Date: Wednesday, November 12, 2025
Track: Aqueduct (NY) — Dirt & Outer Turf
Mindset: Hunt overlays, box for coverage, and don’t donate to underlays. If the tote’s stingy, we pass — simple.
Below are our value-first selections with ready-to-bet exacta/trifecta structures straight from the Raymond Track Report. Adjust unit size to price: bigger prices → smaller units; short chalk → key in verticals or skip.
Race 1 — $85,000 MSW | 1 Mile Dirt | 12:10 PM
Top: (6) She’s a Gemma 3-1
Next: (2) High Note 5-2 • (4) Raghba 10-1
Joker: (7) Metfardeh 3-1
Plays: Exacta 6/2 box; 2/4 box; 4/7 box. Trifecta 6/2/4 box; 7/2/4 box.
Notes: Rail isn’t gold today; prefer outside stalking trip for #6.
Race 2 — $31,000 Clm | 1 Mile Dirt | 12:40 PM
Top: (7) Toxic Girl 5-1
Next: (3) Bourbon N Lace 8-1 • (5) Furry Fox 9-2
Joker: (2) Kyle’s Mom 5-2
Plays: Exacta 7/3 box; 3/5 box; 5/2 box. Tri 7/3/5 box; 2/3/5 box.
Notes: Price stability on #7 = green light. If hammered <3-1, reduce.
Race 3 — $45,000 Clm | 6 F Dirt | 1:10 PM
Top: (6) Majestic Return 2-1
Next: (1) My First Love 12-1 • (7) Edistrudis 4-1
Joker: (4) Defended 9-2
Plays: Exacta 6/1 box; 1/7 box; 7/4 box. Tri 6/1/7 box; 4/1/7 box.
Notes: #1 is the value glue — keeps the payout honest underneath.
Race 4 — $41,000 Clm | 1 Mile Dirt | 1:40 PM
Top: (1) Adventurist 10-1
Next: (6) Mission Hill 6-1 • (7) Sergeant Capps 5-1
Joker: (8) Cocktailsnkringle 7-2
Plays: Exacta 1/6 box; 6/7 box; 7/8 box. Tri 1/6/7 box; 8/6/7 box.
Notes: This is a classic “public shrugs, we pounce” heat. Overlay city if the board sleeps on #1.
Race 5 — $48,000 Mdn Clm | 6 F Outer Turf | 2:10 PM
Top: (1) It a Lee 20-1
Next: (11) Orie 5-2 • (8) Tomschickenfingers 4-1
Joker: (9) Fric and Frac 5-1
Plays: Exacta 1/11 box; 11/8 box; 8/9 box. Tri 1/11/8 box; 9/11/8 box.
Notes: Wide, salty turf scramble. Spread small, aim big. Respect #11’s class.
Race 6 — $70,000 MOC | 1 1/16 M Turf | 2:39 PM
Top: (10) Salt Princess 3-1
Next: (1) Honor the Numbers 9-2 • (11) Mariposa Moon 12-1
Joker: (12) Angelic Quality 8-1
Plays: Exacta 10/1 box; 1/11 box; 11/12 box. Tri 10/1/11 box; 12/1/11 box.
Notes: Trip race. Use both outside closers (#10, #11) with the rail saver #1.
Race 7 — $82,000 AOC | 1 Mile Dirt | 3:09 PM
Top: (8) Shadow Dragon 7-2
Next: (6) Aggregation 3-1 • (1) Refuah 8-1
Joker: (7) Leftembehind 8-1
Plays: Exacta 8/6 box; 6/1 box; 1/7 box. Tri 8/6/1 box; 7/6/1 box.
Notes: Honest mile. If #8 stays ≥3-1, he’s a fair win stab.
Race 8 — $65,000 Starter OC | 6 F Outer Turf | 3:39 PM
Top: (2) Musical Maestro 5-1
Next: (5) City of Oscars 8-1 • (10) Devil in Disguise 5-2
Joker: (8) Typhoon Fury 12-1
Plays: Exacta 2/5 box; 5/10 box; 10/8 box. Tri 2/5/10 box; 8/5/10 box.
Notes: Turf sprint chaos. Demand price; don’t chase sub-2-1.
Race 9 — $70,000 MOC | 1 1/16 M Turf | 4:09 PM
Top: (12) Gaborone 12-1
Next: (11) Rafa Junior 6-1 • (9) Narnia 10-1
Joker: (3) Brilliant Fury 20-1
Plays: Exacta 12/11 box; 11/9 box; 9/3 box. Tri 12/11/9 box; 3/11/9 box.
Notes: Late-card bomb hunt. Wide tickets win this kind of finale.
Ticket & Bankroll Tips
- Singles: Only when edge + price align (≥2-1 and model match).
- Exacta boxes: Prioritize when one leg is ≥4-1.
- Trifectas: Keep boxes tight (3- or 4-horse) and units modest.
- Discipline: If a pick freefalls below value, pivot to our “Next/Underneath” horses and keep the math on your side.
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