play goals for a 21.7 conversion rate to go with an 89.2 penalty kill percentage.

 

The Washington Capitals have now won six games in a row after beating the Florida Panthers 5-4 in overtime on Thursday. Washington was outshot 31-36 in the game with both teams winning 30 faceoffs. The Capitals were able to find the net on one of their four power-play opportunities and defended the net four of the five times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 15 blocked shots and 13 takeaways in the game.

 

Washington has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 4.00 goals per game for the season while giving up 3.12 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 30.8 shots per game while allowing 31.0 on the defensive end of the ice. They have 15 power-play goals this season for a 25.9 conversion rate to go with an 85.7 penalty kill percentage.

 

The Washington Capitals will take the ice as -130 favorites on Saturday with the total sitting at six and a half in the game. I’m liking the Caps to get the win at home in this one. Yes, they give up a higher number of goals per game but it’s hard to beat a team that finds the back of the net four times a night. Washington is stronger on the power-play and I think the penalty box will play a role in the Capitals getting a win on Saturday.

 

Las Vegas is 12-44 in their previous 56 games as an underdog.

Las Vegas is 0-4 in their previous four games vs. a team with a winning record.

Capitals are 7-0 in their last seven games vs. an opponent who gives up two goals or less in their previous game.

Capitals are 5-1 in their previous six games as a favorite.

 

Vegas Golden Knights 1.5   ( 105 ) Vs. Washington Capitals Washington Capitals -1.5  ( -125 ) Vs. Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights

Vegas Golden Knights
O/U :6.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-09
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Washington Capitals

Washington Capitals
SIDE :-125

2.99 Forecast
(O/U 6.36 )
3.37
57% C.O.W 15%
44% C.O.G.O 44%
-147 DMVI -173
(B) NEUTRAL MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Vegas Golden Knights Washington Capitals
Season Record : 9-7 Season Record : 11-5
Away Record : 5-2 Away Record : 7-2
Home Record : 4-5 Home Record : 4-3
Line : 1.5 Line : -1.5
O/U : 6.5 O/U : 6.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 1 – 2 vs Toronto Maple Leafs Last game: Won 5 – 4 vs Florida Panthers
SU: 1-1 ATS: 2-0-0 O/U: 1-1-0
SU: 26-18 ATS: 20-26-0 O/U: 25-19-2
Current game: vs. Washington Capitals Current game: vs. Vegas Golden Knights
SU: 1-3 ATS: 0-4-0 O/U: 3-1-0
SU: 3-1 ATS: 4-0-0 O/U: 3-1-0
Next Game: At DETROIT Next Game: Vs. ARIZONA
SU: 1-0 ATS: 1-0-0 O/U: 0-1-0
SU: 6-5 ATS: 4-7-1 O/U: 4-7-1
Days Rest : 1 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (40.2 %) ATS:  (52.7%) O/U: (48.2%)
(L) SU: (58.3%) ATS: (49.2%) O/U: (49.2%)
(T) SU: (2-3) ATS: (3-2-0) O/U: (1-4-0)
(T) SU: (3-1) ATS: (2-2-0) O/U: (3-1-0)
Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 ATS Win – 2 Under Streaks : 5 SU Win – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.9% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98%
Home Favorite: 4 Win -5 Lost   (GF)3.44 – (GA)3.44 Home Favorite: 4 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.86 – (GA)3
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Favorite: 5 Win -2 Lost   (GF)2.86 – (GA)2.14 Road Favorite: 1 Win -1 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)3.5
Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Road Underdog: 6 Win -1 Lost   (GF)4.14 – (GA)3
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (GF)2 – (GA)2.33 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (GF)5 – (GA)2.33
Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (GF)3 – (GA)2.8 Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost    (GF)5 – (GA)3
Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)2.57 – (GA)3 Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (GF)4.71 – (GA)3.14
Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (GF)2.6 – (GA)2.9 Last 10 game: 9 Win 1 Lost   (GF)4.7 – (GA)3
Last 15 game: 7 Win 8 Lost   (GF)2.87 – (GA)3.07 Last 15 game: 10 Win 5 Lost   (GF)4.27 – (GA)3.33
Situations (Vegas Golden Knights) Situations (Washington Capitals)
Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent. (TOR) Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent. (FLO)
Coming off a road underdog lost Coming off a road favorite win
Coming off a 1 game losing streak Coming off a 5 game winning streak
Coming off 2 unders Coming off 1 over
Scored 1 goal FOR in last game Scored 5 or more goals FOR in last game
Scored 2 or more goals AGAINST in last game Scored 4 or less goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 4 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 1 goal FOR in last game Coming off a scored 5 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 1 goal loss Coming off a 1 goal win
Coming off 2 game road stand Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When WASHINGTON team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Before a non division game – During the month of November – Allowed 4 or less goals AGAINST in their last game – Coming off 1 over 9-7-0 14-1 6-8-2
When WASHINGTON team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Before a non division game – Scored 5 or more goals FOR in their last game – Coming off a Road win as a Favorite 9-3-0 10-2 5-5-2

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