The Sports Betting Value Report
What is the Sports Betting Value Report?
The Sports Betting Value Report is a sports betting publication which identifies the best valued money line underdog plays on the betting board. Only games with an opening line of +150 or less are posted, the equivalent to a 40% or greater chance of winning.
|Value Play||Opening Line||Value Rating||Win/Loss Margin||Premium/Discount||Projected Win%||Current Line||50 VR Line||Optimal Line|
|Red Sox-A||-105||50.50||+0.04||1%||50%||+101||In Play||+110|
Key Indicator= Considered a positive indicator for the Value Play for which it is assigned.
Value Play: Any Money Line Underdog with an opening betting line of +150 or lower. H=Home, A=Away
Opening Line: All opening lines are from the Las Vegas Westgate Super book.
Value Rating: Our Value Rating is based on our team ranking system, our projected win/loss margin and the odds of the Underdog Money Line. The Value Rating is based on the current line. Key Indicator= 50 or greater
Win/Loss Margin: Our Projected win/loss margin by the underdog versus the favorite. Key Indicator= (3 Points or less, one possession)
Note: The underdog does not have to have a winning margin in order for it to be considered a good value play
Premium/Discount: The percentage increase/decrease from the opening line to the current line. Key Indicator= 10% premium or greater.
Projected Win %: How likely the Value Play is to win the game outright based on the OPENING money line assigned by Las Vegas bookmakers.
Current Line: The current line at the time our report is released. All lines are from Betonline.com. Key Indicator= Green highlight indicates the current line is posted at the optimal line or better.
50 VR Line: The target line needed for the Value Play to have a Value Rating of 50 or greater. NA= Line is +200 and out of play. Key Indicator= “In Play”- The Value Play currently has a Value Rating of 50 or greater.
Note: Many times the 50 VR Line will be the same as the optimal line.
Optimal Line: The target betting line needed in order for the Underdog to reach a Value Rating of 50 AND carry a 10% premium from the opening line. NA= +200 and out of play. Key Indicator= If the underdog stands at their optimal line at the time the report is posted, the current line will he highlighted in green.