TRACK IDENTIFIER: Saratoga Race Course (SAR)
DATE: Friday, July 3, 2026
CARD STATUS: 11-Race Program [FREE]
TOTAL PAYOUT (EST.): $0.00 (Pre-Race Analysis)
MARKET SENTIMENT: BULLISH (Grade A)
OVERVIEW
Data-driven horse racing tipsheet for the full 11-race card at Saratoga. Analysis utilizes the Raymond Report proprietary data set, emphasizing Jockey Win %, Trainer "In The Money" (ITM) historicals, and situational dirt/turf proficiency. All recommendations are generated via statistical modeling.
RACE #1: ALLOWANCE ($120,000)
- POST TIME: 01:10 PM
- DISTANCE: 1 1/8 MILES
- SURFACE: DIRT
| PICK ORDER |
M/L |
HORSE NAME (NO.) |
JOCKEY (WIN %) |
| WIN |
5-1 |
(1) Nogradi |
M Chuan (32%) |
| PLACE |
6-1 |
(7) Copious |
J L Ortiz (30%) |
| SHOW |
8-1 |
(3) Chillax |
T Gaffalione (28%) |
| JOKER |
6-1 |
(5) Pretty Boy Miah |
R Santana, Jr. (24%) |
- ALTERNATE 1: (6) Founders (3-1)
- ALTERNATE 2: (2) McAfee (9-2)
- EXACTA BOX: 1/7, 7/3, 3/5
- TRIFECTA BOX: 1/7/3, 5/7/3
- BEST WIN RECORD: 1
- TOP ITM TRAINERS: 7/6/4/5
RACE #2: MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT ($115,000)
- POST TIME: 01:43 PM
- DISTANCE: 5 1/2 FURLONGS
- SURFACE: TURF
| PICK ORDER |
M/L |
HORSE NAME (NO.) |
JOCKEY (WIN %) |
| WIN |
12-1 |
(2) Space for Grace |
P Lopez (43%) |
| PLACE |
7-2 |
(3) Charlotte's Beach |
J L Ortiz (30%) |
| SHOW |
12-1 |
(7) Allura |
T Gaffalione (28%) |
| JOKER |
20-1 |
(8) Bourbon Madness |
D Davis (25%) |
- ALTERNATE 1: (9) Rockabye (4-1)
- ALTERNATE 2: (1) Greatest Joy (8-1)
- EXACTA BOX: 2/3, 3/7, 7/8
- TRIFECTA BOX: 2/3/7, 8/3/7
- BEST WIN RECORD: 9/1
- TOP ITM TRAINERS: 5/9/3/6
RACE #3: ALLOWANCE ($105,000)
- POST TIME: 02:17 PM
- DISTANCE: 6 FURLONGS
- SURFACE: DIRT
| PICK ORDER |
M/L |
HORSE NAME (NO.) |
JOCKEY (WIN %) |
| WIN |
5-1 |
(4) Fireballin |
T Gaffalione (28%) |
| PLACE |
15-1 |
(6) B Provocateur |
R Santana, Jr. (24%) |
| SHOW |
5-2 |
(3) Anyway |
M Franco (22%) |
| JOKER |
6-1 |
(7) The Toy Cannon |
J Rodriguez (23%) |
- ALTERNATE 1: (5) Blue Roof Beau (4-1)
- ALTERNATE 2: (1) Mo for the King (8-5)
- EXACTA BOX: 4/6, 6/3, 3/7
- TRIFECTA BOX: 4/6/3, 7/6/3
- BEST WIN RECORD: 1
- TOP ITM TRAINERS: 3/1/5/7
RACE #4: MAIDEN CLAIMING ($41,000)
- POST TIME: 02:51 PM
- DISTANCE: 7 FURLONGS
- SURFACE: DIRT
| PICK ORDER |
M/L |
HORSE NAME (NO.) |
JOCKEY (WIN %) |
| WIN |
15-1 |
(6) Big Brooklyn |
R Gutierrez (33%) |
| PLACE |
9-2 |
(2) Trail Blaze |
J L Ortiz (30%) |
| SHOW |
10-1 |
(1) Rumblyoungmanrumbl |
J Castellano (28%) |
| JOKER |
15-1 |
(4) Bellamy |
R Santana, Jr. (24%) |
- ALTERNATE 1: (5) Ryan's Shadow (4-1)
