Labor Day card at the Spa. Coffee strong, opinions stronger. We’ve run the Raymond Track Report numbers and pulled out the plays with the best mix of probability and price. If you’re new here: we tell it like it is, no fluff—just tickets that can cash. And yes, if you want the whole kitchen sink for every race, that’s what memberships at ATSStats.com are for. 😉
How to attack today
- Primary approach: Ron Raymond’s Double Dutch (bet WIN & PLACE on one horse per race) to smooth variance.
- Add-ons: Use our Exacta/Trifecta boxes below when the race shape supports it.
- Bankroll heat map: Stronger confidence in R1, R5, R9; value splashes in R7, R8, R10.
Race 1 — $100,000 MSW (6f Dirt) • 12:05 PM
Top Pick (DD): (4) Oscar’s Hope (2-1, J. L. Ortiz)
Under-the-hood figs say he’s the most reliable forward runner in a field with question marks.
- Backups: (8) Scrutinator (5-1), (1) Winning Method (4-1)
- Exacta boxes: 4/8, 8/1, 1/6
- Trifecta boxes: 4/8/1, 6/8/1
Race 2 — $100,000 MSW (1m Dirt) • 12:39 PM
Top Pick (DD): (4) Only in America (6-1, I. Ortiz Jr.)
Price + projected step forward = playable single in DD.
- Backups: (5) Time to Win (3-1), (1) Private Flight (10-1)
- Exacta boxes: 4/5, 5/1, 1/3
- Trifecta boxes: 4/5/1, 3/5/1
Race 3 — $50,000 Mdn Clm (1 1/16m Turf) • 1:13 PM
Top Pick (DD): (7) Alittlebitnaughty (6-1, J. L. Ortiz)
Should get the right stalk-and-pounce trip.
- Backups: (11) Trinity River (3-1), (6) New York Scrappy (5-2)
- Exacta boxes: 7/11, 11/6, 6/4
- Trifecta boxes: 7/11/6, 4/11/6
Race 4 — $63,000 Starter OC (1m Inner Turf) • 1:46 PM
Top Pick (DD): (1A) Willintoriskitall (6-1, J. L. Ortiz)
Entry strength + positional speed.
- Backups: (11) Lachaise (7-2), (10) Printer’s Alley (12-1)
- Exacta boxes: 1A/11, 11/10, 10/1
- Trifecta boxes: 1A/11/10, 1/11/10
Race 5 — $38,000 Mdn Clm (1m Dirt) • 2:20 PM
Top Pick (DD): (1A) Otto Nipoti (2-1, J. L. Ortiz)
Strongest baseline; should control his own trip from the inside.
- Backups: (10) Reaction (6-1), (3) Cyberbeast (12-1)
- Exacta boxes: 1A/10, 10/3, 3/2
- Trifecta boxes: 1A/10/3, 2/10/3
Race 6 — $90,000 MSW (5½f Turf) • 2:55 PM
Top Pick (DD): (13) Atenea (3-1, J. L. Ortiz)
Wide draw but owns the best sprint-turf profile.
- Backups: (6) Arinata (5-1), (1) Harpy (8-1)
- Exacta boxes: 13/6, 6/1, 1/5
- Trifecta boxes: 13/6/1, 5/6/1
Race 7 — $110,000 Allowance (1m Dirt) • 3:29 PM
Top Pick (DD): (6) Low Key (12-1, J. L. Ortiz) — Value Play
Underrated late pace versus a field with iffy finishing power.
- Backups: (5) Fast and Frisky (8-1), (10) Meursault (7-2)
- Exacta boxes: 6/5, 5/10, 10/1
- Trifecta boxes: 6/5/10, 1/5/10
Race 8 — $110,000 Allowance (1 1/16m Inner Turf) • 4:05 PM
Top Pick (DD): (12) Collaboration (12-1, J. L. Ortiz) — Live Longshot
Numbers say she’s better than the ML suggests; can float and still outrun price.
- Backups: (9) Curlin’s Angel (5-2), (8) Louise Procter (4-1)
- Exacta boxes: 12/9, 9/8, 8/11
- Trifecta boxes: 12/9/8, 11/9/8
Race 9 — $300,000 Stakes (7f Dirt) • 4:42 PM
Top Pick (DD): (1) Curtain Call (9-2, J. L. Ortiz) — Feature Single
Trip + figs + rail tactics = the right kind of stakes seven-furlong horse.
- Backups: (6) Soldier N Diplomat (6-1), (2) Flyin Hawaiian (20-1)
- Exacta boxes: 1/6, 6/2, 2/5
- Trifecta boxes: 1/6/2, 5/6/2
Race 10 — $135,000 Stakes (1 1/16m Turf) • 5:15 PM
Top Pick (DD): (5) Tank (15-1, E. Jaramillo) — Bomb Alert
Figures fit if he catches a fair pace; square price to take a swing.
- Backups: (10) Versus (12-1), (9) Mi Bago (6-1)
- Exacta boxes: 5/10, 10/9, 9/4
- Trifecta boxes: 5/10/9, 4/10/9
Race 11 — $100,000 MSW (1m Inner Turf) • 5:49 PM
Top Pick (DD): (12) Divine Rose (4-1, J. L. Ortiz)
Late kick + outside launch pad.
- Backups: (1) Loveontheleftbank (6-1), (5) Say Yes To Dreams (4-1)
- Exacta boxes: 12/1, 1/5, 5/11
- Trifecta boxes: 12/1/5, 11/1/5
Top 5 “Double Dutch” Singles (Win & Place)
- R9 – Curtain Call (#1)
- R1 – Oscar’s Hope (#4)
- R5 – Otto Nipoti (#1A)
- R3 – Alittlebitnaughty (#7)
- R11 – Divine Rose (#12)
Value Sprinkles: R7 Low Key (12-1), R8 Collaboration (12-1), R10 Tank (15-1)
Final Word
If you like money more than moral victories, play the Double Dutch on our singles and spice with the boxes where listed. Want the full-card metrics, pace charts, trainer patterns, and our late changes updates? That’s what the Raymond Report memberships are for.
👉 Full Tip Sheets (Saratoga + all tracks) → ATSStats.com
Good luck at the windows—and if you beat the break, don’t apologize.
