Raymond Report Market Value Index – Thursday, May 15, 2025

Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Charlie Morton during the first inning of a baseball game against the Boston Red Sox Tuesday, Aug. 4, 2020, in St. Petersburg, Fla. (AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)

By Ron Raymond – ATS STATS

In the world of sports betting, finding value before the market corrects itself is the name of the game. The Raymond Report’s Daily Market Value Index (DMVI) helps us spot which MLB teams are overvalued, undervalued, or right on the money based on their recent performance, betting market lines, and win percentages.

Let’s take a look at today’s movers and shakers.

🔥 HOT & UNDERVALUED – “Ride the Bull”

These teams are outperforming their market price — a bettor’s dream.

Team	Record	Streak	Confidence	DMVI	Market Value
Minnesota	23-20	🔥 10W	💯 100%	-118	Bullish
Detroit	29-15	🔥 3W	71%	-222	Bullish
NY Mets	28-16	❌ 1L	71%	-213	Bullish
Texas	23-21	🔥 5W	71%	-129	Bullish
St. Louis	24-20	✅ 1W	85%	-129	Bullish
Houston	22-20	✅ 2W	71%	-118	Bullish
Toronto	21-21	✅ 1W	71%	101	Bullish
NY Yankees	25-18	✅ 1W	71%	-151	Bullish

📈 Ron’s Take: These are your “Buy Low” teams. Minnesota and Detroit are delivering elite results without inflated price tags. The Yankees and Mets are New York values for once — don’t expect that to last long.

🧊 COLD & OVERVALUED – “Buyer Beware”

These teams are not playing up to their price — approach with caution.

Team	Record	Streak	Confidence	DMVI	Market Value
Colorado	7-35	❌ 3L	14%	+225	Bearish
Chi White Sox	14-29	✅ 3W	57%	+181	Neutral
Pittsburgh	15-29	✅ 1W	42%	+204	Neutral
Washington	17-26	✅ 1W	14%	+137	Bearish
Miami	16-26	✅ 1W	28%	+145	Bearish
LA Angels	17-25	❌ 2L	28%	+151	Bearish
Baltimore	15-26	❌ 2L	28%	+124	Bearish

📉 Ron’s Take: Even though the White Sox and Pirates showed life recently, their market prices are still too hot for their long-term results. Colorado? That’s not a baseball team right now — that’s a value trap with Coors Light stats.

⚖️ Fair Market – “No Edge, No Wedge”

These teams are fairly priced or lacking consistent momentum.

Team	Record	Streak	Confidence	DMVI	Market Value
Philadelphia	25-18	❌ 1L	57%	100	Neutral
San Diego	27-15	✅ 2W	57%	-253	Neutral
Cleveland	25-18	❌ 1L	57%	-161	Neutral
LA Dodgers	28-15	✅ 1W	57%	-218	Neutral
Kansas City	25-20	❌ 2L	42%	-144	Neutral

📊 Ron’s Take: These teams are priced fairly — not much value to exploit. But if you’re looking for solid parlay fillers, clubs like the Dodgers and Padres are in stable form.

⚠️ BEARISH TEAMS TO AVOID – “Fool’s Gold”

Poor confidence, negative streaks, and inflated prices. Just say no.

Seattle (2-5, 28% confidence, -157 DMVI)
Cincinnati (3L, 28% confidence, -193 DMVI)
San Francisco (2-5, 28% confidence, -147 DMVI)

📉 Ron’s Take: Even if the price looks appealing, don’t let the book lure you in with “discounted trash.” A bad team at +120 is still a bad team.

🧠 Closing Thought from The Bullpen:

When betting the board, you’re not looking for the best team — you’re looking for the best price. That’s where the DMVI shines. Use it to find undervalued gems and avoid betting into inflated lines that the public already pounded.

👉 Want to see the full Raymond Report for today’s games?
Visit: www.ATSStats.com

Let’s cash it! 💰

Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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