The Raymond Report is a sports handicapping system which is based on 3 key fundamentals of handicapping. Every winning pick starts with a winning formula.
- Value = Is there Value in the price or spread of your pick?
- Percentage Play = Is there percentage of this pick in our favor?
- V.I.C. (Vegas Index Cycle) = Is the Vegas Index Cycle a threat to our pick?
Once you’ve determined all three of these key handicapping principles are in your favor; you now have the “ingredients” to a winning selection!
Here’s a step-by-step instruction on how to use the “Raymond Report” Sports Handicapping system.
- Step 1: Print off the Parity Value Tip sheet (inside members area).
- Step 2: Compare the “Value Index” with the “current odds” of each game.
- Step 3: Highlight the following; “Winning, Losing, OVER, and UNDER” streaks.
- Step 4: Highlight the Top “Percentage Play” in the Team C.O.W. (Chance of Winning) column.
- Step 5: Highlight the TEAM C.O.G.O (Chance of Going OVER) in RED and the C.O.G.U. (Chance of Going UNDER) in GREEN.
From a handicapping point of view; you now have a starting point to either “eliminate” or “research” on the plays that made the “60% Club”.
What is the 60% Club Rules?
Now that you’ve organized your tip sheet to your advantage, let’s see if we can start connecting the dots and increase your confidence level on your “researched” play.
In order for a play to make the “60% club”, they must meet the following rules;
- Percentage Play
- “X-Factor” of the V.I.C. (Vegas Index Cycle)
The first two rules of the 60% club rules are pretty easy to judge with the naked eye, it’s the V.I.C. factor where you will need a little “Risk/Reward” judgement to complete the trifecta.
Process of Elimination
If you’re handicapping a daily baseball card, where you can have up to 15 games on your tip sheet, you must have a process of eliminate system. Otherwise, you will spend hours trying to come up with a handful of selection and have confidence in those selections.
*Note: A researched play must be an educated play based on your key handicapping fundamentals!
Now that you’ve eliminated some of your plays and you’ve established a handful of plays that made the “60% Club”, let’s go inside the “Raymond Report” to see how we can increase our confidence level of those “main core” selections.
Once Inside the Raymond Report – now what?
Now that you’re inside the members area, go to the “Raymond Report” league and then select one of the games that made the cut and let’s start handicapping that game.
If there’s one thing I want to stress from a handicapping point of view, know the difference between a “percentage play” and a play that is supported by “averages”.
Roll of the Dice Example
The best way I can explain the difference between a “percentage play” and an “average play” is the following;
Let’s say you have a dice numbered from (#1 to #6); what are the percentages of you hitting your number before the roll? Since there’s 6 numbers on the dice, let’s say for this example, I selected #1, the chances of hitting #1 is 16.6% before the roll.
How did I get 16.6%? I did 1 divided by 6, which gave me 16.6%.
Now, if I roll the dice 10 times in a row and the number #1 showed up 3 times, it averaged out to 30% of the time.
Based on those 10 past games/rolls, we know the number #1 showed up 30% of the time, but I only have a 16.6% chance of winning on each role. Based on those numbers, knowing I only had a 16.6% chance of winning, do I take my chance knowing, the last time they rolled the dice 10 times, the number #1 only showed up 30% of the time. The question I have to ask myself, ss the risk reward worth the bet with the data I have?
Were the odds in my favor?
Coming back to the “Raymond Report”, that’s exactly the case you have with a “percentage play” vs. the “averages” in the Raymond Report. If you know from past experience, a certain “situation” has a “x.x %” of coming through, that’s the “risk/reward” factor you have to consider when buying into your pick.
What to look for in the Raymond Report?
Every sport has its challenges and dynamics.
In baseball, I place 25% of my decision factor on the pitcher, as pitchers on average, can last anywhere from 3 to 7 innings, depending on the type of pitcher. That’s why it’s important to check out the PITCHERS C.O.W. and compare it to the TEAMS VIC, to increase your confidence level.
Here are some of the factors I consider when making my picks using the Raymond Report
- Teams Home and Away Record
- Teams Record in certain Roles; Home Favorite, Home Underdog, Road Favorite, Road Underdog
- ATS Forecast of Side and Total
- Strength of Schedule L7 GAMES
- Teams Record (Side & Total) of Starting Pitcher
- Letdown or Look Ahead Factor
- Compare teams Scoring average from L3 TO L7
- Compare Pitchers Team Record and Scoring average L3 to L7
- Head to head Matchup – USE THE REGULAR DATABASE
- Review the Side and O/U EDGES – Put more weight on perfect numbers like 17-3 vs. Lefties
- Review the Scoring Averages
- Follow the Line Moves
Once you’ve gone through all of these steps, now you have a clearer picture of your matchup and you should have more or less confidence in your initial selection.
Always remember, “Shop for Value & Play the Percentages”.