Categories: Sports Handicapping

Raymond Track Report – Churchill Downs Tipsheet (Wed. Sept 17, 2025)

The ponies are rolling into Churchill Downs this Wednesday with nine strong races on the dirt, and the Raymond Track Report has you covered with the best Win, Place, Show, Exacta, and Trifecta recommendations.

Our tipsheets aren’t just numbers on a page – they’re built from jockey win percentages, trainer trends, and market-style analysis you won’t find in the program. And remember: we’ve got every major track covered daily inside our Premium Horse Racing Section at ATSSTATS.com. If Churchill isn’t your flavor, we’ve got Saratoga, Belmont at the Big A, Parx, Gulfstream, Woodbine, and more waiting for you.


🔹 Race 1 – Claiming ($57,000) – 6F Dirt – 12:45 PM

  • Win: (7) Brooklynn Drew – T. Gaffalione (31%)
  • Place: (8) Misty Muppet – C. A. Torres (30%)
  • Show: (1) Baytown Butterfly – O. Bocachica (28%)
  • Joker: (2) Fancy Fascinator – J. Padron-Barcenas (26%)

💡 Exacta Plays: 7/8, 8/1, 1/2
💡 Trifecta Boxes: 7/8/1, 2/8/1


🔹 Race 2 – Starter Allowance ($60,000) – 6F Dirt – 1:14 PM

  • Win: (2) Mister Kelly – O. Hernandez (41%) [Value Pick at 20-1]
  • Place: (4) Turn Up the Trees – T. Gaffalione (31%)
  • Show: (1) Busk – C. Barbosa (28%)
  • Joker: (3) Sergeant Gump – W. A. Rodriguez

💡 Exacta: 2/4, 4/1, 1/3
💡 Trifecta: 2/4/1, 3/4/1


🔹 Race 3 – Maiden Claiming ($57,000) – 1 1/16M Dirt – 1:43 PM

  • Win: (6) Trapped in Time – C. J. Hernandez (43%)
  • Place: (9) Off the Deck – J. L. Ortiz (37%)
  • Show: (1) Federal Agent – I. Ortiz, Jr. (31%)
  • Joker: (4) Court of Appeal – T. Gaffalione

💡 Exacta: 6/9, 9/1, 1/4
💡 Trifecta: 6/9/1, 4/9/1


🔹 Race 4 – Claiming ($55,000) – 1M Dirt – 2:13 PM

  • Win: (5) Texas Red Hot – J. L. Ortiz (37%)
  • Place: (6) Synthesis – I. Ortiz, Jr. (31%)
  • Show: (4) Master Game – T. Gaffalione (31%)
  • Joker: (8) Saltwater Cowboy – C. A. Torres

💡 Exacta: 5/6, 6/4, 4/8
💡 Trifecta: 5/6/4, 8/6/4


🔹 Race 5 – Maiden Special Weight ($92,000) – 6F Dirt – 2:45 PM

  • Win: (7) Crevalla de Vil – J. L. Ortiz
  • Place: (2) Sacred Prayer – I. Ortiz, Jr.
  • Show: (4) Fade to Gold – T. Gaffalione
  • Joker: (13) Supersonic Agenda – T. Houghton

💡 Exacta: 7/2, 2/4, 4/13
💡 Trifecta: 7/2/4, 13/2/4


🔹 Race 6 – Starter Allowance ($83,000) – 7F Dirt – 3:17 PM

  • Win: (1) Uncle William – J. L. Ortiz
  • Place: (3) Norwich – T. Gaffalione
  • Show: (7) Curlin’s Gesture – C. A. Torres
  • Joker: (5) Ravens Dream – E. Asmussen

💡 Exacta: 1/3, 3/7, 7/5
💡 Trifecta: 1/3/7, 5/3/7


🔹 Race 7 – Maiden Special Weight ($92,000) – 6F Dirt – 3:48 PM

  • Win: (12) Endless Glory – J. L. Ortiz
  • Place: (9) Hoops Rivalry – I. Ortiz, Jr.
  • Show: (4) Queen of Queens – T. Gaffalione
  • Joker: (6) Freaks Go – C. A. Torres

💡 Exacta: 12/9, 9/4, 4/6
💡 Trifecta: 12/9/4, 6/9/4


🔹 Race 8 – Starter Allowance ($76,000) – 6.5F Dirt – 4:19 PM

  • Win: (4) Gloriette – J. L. Ortiz
  • Place: (8) Our Liberty Belle – I. Ortiz, Jr.
  • Show: (6) Promises to Dance – T. Gaffalione
  • Joker: (9) De’ Ans Eighty – C. A. Torres

💡 Exacta: 4/8, 8/6, 6/9
💡 Trifecta: 4/8/6, 9/8/6


🔹 Race 9 – Maiden Claiming ($48,000) – 1M Dirt – 4:50 PM

  • Win: (2) Steel Venom – J. L. Ortiz
  • Place: (1) Fine Vino – I. Ortiz, Jr.
  • Show: (3) Helm Place – T. Gaffalione
  • Joker: (10) Seven Taylors – E. Asmussen

💡 Exacta: 2/1, 1/3, 3/10
💡 Trifecta: 2/1/3, 10/1/3


🎯 Final Word

The Raymond Track Report for Churchill Downs is locked, loaded, and ready to chttps://atsstats.com/https://www.atsstats.com/horse-racing-tipsheet-2/ash. Whether you’re chasing Exacta boxes, hammering Trifectas, or looking for that sneaky Joker play, today’s card offers plenty of angles.

👉 Want full coverage for ALL major tracks every day? Head over to the Premium Horse Racing Section.


 

Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.
Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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