Raymond Report MLB Sports Betting Markets – Friday, September 5, 2025

 

The baseball markets are holding steady — no extreme bias in the short-term numbers. After a wild week of inflated chalk and streaky totals, we’re back in neutral conditions across the board. That means today is less about chasing extremes and more about hunting subtle inefficiencies.

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💹 Market Outlook – Powered by SBI (MLB)

• Favorites (3-day): 47% – Neutral
• Underdogs (3-day): 53% – Neutral (dogs slightly edging chalk)
• Overs (3-day): 52.7% – Neutral
• ATS dogs: Neutral, markets trading sideways

Translation: This is not a “blind dog” market, nor a chalk-buying spree. Books are well balanced — so we follow Raymond Report rules: identify undervalued sides, filter out teams in bearish cycles, and circle totals where the line hasn’t adjusted.

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📈 Raymond Report Top 5 Value Picks – Sept. 5, 2025

1. Kansas City Royals -137 vs Minnesota

• C.O.W: 57.45% | Cycle: Neutral
• Royals in a 6-game Under streak (market leaning too heavy to totals).
• KC at home vs a C-type Twins club offers quiet value.

2. Tampa Bay Rays -144 vs Cleveland

• C.O.W: 61.11% | Cycle: Bullish (7-game win streak)
• SBI neutral on sides, but Rays’ momentum and Cleveland’s inconsistent bats create opportunity.

3. Pittsburgh Pirates +129 vs Milwaukee (Live Dog)

• C.O.W: 46.67% | Cycle: Bullish (3 SU wins)
• Brewers are the A-team, but Pirates in a bullish stretch catching plus money = market mispricing.

4. Arizona Diamondbacks +112 vs Boston (Contrarian Dog)

• C.O.W: 46.78% | Cycle: Bullish (2 SU wins)
• Boston inflated off name value. Snakes offer buy-low value at home.

5. Detroit Tigers -198 vs Chicago White Sox

• C.O.W: 62.84% | Cycle: Neutral
• White Sox hot (5-game win streak), but still a C-type profile in overbought territory. Tigers represent market correction.

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🔥 Totals Watch – Market Misprices

• TOR/NYY (9): 4 straight overs for Toronto, line might not be adjusted high enough.
• KC/MIN (8): Royals’ 6-game Under streak could trap public money on the Over.
• BAL/LAD (9): Orioles sneaky live, but total is where the inefficiency lies — market not adjusting for Dodgers’ road bats.

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🎯 Top 5 Recap – September 5, 2025

1. Kansas City -137
2. Tampa Bay -144
3. Pittsburgh +129 (Live Dog)
4. Arizona +112 (Contrarian Dog)
5. Detroit -198

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👉 Stay market sharp with the Raymond Report Sports Betting Markets every day at ATSstats.com.

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