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Raymond Track Report – Belmont at the Big A (Thursday, October 9, 2025)

horse racing picks belmont

Let’s Get Back on Track with Turf Tactics and Value Plays at Aqueduct!

We’re rolling into Thursday’s Belmont at the Big A card with eight races that mix turf class, dirt speed, and a few sneaky longshots for the sharp bettors out there. Whether you’re betting the early double or building a late pick 4, today’s lineup has something for everyone — let’s dive in!


Race 1 – $82,000 Allowance Optional Claiming (1 1/16 Miles, Turf) – Post 1:10 PM

We open the card with a good-looking turf allowance where trip and timing will matter.

  • 🥇 (2) Scythian (7-5) – Tactical and tough. Should sit behind the leaders and pounce in the lane.
  • 🥈 (1) Can’t Fool Me (5-2) – Rail trip and second off a layoff — don’t sleep on this one.
  • 🥉 (4) North End Lady (6-1) – Has the consistency to grab a share.

💡 Raymond Report Tip: Turf races like this reward patience — look for horses that can relax early and finish late.
Exacta Box: 2-1 | Trifecta Box: 2-1-4


Race 2 – $92,000 Allowance Optional Claiming (6 Furlongs, Dirt) – Post 1:43 PM

Speed, class, and some sneaky pace pressure up front.

  • 🥇 (5) Spikezone (4-1) – Has the gate speed to control this race from the start.
  • 🥈 (2) Nova Rags (6-1) – A classy cutback play — strong in the final 100 yards.
  • 🥉 (3) Acoustic Ave (5-2) – Consistent grinder, but needs a good break.

🔥 Raymond Report Tip: Dirt sprints favor horses who can break clean and control the fractions.
Exacta Box: 5-2 | Trifecta Box: 5-2-3


Race 3 – $80,000 Maiden Special Weight (6 Furlongs, Outer Turf) – Post 2:15 PM

This race is loaded with first-time starters and improving turf runners — translation: price potential!

  • 🥇 (2) Lupine (6-1) – Showed speed in debut; now gets a better post and experience.
  • 💣 (6) Bank On Bebe (50-1) – Turf debut, and yes, she’s a longshot — but that’s how prices happen!
  • 🥉 (3) Lady Angelina (10-1) – Could surprise with a mid-pack trip.

🌱 Raymond Report Tip: Turf sprints often flip the script — inside speed one day, deep closers the next. Watch the early races!
Exacta Box: 2-6 | Trifecta Box: 2-6-3


Race 4 – $43,000 Claiming (1 1/8 Miles, Dirt) – Post 2:47 PM

This one’s all about endurance — who can handle nine furlongs?

  • 🥇 (5) Leftembehind (3-1) – Should get the jump and try to take them all the way.
  • 🥈 (8) Frizzante (2-1) – Proven class and stamina; will be charging late.
  • 🥉 (7) Dunedin Causeway (30-1) – Don’t laugh — every race needs a longshot for value.

🏁 Raymond Report Tip: Long dirt routes reward pace control — the horse who breathes right early wins late.
Exacta Box: 5-8 | Trifecta Box: 5-8-7


Race 5 – $70,000 Maiden Optional Claiming (6 Furlongs, Dirt) – Post 3:20 PM

If you like chaos, this is your playground.

  • 🥇 (8) Bod Beach (6-1) – Third career start = go time.
  • 💣 (9) First Blessing (30-1) – Big price, decent works, and worth a flier underneath.
  • 🥉 (6) Neigh Baby (7-2) – Reliable type; safe for exotics.

🎯 Raymond Report Tip: Third start off a layoff or debut pattern is often the “wake-up” race.
Exacta Box: 8-9 | Trifecta Box: 8-9-6


Race 6 – $65,000 Starter Allowance (1 Mile, Dirt) – Post 3:53 PM

This is your betting race of the day — solid field, no clear favorite.

  • 🥇 (8) Cararra (8-1) – Sharp form and sits off the speed; live value.
  • 🥈 (5) Tower Twenty Two (6-1) – Honest as they come.
  • 🥉 (6) Purloin (7-2) – Always fires but lacks finishing punch.

💵 Raymond Report Tip: Mid-range prices win these races more often than the chalk — perfect for Daily Doubles or Pick 3s.
Exacta Box: 8-5 | Trifecta Box: 8-5-6


Race 7 – $65,000 Starter Optional Claiming (6 Furlongs, Outer Turf) – Post 4:23 PM

The late double kicks off with a tricky turf sprint.

  • 🥇 (6) Devil in Disguise (9-2) – Santana knows how to time the turf stalk — big chance.
  • 🥈 (7) Let It Ride (5-2) – Reliable and versatile; your safe pick.
  • 🥉 (1) Reynolds Channel (6-1) – Inside post helps this closer stay in touch.

⚙️ Raymond Report Tip: Outside stalkers often shine in these outer-turf 6F setups.
Exacta Box: 6-7 | Trifecta Box: 6-7-1


Race 8 – $80,000 Maiden Special Weight (1 1/16 Miles, Turf) – Post 4:53 PM

A deep and wide-open closer’s race — great spot to finish strong.

  • 🥇 (11) Newlyn (6-1) – Wide draw, but stamina and trip potential make him dangerous.
  • 🥈 (9) Coach Ryan (9-2) – Tactical and steady; reliable top-three finisher.
  • 🥉 (1) Sunday Boy (6-1) – Could save all the ground and sneak into the trifecta.

🌿 Raymond Report Tip: Late turf races often go to the horses that stay clean and patient — save that run for the stretch.
Exacta Box: 11-9 | Trifecta Box: 11-9-1


🎩 Final Thoughts

Thursday’s Aqueduct card has a little of everything — turf puzzles, dirt sprints, and a few longshot setups that could spice up your ticket. Remember, discipline beats drama. The pros don’t chase prices; they position themselves for them.

👉 See full Raymond Track Report charts, stats, and smart money grids at ATSStats.com.


 

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Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.