Ron Raymond’s NHL Market Pulse Report – Monday, November 3, 2025
The A-tier board is crowded, the B-tier is split between genuine risers and brand-name chop, and the C-tier is where the mispricing lives. The current tape says “ride the heat, fade the hype, and cherry-pick plus-price value.” Quick humor aside, bankroll discipline matters more than ever when half the card sits in Neutral.
A-Tier: Leaders and leverage
Montreal, Winnipeg, New Jersey, Detroit, Utah, Anaheim, Carolina, Pittsburgh
Heat check: Montreal and Winnipeg both sit 9-3 with 5-2 last-7 and active 3-game win streaks. That is Bullish with 71% confidence for each. The DMVI prints at −156 to −158, which signals the market has already caught up. Translation: strong but rarely discounted. Grade them “Ride or Reduce” depending on price.
Anaheim: 7-4, 5-2 last-7, 3-game win streak, Bullish 71%, and a +110 DMVI. That positive DMVI is your green light that the market might still be a step slow on the Ducks. This is the A-tier value outlier.
Utah: 8-4 with a recent 2-game slide, yet still Bullish 71%. DMVI −119 says respect is already priced in. Treat as a hold until the slide stops.
Carolina: 7-4 but Neutral 42% with a −200 DMVI. That is classic “great team, poor price.” Talent is not a coupon.
New Jersey, Detroit, Pittsburgh: All A-grade with Neutral confidence and moderate negatives on DMVI. They win enough to anchor parlays, although the number rarely flatters.
Pass or fade expensive tags: Carolina, New Jersey, Detroit
B-Tier: Sorting contenders from pretenders
Columbus, Vegas, Colorado, Tampa Bay, NY Islanders, Washington, Boston, Dallas, Toronto, Philadelphia, Florida
Momentum buys:
Tampa Bay: 5-game win streak, Bullish 71%, +124 DMVI. Still dealing at the window.
NY Islanders: 2-game win streak, Neutral, +155 DMVI. A market lag candidate in pick’em ranges.
Columbus:Bullish 71%, −110 DMVI. Playing above sticker, but not overpriced yet.
Caution flags:
Colorado: 2-5 last-7, Bearish 28% with −160 DMVI. The name on the jersey still costs full freight while current form does not.
Washington: 4-game losing streak, Bearish 28%, −140 DMVI. Price has not fully broken.
Chop zone, price-only entries: Boston, Dallas, Toronto, Philadelphia, Florida, Vegas. All at 0.50 win% with Neutral reads and DMVIs orbiting par. These are market-true teams. Bet the number, not the logo.
Actionable read:
Buy: Tampa Bay, NY Islanders
Speculative buy: Columbus at fair moneylines
Fade until form flips: Colorado, Washington
C-Tier: Where the edges hide
Ottawa, Edmonton, Vancouver, NY Rangers, Seattle, Buffalo, Chicago, Nashville, Los Angeles, San Jose, Minnesota, St. Louis, Calgary
Mispriced with upside:
San Jose: 4-9 never looks pretty, yet the +208 DMVI is the largest on the board. Recent 4-3 stretch with Neutral 57% suggests you can fish plus-prices in the softer spots. Scale small, choose opponents.
NY Rangers: 3-game win streak, Neutral 57%, −198 DMVI. The market is already paying attention. You are not sneaking a bargain here.
Ottawa, Edmonton: Both Neutral 57% with competitive L7 profiles. DMVI sits negative, so treat them as live dogs only when the price sweetens.
Cold tape, beware the sticker:
Vancouver: 2-5 last-7, Bearish 28%, +115 DMVI. Value exists, form does not. If you buy, do it at home or in divisional spots you like.
Minnesota:Bearish 28%, +115 DMVI. Same story, slightly worse baseline.
St. Louis: 0-7 last-7, Bearish 0% with +152 DMVI. The number will tempt you. The tape should not. Demand a massive price or pass.
Deep-value long shots:
Calgary: 3-11 with +174 DMVI. Price is attractive because performance is not. Treat as a scheduling or matchup one-off only.
Hottest win-streaks: Tampa Bay 5W, Montreal 3W, Winnipeg 3W, NY Rangers 3W, Boston 3W.
Coldest slides: St. Louis 7L, Washington 4L, Utah 2L, Seattle 2L, Dallas 2L.
Pricing Lens via DMVI
Most overvalued cluster (big negative DMVI): Carolina, New Jersey, Montreal, Winnipeg, Colorado. You can still back them, although you must beat the closing line.
Most undervalued cluster (big positive DMVI): San Jose, NY Islanders, Calgary, Chicago. Value is not a synonym for “good,” it is a synonym for “mispriced.”
Suggested portfolio for tonight’s board style
Core rides at sensible numbers: Anaheim, Tampa Bay
Price-hunts: NY Islanders near even money, Columbus as a short dog or small favorite
Speculative sprinkle: San Jose if the opponent’s recent form is middling or travel-compromised
Fades or pass-throughs at public prices: Carolina, Colorado, Washington, St. Louis
Final word
The market is efficient on the shiny A-teams. The edge this week sits in B-tier momentum and selective C-tier mispricing. If you want a sharper card and daily MVI moves, members get the full Raymond Report dashboards, 80% Club filters, and SBI charts at ATSSTATS.com. Join, plug into the tools, and stop guessing.
Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a well-known sports handicapper who runs ATS Stats and the Raymond REPORT. He has over 21 years of experience in the industry and provides expert analysis and predictions for various sports, including football, baseball, hockey, and basketball.