- ALTERNATE 2: (3) Private Flight (5-2)
- EXACTA BOX: 6/2, 2/1, 1/4
- TRIFECTA BOX: 6/2/1, 4/2/1
- BEST WIN RECORD: 3/1
- TOP ITM TRAINERS: 5/2/8/9
RACE #5: ALLOWANCE ($120,000)
- POST TIME: 03:25 PM
- DISTANCE: 5 1/2 FURLONGS
- SURFACE: TURF
| PICK ORDER |
M/L |
HORSE NAME (NO.) |
JOCKEY (WIN %) |
| WIN |
5-1 |
(7) Oscar's Encore |
J L Ortiz (30%) |
| PLACE |
15-1 |
(4) Ratu Jawa |
C Gonzalez (29%) |
| SHOW |
8-1 |
(8) Kilby Girl |
D Davis (25%) |
| JOKER |
4-1 |
(3) Paula's a Star |
R Santana, Jr. (24%) |
- ALTERNATE 1: (2) Next On Stage (6-1)
- ALTERNATE 2: (6) One Last Knock (6-1)
- EXACTA BOX: 7/4, 4/8, 8/3
- TRIFECTA BOX: 7/4/8, 3/4/8
- BEST WIN RECORD: 1
- TOP ITM TRAINERS: 8/1/2/7
RACE #6: CLAIMING ($37,000)
- POST TIME: 03:59 PM
- DISTANCE: 1 1/8 MILES
- SURFACE: DIRT
| PICK ORDER |
M/L |
HORSE NAME (NO.) |
JOCKEY (WIN %) |
| WIN |
8-1 |
(2) Catch the Smoke |
R Gutierrez (33%) |
| PLACE |
5-2 |
(4) Metatron's Muse |
J L Ortiz (30%) |
| SHOW |
9-2 |
(5) Shipsational |
S Gonzalez (24%) |
| JOKER |
5-1 |
(1) Polar Bear Plunge |
R Santana, Jr. (24%) |
- ALTERNATE 1: (3) Prove Worthy (7-2)
- ALTERNATE 2: (6) Petrolo (6-1)
- EXACTA BOX: 2/4, 4/5, 5/1
- TRIFECTA BOX: 2/4/5, 1/4/5
- BEST WIN RECORD: 1
- TOP ITM TRAINERS: 2/3/5/4
RACE #7: ALLOWANCE ($120,000)
- POST TIME: 04:33 PM
- DISTANCE: 7 FURLONGS
- SURFACE: DIRT
| PICK ORDER |
M/L |
HORSE NAME (NO.) |
JOCKEY (WIN %) |
| WIN |
6-1 |
(5) Fort Nelson |
J L Ortiz (30%) |
| PLACE |
3-1 |
(2) Belgian |
J Castellano (28%) |
| SHOW |
4-1 |
(6) Magnanimous Max |
M Franco (22%) |
| JOKER |
15-1 |
(4) Private Desire |
J Rodriguez (23%) |
- ALTERNATE 1: (7) White Smoke Rising (9-2)
- ALTERNATE 2: (3) Hit the Post (7-2)
- EXACTA BOX: 5/2, 2/6, 6/4
- TRIFECTA BOX: 5/2/6, 4/2/6
- BEST WIN RECORD: 2/1
- TOP ITM TRAINERS: 1/7/6/5
RACE #8: STAKES ($150,000)
- POST TIME: 05:07 PM
- DISTANCE: 1 MILE
- SURFACE: INNER TURF
| PICK ORDER |
M/L |
HORSE NAME (NO.) |
JOCKEY (WIN %) |
| WIN |
6-1 |
(9) I Love Giraffes |
P Lopez (43%) |
| PLACE |
9-2 |
(7) To a Flame |
J L Ortiz (30%) |
| SHOW |
7-2 |
(6) Smexy |
T Gaffalione (28%) |
| JOKER |
12-1 |
(2) Paris Carver |
J Castellano (28%) |
- ALTERNATE 1: (8) Lovely Grey (4-1)
- ALTERNATE 2: (5) Faye's Gold (20-1)
- EXACTA BOX: 9/7, 7/6, 6/2
- TRIFECTA BOX: 9/7/6, 2/7/6
- BEST WIN RECORD: 10/1
- TOP ITM TRAINERS: 1/4/2/11
RACE #9: STAKES ($200,000)
- POST TIME: 05:41 PM
- DISTANCE: 6 FURLONGS
- SURFACE: DIRT
| PICK ORDER |
M/L |
HORSE NAME (NO.) |
JOCKEY (WIN %) |
| WIN |
6-1 |
(6) Harper's Corner |
P Lopez (43%) |
| PLACE |
