Raymond Report CFL Power Ratings – Week 11

 

As we head into Week 11 of the CFL season, the Raymond Report Strength of Schedule (SOS) & Power Ratings reveal the real story behind the standings. Wins and losses only tell part of the tale — SOS adjusts for the quality of opponents, giving us a truer picture of team performance.

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Top-Tier Contenders 🏆

1. Saskatchewan Roughriders (7-1, PR: 0.66)
The Riders remain the league’s gold standard. Their win percentage is elite, and even with a mid-tier SOS (44.79%), they’ve been consistent against all comers. A 3-0 run in their last three games with a perfect PR of 0.67 cements them as the team to beat.

2. Calgary Stampeders (6-3, PR: 0.58)
Calgary’s SOS sits at 49.85%, making their 66.7% win rate legitimate. Their last three games (1-2) may show a stumble, but their season-long consistency keeps them in the upper echelon.

3. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-3, PR: 0.56)
Hamilton’s resume includes a strong 6-1 stretch in their last seven, despite a lighter SOS (38.78% in that span). They’ve done what contenders do — win the games they’re supposed to win.

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Middle-of-the-Pack Battlers ⚖️

4. British Columbia Lions (4-5, PR: 0.51)
At first glance, a sub-.500 record looks disappointing. But with the highest SOS in the league (57.10%) and a brutal 77.78% SOS in their last three games, BC has been tested like no one else. Their PR says they’re more dangerous than their record.

5. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (4-4, PR: 0.47)
Dead-even record, mid-range SOS, and inconsistency in the last three games (PR: 0.33) keep Winnipeg in “buyer beware” territory. They’ve been unable to string together momentum.

6. Ottawa Redblacks (3-6, PR: 0.43)
Their SOS is no joke (53.24%), and they’ve punched above their weight recently with a 2-1 stretch (PR: 0.56). Ottawa’s record is ugly, but bettors should note the recent upward trend.

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Fighting Uphill ⛰️

7. Edmonton Elks (2-6, PR: 0.40)
The Elks’ record reflects reality, but the numbers show a team facing respectable opposition (54.69% SOS). Their last three games have been competitive (PR: 0.50), showing glimmers of life.

8. Montreal Alouettes (5-4, PR: 0.50)
Montreal has been a riddle. They win enough to stay relevant but have struggled when stepping up in class. Their SOS over the season (43.67%) suggests their record might be slightly inflated.

9. Toronto Argonauts (2-7, PR: 0.39)
High SOS (55.40%) shows the Argos haven’t had an easy road, but results are results. Their low PR tells us they aren’t converting opportunities into wins.

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Key Takeaways for Week 11 Bettors 🎯

• Saskatchewan is still the model of consistency, worth premium consideration.
• BC Lions are a classic “better than their record” team — potential value play.
• Ottawa and Edmonton are bottom-tier in the standings but showing short-term improvement.
• Winnipeg remains a high-risk play until they prove they can handle momentum swings.

The Raymond Report Edge: Always pair win percentage with Strength of Schedule. A strong record against weak teams can be fool’s gold, while a tough record against a brutal schedule can reveal hidden betting value.

 

Full SOS breakdown and daily CFL picks ➡️ ATSstats.com

 

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