Raymond Report 2025 Super Bowl Fact Sheet

Raymond Report Super Bowl Fact Sheet

Sports handicapper Ron Raymond, this fact sheet provides key insights, trends, and betting angles for Super Bowl Sunday. Use this data-driven analysis to make informed wagers and maximize your edge.

Super Bowl Matchup:

• Kansas City Chiefs (-1) (-112) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (+1) (-101)
• Total: 48.5
• Date: Sunday, February 9, 2025
• Time: 7:30 PM ET

Game Forecast:

• Projected Score: Kansas City Chiefs 26.62 – Philadelphia Eagles 23.73
• Projected Total: 50.35 (leans OVER)

Recent Form:

• Kansas City Chiefs: 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U in last 5 games
• Philadelphia Eagles: 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U in last 5 games

Chances of Winning (C.O.W.):

• Chiefs: 60.87%
• Eagles: 35%

Chances of Covering (C.O.C.):

• Chiefs: 60%
• Eagles: 34%

Chances Game Going Over (C.O.G.O.):

• 53%

Value Index (PVI-SOS):

• Chiefs: Neutral
• Eagles: Bullish

Last Game Performance:

• Chiefs: Won 32-29 vs. Buffalo Bills
• Eagles: Won 55-23 vs. Washington Commanders

Overall Performance:

• Kansas City Chiefs: 17-2 SU, 9-10 ATS, 8-11 O/U
• Philadelphia Eagles: 17-3 SU, 13-7 ATS, 9-11 O/U

Home & Away Splits:

• Chiefs Home: 10-0 SU, 4-6 ATS, 5-5 O/U
• Eagles Home: 11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS, 5-7 O/U
• Chiefs Away: 7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS, 3-6 O/U
• Eagles Away: 6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS, 4-4 O/U

Situational Stats:

• Chiefs as Road Favorites: 5-0 SU, 25.8 PF – 16.2 PA
• Eagles as Road Favorites: 3-2 SU, 29.6 PF – 19.6 PA
• Chiefs Last 3 Games: 2-1 SU, 18.33 PF – 27 PA
• Eagles Last 3 Games: 3-0 SU, 35 PF – 18.33 PA
• Chiefs Last 5 Games: 4-1 SU, 22.2 PF – 22 PA
• Eagles Last 5 Games: 5-0 SU, 33.2 PF – 15 PA
• Chiefs Last 10 Games: 8-2 SU, 22.1 PF – 20.8 PA
• Eagles Last 10 Games: 9-1 SU, 30.9 PF – 17.9 PA

Head-to-Head Matchup:

• Last 7 Meetings: Chiefs 5-2 SU
• Most Recent Meeting (11/20/23): Eagles 21-17 @ Chiefs
• Super Bowl 57 (2/12/23): Chiefs 38-35 vs. Eagles

Market Conditions:

• Overall NFL Market: Home Favorites winning 69.14%, covering 53.45% ATS
• Road Favorites: SU 71.43%, ATS 54.90%
• Home Teams Last 30 Days: SU 83.33%, ATS 66.67%
• Road Teams Last 30 Days: SU 16.67%, ATS 33.33%

Team Trends & Situational Angles:

• Chiefs:
  • 12-8 SU, 12-8 ATS, 13-7 O/U vs. Eagles (Since 1983)
  • 3-2 SU, 4-1 O/U in last 5 matchups vs. Eagles
  • 7-8 ATS with 13 days off (Since 1983)
  • 4-5 ATS, 5-4 O/U in games with a 48.5 total
  • 8-11 ATS vs. NFC East (Since 1983)
  • 2-3 SU last 5 games after facing Buffalo Bills
• Eagles:
  • 1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS vs. Chiefs (Last 7 Matchups)
  • 16-11-2 ATS after playing Washington Commanders
  • 9-14-1 ATS with 13 days off (Since 1983)
  • 8-5 ATS in games with a 48.5 total
  • 8-13 ATS vs. AFC West (Since 1983)
  • 4-3 ATS coming off a 5-game win streak (Since 1983)

Offensive & Defensive Matchups:

• Chiefs Offense (Season Averages):
  • Overall: 23.16 PPG, 19.42 PPG Allowed
  • Home: 24.5 PPG, 19.2 PPG Allowed
  • Road: 21.67 PPG, 19.67 PPG Allowed
  • Last 3 Games: 18.33 PPG, 27 PPG Allowed
• Eagles Offense (Season Averages):
  • Overall: 28.4 PPG, 17.9 PPG Allowed
  • Home: 28.67 PPG, 17.67 PPG Allowed
  • Road: 28 PPG, 18.25 PPG Allowed
  • Last 3 Games: 35 PPG, 18.33 PPG Allowed

Betting Insights:

• Strength of Schedule (Last 3 Games):
  • Chiefs: 55.56% (Played tougher teams)
  • Eagles: 33.33% (Played weaker teams)
• Public Betting Psychology:
  • Chiefs: Neutral
  • Eagles: Bullish
• Law of Averages (LOA) Indicator: No clear edge
• MSV (Market Spread Value): Chiefs -3.08, Eagles +3.00 (Market is tight)

Key Super Bowl Betting Angles:

• Super Bowl teams off a 5-game winning streak: 4-3 ATS
• Super Bowl teams with 13+ days rest: Historically cover 48.9% ATS
• Chiefs 7-2 SU on neutral sites last 10 years
• Eagles 6-2 ATS last 8 neutral site games

Final Takeaways:

• Chiefs’ defense has struggled last 3 games (27 PA), but played tougher competition.
• Eagles’ offense has been on fire, averaging 35 PPG in last 3 games.
• Public perception is bullish on Eagles, but Chiefs are historically strong in big games.
• If betting total, consider OVER trends in Chiefs vs. Eagles matchups (4-1 last 5 meetings).
• If looking for a side, Chiefs have the market value (-3.08 MSV), but Eagles have ATS momentum (13-7 YTD).

Good luck with your Super Bowl bets! Stay sharp and bet with confidence using the Raymond Report.