Categories: CFB

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction (11/27/2020)

Notre Dame running back Kyren Williams (23) fends off Clemson Tigers safety Nolan Turner (24) on his way to a touchdown during the first quarter of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 7, 2020, in South Bend, Ind. (Matt Cashore/Pool Photo via AP)

Sports Handicapper Ron Raymond has released his free Raymond Report preview and prediction on today’s College Football game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels for Friday, November 27th, 2020.

RAYMOND REPORT LITE (NCAAF)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (5.5) vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (69.5) Preview (11/27/2020)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish -5.5 ( -213 ) Vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (Total:69.5)

North Carolina Tar Heels +5.5 ( +184 ) Vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Total:69.5)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish SIDE :5.5	Vs. Date: 2020-11-27 Time: 16:30:00 Generated from 6 Previous Games	North Carolina Tar Heels O/U :69.5
34.75	Forecast (O/U 63.13 )	28.38
5-0	L5(SU)	3-2
3-2-0	L5(ATS)	2-3-0
3-2-0	L5(O/U)	4-1-0
86.36%	C.O.W	19.05%
42%	C.O.C	58%
27%	C.O.G.O	27%
-21.73	MSV	-12.38
(A) BULLISH	PVI	(A) NEUTRAL
1-0	SU	3-0
1-0-0	ATS	2-1-0
1-0-0	O/U	3-0-0

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL,NFL & NCAAF)

C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The ‘Law of Average’ edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.
BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction (11/27/2020)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

North Carolina Tar Heels

Line : -5.5

Line : 5.5

Money Line : -213

Money Line : +184

O/U : 69.5

Season Record :

SU: 8-0

ATS: 4-4-0

O/U: 5-3-0

SU: 6-2

ATS: 4-4-0

O/U: 5-3-0

Home Record :

SU: 5-0

ATS: 2-3-0

O/U: 3-2-0

SU: 4-0

ATS: 3-1-0

O/U: 3-1-0

Away Record :

SU: 3-0

ATS: 2-1-0

O/U: 2-1-0

SU: 2-2

ATS: 1-3-0

O/U: 2-2-0

Last game: Win 45 – 31 vs Boston College Eagles

Last game: Win 53 – 59 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons

SU: 13-10

ATS: 11-12-0

O/U: 8-15-0

SU: 14-11

ATS: 11-14-0

O/U: 12-9-4

Current game: vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

Current game: vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

SU: 1-1

ATS: 2-0-0

O/U: 1-1-0

SU: 1-1

ATS: 0-2-0

O/U: 1-1-0

Next Game: Vs.

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

Days Rest : 12 (RF)

Days Rest : 12 (HD)

(L) SU: (16-6-2 )

ATS: (9-13-2 )

O/U: (13-11-0)

(L) SU: ( 7-14-2)

ATS: (10-11-2)

O/U: (14-9-0)

(T) SU: (0-0)

ATS: (0-0-0)

O/U: (0-0-0)

(T) SU: (0-0)

ATS: (0-0-0)

O/U: (0-0-0)

Streaks : 8 SU Win – 2 ATS Win – 2 Over

Streaks : 2 SU Win – 1 ATS Lost – 4 Over

Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 33.33%

Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.56%

Situational Stats

Home Favorite: 4 Win -0 Lost (PF)33.25 – (PA)11.5

Home Favorite: 4 Win -0 Lost (PF)48.5 – (PA)31.25

Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost (PF)47 – (PA)40

Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A

Road Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost (PF)40.33 – (PA)15.67

Road Favorite: 2 Win -2 Lost (PF)37.75 – (PA)30.25

Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A

Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost (PF)41 – (PA)28

Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost (PF)52 – (PA)40.33

Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost (PF)36 – (PA)18.8

Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost (PF)46.4 – (PA)34.6

Last 7 game: 7 Win 0 Lost (PF)39.14 – (PA)17.14

Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost (PF)44.86 – (PA)34.29

Last 10 game: 8 Win 0 Lost (PF)37.63 – (PA)16.63

Last 10 game: 6 Win 2 Lost (PF)43.13 – (PA)30.75

Last 15 game: 8 Win 0 Lost (PF)37.63 – (PA)16.63

Last 15 game: 6 Win 2 Lost (PF)43.13 – (PA)30.75

Situations (Notre Dame Fighting Irish)

Situations (North Carolina Tar Heels)

Coming off a vs Atlantic Coast opponent (Boston College)

Coming off a vs Atlantic Coast opponent (Wake Forest)

Coming off a road favorite win

Coming off a home fav win

Coming off a 8 game winning streak

Coming off a 2 game winning streak

Coming off 2 overs

Coming off 4 overs

Coming off a game scored 40 points or more

Coming off a game scored 31 points or less against

Coming off 1 ATS lost

Trends

Query	ATS	SU	O/U
When Notre Dame team played as Road team as a Favorite – During the month of November – Coming off back to back SU wins – Allowed 31 points or less AGAINST in their last game	5-7-0	11-1	6-6-0
When Notre Dame team played as Road team as a Favorite – Vs Non Division Opponent – Scored 40 points or more FOR in their last game	9-4-1	13-1	7-7-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Road team as a Favorite – After a non conference game – During the month of November – Scored more than 40 points in back to back games – Coming off a game scored 40 points or more	14-12-0	23-3	15-11-0

Query	ATS	SU	O/U
When North Carolina team played as a Home team – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite	3-7-0	10-0	4-6-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – Last 5 years – During the month of November – After 12 to 15 days off – Coming off back to back SU wins – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite – Coming off a 1 ATS lost	8-3-0	10-1	5-5-1

Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a well-known sports handicapper who runs ATS Stats and the Raymond REPORT. He has over 21 years of experience in the industry and provides expert analysis and predictions for various sports, including football, baseball, hockey, and basketball.