SBI Market Report – MLB, College Football & NFL (Weekend Recap, Sept 22, 2025)

Welcome back to the Raymond Report SBI Market Recap at ATS STATS, where we break down the Sports Betting Index (SBI) across MLB, College Football (NCAAF), and the NFL. With all three leagues in action this past weekend, bettors saw clear market shifts — especially with favorites flexing in both football and baseball.

⚾ MLB SBI Market Recap – Monday, Sept 22, 2025

Straight-Up (SU) Favorites

• 1-Day: 47% – Neutral
• 3-Day: 37.3% – Bearish
• 7-Day: 52.3% – Neutral

Totals (Over/Under)

• 1-Day: 40% Overs – Bearish
• 3-Day: 49% Overs – Neutral
• 7-Day: 46.3% Overs – Neutral

ATS Favorites (Runline)

• 1-Day: 47% – Neutral
• 3-Day: 37% – Bearish
• 7-Day: 53% – Neutral

👉 Takeaway: MLB favorites cooled off hard in the 3-day window (just 37.3%), while Overs also underwhelmed at 40%. Market shows signs of regression with dogs cashing tickets.

🏈 NCAAF SBI Market Recap – Week 5

Straight-Up (SU) Favorites

• Week 5: 75% – Bullish
• YTD: 75.4% – Bullish

Totals (Over/Under)

• Week 5: 20% Overs – Bearish
• YTD: 30.4% Overs – Bearish

ATS Favorites

• Week 5: 0% – Bearish
• YTD: 34.7% – Bearish

👉 Takeaway: College Football favorites continue to dominate SU (75%+ win rate), but ATS bettors backing chalk are getting burned. Totals have stayed underwhelming, with Overs way below market expectations.

🏈 NFL SBI Market Recap – Week 4

Straight-Up (SU) Favorites

• Week 4: 50% – Neutral
• YTD: 57.8% – Bullish

Totals (Over/Under)

• Week 4: 61.5% Overs – Bullish
• YTD: 49.8% – Neutral

ATS Favorites

• Week 4: 50% – Neutral
• YTD: 56.3% – Bullish

👉 Takeaway: NFL betting has evened out. After a strong Week 3 for chalk, Week 4 saw balance with SU faves at 50%. The big surprise? Overs surged (61.5%), showing that offense is catching up to defenses.

🔑 Overall Market Insights

• MLB: Dogs are alive short-term; 3-day stretch showed heavy underdog value.
• NCAAF: Chalk rules SU, but ATS players need to pivot — dogs are where the value lies.
• NFL: Overs woke up in Week 4, could indicate a market shift toward offense moving forward.

📌 Conclusion

The SBI shows us the heartbeat of the betting markets. As of Sept 22, 2025:

• Baseball is sliding toward dog value.
• College Football remains a chalk-eaters’ paradise SU, but ATS backers of faves are getting punished.
• NFL continues to balance, but last week proved the Over train is leaving the station.

Stay ahead of the market every week with the Raymond Report SBI charts at ATSStats.com.