Categories: Horse Racing

Raymond Track Report – Aqueduct Tipsheet – November 12, 2025

Date: Wednesday, November 12, 2025
Track: Aqueduct (NY) — Dirt & Outer Turf
Mindset: Hunt overlays, box for coverage, and don’t donate to underlays. If the tote’s stingy, we pass — simple.

Below are our value-first selections with ready-to-bet exacta/trifecta structures straight from the Raymond Track Report. Adjust unit size to price: bigger prices → smaller units; short chalk → key in verticals or skip.


Race 1 — $85,000 MSW | 1 Mile Dirt | 12:10 PM

Top: (6) She’s a Gemma 3-1
Next: (2) High Note 5-2 • (4) Raghba 10-1
Joker: (7) Metfardeh 3-1
Plays: Exacta 6/2 box; 2/4 box; 4/7 box. Trifecta 6/2/4 box; 7/2/4 box.
Notes: Rail isn’t gold today; prefer outside stalking trip for #6.


Race 2 — $31,000 Clm | 1 Mile Dirt | 12:40 PM

Top: (7) Toxic Girl 5-1
Next: (3) Bourbon N Lace 8-1 • (5) Furry Fox 9-2
Joker: (2) Kyle’s Mom 5-2
Plays: Exacta 7/3 box; 3/5 box; 5/2 box. Tri 7/3/5 box; 2/3/5 box.
Notes: Price stability on #7 = green light. If hammered <3-1, reduce.


Race 3 — $45,000 Clm | 6 F Dirt | 1:10 PM

Top: (6) Majestic Return 2-1
Next: (1) My First Love 12-1 • (7) Edistrudis 4-1
Joker: (4) Defended 9-2
Plays: Exacta 6/1 box; 1/7 box; 7/4 box. Tri 6/1/7 box; 4/1/7 box.
Notes: #1 is the value glue — keeps the payout honest underneath.


Race 4 — $41,000 Clm | 1 Mile Dirt | 1:40 PM

Top: (1) Adventurist 10-1
Next: (6) Mission Hill 6-1 • (7) Sergeant Capps 5-1
Joker: (8) Cocktailsnkringle 7-2
Plays: Exacta 1/6 box; 6/7 box; 7/8 box. Tri 1/6/7 box; 8/6/7 box.
Notes: This is a classic “public shrugs, we pounce” heat. Overlay city if the board sleeps on #1.


Race 5 — $48,000 Mdn Clm | 6 F Outer Turf | 2:10 PM

Top: (1) It a Lee 20-1
Next: (11) Orie 5-2 • (8) Tomschickenfingers 4-1
Joker: (9) Fric and Frac 5-1
Plays: Exacta 1/11 box; 11/8 box; 8/9 box. Tri 1/11/8 box; 9/11/8 box.
Notes: Wide, salty turf scramble. Spread small, aim big. Respect #11’s class.


Race 6 — $70,000 MOC | 1 1/16 M Turf | 2:39 PM

Top: (10) Salt Princess 3-1
Next: (1) Honor the Numbers 9-2 • (11) Mariposa Moon 12-1
Joker: (12) Angelic Quality 8-1
Plays: Exacta 10/1 box; 1/11 box; 11/12 box. Tri 10/1/11 box; 12/1/11 box.
Notes: Trip race. Use both outside closers (#10, #11) with the rail saver #1.


Race 7 — $82,000 AOC | 1 Mile Dirt | 3:09 PM

Top: (8) Shadow Dragon 7-2
Next: (6) Aggregation 3-1 • (1) Refuah 8-1
Joker: (7) Leftembehind 8-1
Plays: Exacta 8/6 box; 6/1 box; 1/7 box. Tri 8/6/1 box; 7/6/1 box.
Notes: Honest mile. If #8 stays ≥3-1, he’s a fair win stab.


Race 8 — $65,000 Starter OC | 6 F Outer Turf | 3:39 PM

Top: (2) Musical Maestro 5-1
Next: (5) City of Oscars 8-1 • (10) Devil in Disguise 5-2
Joker: (8) Typhoon Fury 12-1
Plays: Exacta 2/5 box; 5/10 box; 10/8 box. Tri 2/5/10 box; 8/5/10 box.
Notes: Turf sprint chaos. Demand price; don’t chase sub-2-1.


Race 9 — $70,000 MOC | 1 1/16 M Turf | 4:09 PM

Top: (12) Gaborone 12-1
Next: (11) Rafa Junior 6-1 • (9) Narnia 10-1
Joker: (3) Brilliant Fury 20-1
Plays: Exacta 12/11 box; 11/9 box; 9/3 box. Tri 12/11/9 box; 3/11/9 box.
Notes: Late-card bomb hunt. Wide tickets win this kind of finale.


Ticket & Bankroll Tips

  • Singles: Only when edge + price align (≥2-1 and model match).
  • Exacta boxes: Prioritize when one leg is ≥4-1.
  • Trifectas: Keep boxes tight (3- or 4-horse) and units modest.
  • Discipline: If a pick freefalls below value, pivot to our “Next/Underneath” horses and keep the math on your side.

Want the full Raymond Report metrics (COW, cycles, trainer/jockey ITM %, 80% Club angles) every day?
Join us at ATSStats.com — where smart bettors get their edge. 🏇💰

Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.
Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

Recent Posts

Sunday Night Football – Game of the Week

Chicago Bears (+3.5 / +160) at San Francisco 49ers (-3.5 / -200) Total: 52 |…

10 hours ago

📊 NBA 80% Club: Wall Street Numbers, Vegas Attitude

Welcome to tonight’s NBA slate — where bettors argue narratives, pundits chase headlines, and the…

11 hours ago

Montreal Canadiens (6.0) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-149) Prediction

Sunday, Dec 28, 2025 | 5:00 PM ET Line: TB -1.5 (–149) | Total: 6…

11 hours ago

Top 10 Salads That Don’t Kill Your Energy (or Your Betting Card)

  Sports bettors spend hours breaking down numbers… then wipe out their edge with a…

12 hours ago

ATS STATS Team Grading Report: The Philadelphia Eagles– 12/28/25

⭐ ATS STATS – Team Grading ReportPhiladelphia Eagles ($PHI) — Market Grade: A | Market…

12 hours ago

🏈 NFL WEEK 17 – REMAINING GAMES

MARKET VALUE INDEX (MVI) REPORT Sunday Games + Monday Night Football Framework: ATS STATS |…

12 hours ago