Jockey Joel Rosario, atop Sir Winston (7), right, reacts as after crossing the finish line ahead of Tacitus (10), with jockey Jose Ortiz up, to win the 151st running of the Belmont Stakes horse race, Saturday, June 8, 2019, in Elmont, N.Y. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)
Track: Aqueduct Racetrack, New York
Surface: Dirt & Outer Turf
Style: Value-Driven Playbook for Smart Bettors
The fall meet at Aqueduct continues today with a balanced card — a little dirt, a little turf, and plenty of opportunities to find soft spots where the public is asleep. Today’s Raymond Track Report horse racing tipsheet emphasizes mid-tier longshots with tactical positioning and rider intent.
Top Play: (1) Lost in Rome – 6-1
A gritty veteran who knows this track well. Brew Pub (6) brings consistent speed, and Saratoga Flash (7) profiles well for trifectas.
Bet Structuring: Exacta 1/6 and 6/7 boxes; Trifecta 1/6/7 box.
Expect the rail trip to pay dividends early.
Top Play: (4) Secane – 9-5
Sharp form and proven mile stamina make Secane the one to beat. Shilling (2) offers overlay potential, and Believable (5) could hang around for a piece.
Approach: Use Secane as a key in exotics, but box 4/2/5 for protection.
Top Play: (6) Lady Angelina – 8-1
Improving filly with a rider upgrade; offers good closing fractions. Neri (3) and Red Boots (1) are both capable if pace melts.
Play: 6/3 and 3/1 exacta boxes.
Chaos maiden sprint—bet small, dream big.
Top Play: (5) Alan Turing – 8-1
Pattern horse peaking at the right time. Mo Trump (3) and American Grant (1) bring experience. Conman (6) adds spice to deeper exotics.
Play: Turf races = trip-dependent. Hedge with trifecta box 5/3/1.
Top Play: (8) Natural Hunk – 20-1
Yes, 20-1. Dirt sprint longshots win these low-level maiden races more than you think. Seeker’s Hope (4) and Freedom Maker (6) offer the right mix of speed and balance.
Angle: Chaos race. Use in doubles and trifectas at small stakes.
Top Play: (6) Tideoftime – 9-2
Top turf jockey + strong finishing ability. Bella Knows (4) and Getting Serious (1) complete a logical trio.
Strategy: Turf stakes—expect a late closer to steal the show.
Top Play: (7) Margarita Molly – 4-1
Consistent works and tactical gate speed. Mathea (2) offers sneaky potential at 15-1, while Magic in My Eyes (9) is a must-use underneath.
Exacta/Trifecta: 7/2/9 box — value balance across price tiers.
Top Play: (9) Saratoga Snow – 15-1
Class dropper with a big chance if the pace heats up. Fast and Frisky (14) and Royal Bobbie (11) both live contenders.
Angle: Turf allowance = deep closing types thrive. Include Munny Grab (5) for coverage.
Top Play: (11) Widdershins – 30-1
Yes, that’s not a typo. Massive price with late kick. Inflammabelle (9) and Proud Mary (4) are worth using in multi-race plays.
Longshot Logic: Turf claimers late in the card = bombs away.
✅ Prioritize value: skip underlays, focus on true overlays
✅ Use exacta/trifecta boxes where price justifies
✅ Avoid emotional betting in maiden or claiming chaos races
✅ Track bias at Aqueduct favors tactical speed early, closers late on turf
For the full card breakdowns, long-term ROI tracking, and 80% Club stats, visit:
👉 ATSStats.com
Smart bettors don’t chase; they anticipate.
Raymond Track Report — Where Data Meets Discipline. 🏇💰
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