But DMVI negative says the price may be rich today — the market may already be baking in the edge. Charlotte (C) +5.5 | STK: 2 Under | SU: 16-28 | COW: 42.5% | DMVI: +6.11
Charlotte (C) = “distressed asset”: weak grade, poor SU.
Positive DMVI = the market is maybe discounting them too hard (value shoppers will look here). Situational read: This smells like priced favorite vs value dog. With SBI YTD ATS neutral, don’t pay premium for ORL unless your matchup edge is real.
DALLAS (C) @ GOLDEN STATE (B) — Total 234
DAL +6 | Cycle: NEUTRAL | STK: 3 ATS W | SU: 18-26 | Away: 5-15 | DMVI: +1.75 | COW: 39.8%
Dallas = “dead cat bounce”: ATS streak up, but the fundamentals (SU + road) are ugly.
Small positive DMVI = not screaming value, but not a total trap either. GSW -6 | Cycle: BULLISH (7) | STK: 4 Over | SU: 25-20 | Home: 17-7 | DMVI: -5.11 | COW: 56.76%
Golden State = “momentum stock”: bullish cycle + strong home profile.
DMVI negative = market tax. You’re paying for the trend. Situational read: If you’re investing, GSW is the brand name — but the spread price is the “P/E ratio.” With YTD ATS neutral, careful laying -6 unless you’ve got extra edge.
Philly = “quiet value fund”: better record than the market seems to respect today. HOU -1.5 | Cycle: NEUTRAL | SU: 26-15 | Home: 15-3 | STK: 4 Under | DMVI: -5 | COW: 57.14%
Houston (A) = “blue chip”: strong SU, elite home results.
But again: DMVI negative = premium pricing. Situational read: This is the cleanest “A vs B” board game today. With Totals YTD neutral but Houston on 4 Unders, the only angle with “trend + logic” is Under-lean thinking… but don’t treat it like a lock.
MINNESOTA (A) vs CHICAGO (C) — Total 240
MIN -9 | Cycle: NEUTRAL | STK: 3 SU L | SU: 27-17 | DMVI: -10.9 | COW: 74.11%
Minnesota = “premium stock on a dip”: A-grade + high COW… but currently sliding.
DMVI very negative = expensive as a favorite today. CHI +9 | Cycle: NEUTRAL | STK: 2 ATS W | SU: 21-22 | Away: 7-13 | DMVI: +9.14 | COW: 25.89%
Chicago = “cheap option play”: big positive DMVI suggests value at the number. Situational read: Massive spread + YTD ATS neutral = this is a classic “don’t overpay” spot. If you don’t have a hard matchup edge, this is a pass-or-dog situation.
DENVER (A) @ WASHINGTON (C) — Total 229
DEN -5 | NEUTRAL | STK: 3 ATS L | SU: 29-15 | Away: 17-7 | DMVI: -6.9 | COW: 68.75%
Denver = “strong fundamentals, shaky chart”: great record, great road profile, but ATS bleeding lately. WAS +5 | BEARISH (8) | STK: 7 SU L | SU: 10-32 | DMVI: +11 | COW: 39.8%
Washington = “falling knife”: bearish cycle + losing streaks… but the market is giving a huge DMVI cushion. Situational read: This is the gross game that sometimes pays. If you’re taking WAS, you’re basically buying a stock everyone hates. If you’re laying DEN, you’re paying premium on a team not covering lately. Pick your pain.
SAN ANTONIO (A) @ UTAH (C) — Total 236.5
SA -13 | NEUTRAL | STK: 3 ATS L | SU: 30-15 | DMVI: -6.43 | COW: 80.65%
San Antonio = “elite asset” (COW monster)… but -13 is the definition of overpriced. UTA +13 | BEARISH (23) | STK: 2 ATS W | SU: 15-29 | DMVI: +10.6 | COW: 22.58%
Utah = “junk bond” but getting paid a lot to hold it today. Situational read: With SBI ATS YTD neutral, -13 is a tax bracket. If you don’t have an internal reason, don’t donate.
MIAMI (B) @ PORTLAND (B) — Total 239
MIA +1.5 | NEUTRAL | STK: 3 Over | SU: 23-21 | Away: 8-14 | DMVI: +4 | COW: 46.15%
Miami = “volatile”: road risk, but a decent DMVI cushion. POR -1.5 | BULLISH (17) | STK: 3 ATS W | SU: 22-22 | DMVI: -1 | COW: 56.41%
Portland = “momentum swing trade”: bullish + ATS streak, small market premium. Situational read: This is the kind of coin-flip board game the SBI YTD warns you about. If you play it, make it small stake or find a sharper derivative angle (matchup prop logic, etc.).
Clippers = “bullish cycle, weak earnings”: bullish label but bad SU. Situational read: Market is leaning Clips despite SU reality — that’s either sharp positioning or public tax. With ATS YTD neutral, I lean toward not paying the Clippers premium without extra intel.
What “Assets Stand Today” (Quick Portfolio Summary)
Blue-chip fundamentals (SU strong) but priced:
HOU, DEN, SA, MIN, GSW (great profiles, but negative DMVI = market premium)
Value shoppers / “undervalued spreads” (DMVI positive):
WAS, UTA, CHI, CHA (ugly teams, but the market is compensating)
Momentum traders (cycle/streak narrative):
POR (bullish + ATS W), GSW (bullish), LAC (bullish but risky fundamentals)
Banker’s Closing Note (aka: Don’t be the public investor)
SBI YTD is basically yelling: “Stop auto-buying favorites ATS.” Favorites win SU, sure — but covering hasn’t been profitable. So today, either:
Buy value numbers (dogs with positive DMVI), or
Only lay favorites when your matchup edge is undeniable, not because the team is “better.”
And if you want these “stock cards” daily with the cleanest edges? That’s literally what we’re building at ATSstats.com — think Bloomberg terminal, but for sports markets (minus the suit, plus the sweatpants).
Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.