Categories: MLB

Potential Profitable Betting Situations for Home and Road Favorites After Wins and Losses

Analyzing the performance of favorites in different scenarios can reveal valuable betting opportunities. Here’s a detailed look at the trends observed from the chart provided:

Home Favorites After a Loss

Overall Record: 268 Wins – 175 Losses
Key Insight: Home favorites bounce back fairly well after a loss, showing a winning record.
Specific Trends:
After 2 Losses: 65 Wins – 30 Losses
- Insight: A significant winning percentage, making it a strong situation to consider.
After 3 Losses: 23 Wins – 22 Losses
- Insight: The win-loss record is almost even, indicating a potential riskier bet.
After 4 Losses: 9 Wins – 17 Losses
- Insight: Home favorites struggle to recover after four consecutive losses.
After 5 or More Losses: 11 Wins – 5 Losses
- Insight: A small sample size, but shows a strong winning trend.

Road Favorites After a Loss

Overall Record: 156 Wins – 102 Losses
Key Insight: Road favorites also perform well after a loss but not as strongly as home favorites.
Specific Trends:
After 2 Losses: 35 Wins – 33 Losses
- Insight: Nearly even, suggesting caution.
After 3 Losses: 21 Wins – 12 Losses
- Insight: A good winning record, worth considering.
After 4 Losses: 6 Wins – 5 Losses
- Insight: A small sample size but slightly positive.
After 5 or More Losses: 4 Wins – 0 Losses
- Insight: Although a very small sample, indicates potential.

Home Favorites After a Win

Overall Record: 299 Wins – 223 Losses
Key Insight: Home favorites generally continue to perform well after a win.
Specific Trends:
After 2 Wins: 78 Wins – 58 Losses
- Insight: A positive trend, though not as strong as after losses.
After 3 Wins: 39 Wins – 26 Losses
- Insight: A good winning percentage, worth considering.
After 4 Wins: 21 Wins – 15 Losses
- Insight: Still positive but weaker.
After 5 or More Wins: 14 Wins – 5 Losses
- Insight: Strong winning trend, particularly noteworthy.

Road Favorites After a Win

Overall Record: 148 Wins – 122 Losses
Key Insight: Road favorites have a positive but not overwhelming record after a win.
Specific Trends:
After 2 Wins: 39 Wins – 32 Losses
- Insight: Positive but close.
After 3 Wins: 20 Wins – 13 Losses
- Insight: Good winning record, worth considering.
After 4 Wins: 6 Wins – 14 Losses
- Insight: Poor performance, high risk.
After 5 or More Wins: 1 Win – 3 Losses
- Insight: Very poor performance, best to avoid.

Conclusion

Based on the data, here are the key situations to track for potential profits:

Home Favorites After 2 Losses: With a 65-30 record, this scenario has a strong winning percentage, indicating a good opportunity.
Home Favorites After 5 or More Losses: Despite the small sample size, the 11-5 record suggests a potential high-value bet.
Road Favorites After 3 Losses: A solid 21-12 record makes this a worthwhile scenario.
Home Favorites After 5 or More Wins: A 14-5 record is a strong indicator of continued success.

These situations present the most promising opportunities for bettors to exploit based on past performance trends.

Home and Road Favorites Record After Wins and Losses

Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

See Full Bio