Winnipeg Jets (5.5) vs. Dallas Stars (-165) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

The Winnipeg Jets will be on the road Thursday taking the ice against the Stars at American Airlines Arena in Dallas. The Jets will be looking for a fourth consecutive win following a 2-1 win against the Predators in Nashville on Tuesday night. The Stars will be looking for their fifth win in a row after beating the Vancouver Canucks 6-1 in Dallas their last time on the ice.

The Winnipeg Jets are now 13-8-1 on the season following a 2-1 win against the Predators in Nashville. The Jets were outshot 25-39 in the game while winning 26 of 50 faceoffs. Winnipeg was unable to score on either of their two power-play opportunities but defended the net both of the times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 16 blocked shots and nine takeaways in the game.

The Jets have been good for an average of 2.68 goals per game this season while giving up 2.91 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 32.5 shots per game while allowing 33.4 on the defensive end of the ice. Winnipeg has scored 11 power-play goals for a 16.7 conversion rate to go with a 74.5 penalty kill percentage.

The Dallas Stars  are now 12-8-2 on the season following a 6-1 win at home against the Vancouver Canucks. Dallas was outshot 31-33 in the game while winning 38 of 62 faceoffs. The Stars were able to score a goal on one of their three power-play opportunities while defending the net each of the five times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 15 blocked shots and seven takeaways in the game.

Dallas has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 2.77 goals per game for the season while giving up 2.36 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 30.0 shots per game while allowing 30.2 on the defensive end of the ice. They have nine power-play goals this season for a 14.1 conversion rate to go with an 84.0 penalty kill percentage.

The Stars will take the ice on Thursday as -148 favorites while the Jets skate in as 128 underdogs. The total is sitting at five and a half on the game. I’m liking the total to stay under 5.5 in this one. Both of these teams are keeping their opponents under three goals per game and neither of them are averaging three goals a night themselves. I not only see this one staying close, I see the score staying low as well.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • The under is 3-0-1 in Winnipeg’s last four games after allowing two goals or less in their previous game.
  • The under is 5-0 in Winnipeg’s previous five games as a +100 to +150 underdog.
  • The under is 4-0 in Winnipeg’s previous four games vs. the Central division.
  • The under is 6-1-1 in Dallas’ previous eight games vs. the Central division.
Winnipeg Jets    ( 144 ) Vs. Dallas Stars Dallas Stars   ( -165 ) Vs. Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg Jets (5.5) vs. Dallas Stars (-165) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

Winnipeg Jets
O/U :5.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-21
Time: 20:35:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Winnipeg Jets (5.5) vs. Dallas Stars (-165) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

Dallas Stars
SIDE :-165

3.38 Forecast
(O/U 6.62 )
3.24
20% C.O.W 23%
41% C.O.G.O 41%
-103 DMVI -112
(B) BULLISH MVI (B) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Winnipeg Jets Dallas Stars
Season Record : 13-9 Season Record : 12-10
Away Record : 8-3 Away Record : 6-6
Home Record : 5-6 Home Record : 6-4
Line : Line :
O/U : 5.5 O/U : 5.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 2 – 1 vs Nashville Predators Last game: Won 1 – 6 vs Vancouver Canucks
SU: 11-11 ATS: 19-3-0 O/U: 9-12-1
SU: 19-18 ATS: 16-22-0 O/U: 20-14-4
Current game: vs. Dallas Stars Current game: vs. Winnipeg Jets
SU: 8-12 ATS: 13-7-0 O/U: 7-11-2
SU: 12-8 ATS: 7-13-0 O/U: 7-11-2
Next Game: Vs. COLUMBUS Next Game: Vs. CHICAGO
SU: 5-4 ATS: 6-3-0 O/U: 6-3-0
SU: 34-13 ATS: 28-21-0 O/U: 17-26-6
Days Rest : 1 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (41.5 %) ATS:  (53.7%) O/U: (49%)
(L) SU: (57.2%) ATS: (47%) O/U: (50%)
(T) SU: (4-1) ATS: (4-1-0) O/U: (2-3-0)
(T) SU: (1-3) ATS: (1-3-0) O/U: (0-4-0)
Streaks : 3 SU Win – 3 ATS Win – 1 Under Streaks : 4 SU Win – 9 ATS Win – 3 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 42.86%
Home Favorite: 4 Win -6 Lost   (GF)2.1 – (GA)2.8 Home Favorite: 6 Win -3 Lost   (GF)2.89 – (GA)1.89
Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)1 Home Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)3
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Road Favorite: 0 Win -3 Lost   (GF)1.67 – (GA)3.67
Road Underdog: 8 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.45 – (GA)3.27 Road Underdog: 6 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.11 – (GA)2.44
Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (GF)3.33 – (GA)2.33 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (GF)5 – (GA)2.33
Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)2.6 – (GA)2.6 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)4 – (GA)2.2
Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (GF)2.57 – (GA)2.29 Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)1.86
Last 10 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (GF)2.9 – (GA)2.8 Last 10 game: 8 Win 2 Lost   (GF)3.6 – (GA)2
Last 15 game: 9 Win 6 Lost   (GF)2.47 – (GA)2.6 Last 15 game: 11 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.2 – (GA)2
Situations (Winnipeg Jets) Situations (Dallas Stars)
Coming off a road underdog win (NAS) Coming off a home fav win (VAN)
Coming off a 3 game winning streak Coming off a 4 game winning streak
Coming off 1 under Coming off 3 overs
Scored 2 or more goals FOR in last game Scored 6 or more goals FOR in last game
Scored 1 goal AGAINST in last game Scored 1 goal AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 1 goal AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 1 goal AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 6 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 1 goal win Coming off a 5 goal win
Coming off 3 game road stand Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When WINNIPEG team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Division Opponent – Coming off a 3 game Road stand 9-1-0 5-5 4-6-0
When WINNIPEG team Played as Road team as a Underdog – During the month of November – Coming off a 1 goal win 20-5-0 15-10 11-14-0
When WINNIPEG team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Before a non division game – Total is 5.5 – Coming off a 3 game Road stand 10-1-1 4-6 4-8-0
When ANY NHL Team Played as Road team as a Underdog – With 1 day off – Last 3 years – Coming off 1 under – Coming off a 3 game Road stand 32-8-0 19-21 14-23-3
Query ATS SU O/U

 

 

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