7-2 |
(1) Voyager |
J L Ortiz (30%) |
| SHOW |
10-1 |
(7) Costa Linda |
X Perez (30%) |
| JOKER |
4-1 |
(5) Washton |
T Gaffalione (28%) |
- ALTERNATE 1: (4) Madeleine Swann (8-1)
- ALTERNATE 2: (3) Pot's Right (12-1)
- EXACTA BOX: 6/1, 1/7, 7/5
- TRIFECTA BOX: 6/1/7, 5/1/7
- BEST WIN RECORD: 1
- TOP ITM TRAINERS: 3/6/4/1
RACE #10: STAKES ($150,000)
- POST TIME: 06:15 PM
- DISTANCE: 1 1/16 MILES
- SURFACE: TURF
| PICK ORDER |
M/L |
HORSE NAME (NO.) |
JOCKEY (WIN %) |
| WIN |
12-1 |
(3) Go Grey |
P Lopez (43%) |
| PLACE |
9-2 |
(1) Siyouincanada |
J L Ortiz (30%) |
| SHOW |
20-1 |
(6) My Favorite Bird |
T Gaffalione (28%) |
| JOKER |
15-1 |
(12) A Little At First |
J Castellano (28%) |
- ALTERNATE 1: (2) Heeere's Johnny (20-1)
- ALTERNATE 2: (8) Print (20-1)
- EXACTA BOX: 3/1, 1/6, 6/12
- TRIFECTA BOX: 3/1/6, 12/1/6
- BEST WIN RECORD: 1
- TOP ITM TRAINERS: 11/1/3/4
RACE #11: STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING ($78,000)
- POST TIME: 06:49 PM
- DISTANCE: 1 1/16 MILES
- SURFACE: INNER TURF
| PICK ORDER |
M/L |
HORSE NAME (NO.) |
JOCKEY (WIN %) |
| WIN |
10-1 |
(2) Spying |
T Gaffalione (28%) |
| PLACE |
30-1 |
(7) Lady River Lily |
C Gonzalez (29%) |
| SHOW |
6-1 |
(9) River Tay |
D Davis (25%) |
| JOKER |
30-1 |
(1) Yau Majesty |
R Santana, Jr. (24%) |
- ALTERNATE 1: (4) Lotus Petal (20-1)
- ALTERNATE 2: (2-1) (5) Dividend Recap (2-1)
- EXACTA BOX: 2/7, 7/9, 9/1
- TRIFECTA BOX: 2/7/9, 1/7/9
- BEST WIN RECORD: 1
- TOP ITM TRAINERS: 10/6/1/5
STATISTICAL DEFINITIONS & METRICS
To properly utilize the ATS Stats Horse Racing Tipsheets, bettors must understand the core metrics integrated into our daily race cards.
- C.O.W. (Chance of Winning): Our proprietary metric calculated using situational trends and jockey/trainer efficiency ratings. C.O.W. indicates the statistical probability of a horse finishing first based on the current race conditions (surface, distance, class).
- BEST WIN RECORD: Identifies horses with the highest historical winning percentage within the current field.
- TRAINER ITM (In The Money) %: Highlights trainers whose entries consistently finish 1st, 2nd, or 3rd at the current track or within the specified race class.
- JOKER: A high-value longshot identified by our AI models as having a significant variance from the Morning Line (M/L) odds versus their actual probability of success.
For deeper analysis on these metrics and to view daily results from over 50+ tracks across North America, visit our Horse Racing Stats Database.
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