The Sports Betting Value Report- MLB

The Sports Betting Value Report


What is the Sports Betting Value Report?

The Sports Betting Value Report is a sports betting publication which identifies the best valued money line underdog plays on the betting board. Only games with an opening line of +150 or less are posted, the equivalent to a 40% or greater chance of winning.

To view the Sports Betting Value Report for all sports visit us at: or follow us at @plusmoneywagers.

Value Play Opening Line Value Rating Win/Loss Margin Premium/Discount Projected Win% Current Line 50 VR Line Optimal Line
Angels-A +112 56.50 +0.18 1% 47% +113 In Play +123
Red Sox-A -105 50.50 +0.04 1% 50% +101 In Play +110
Cardinals-A +110 48 (0.11) (2%) 48% +108 +113 +121
D-Backs-A +130 46.50 (0.28) 1% 44% +129 +139 +143
Athletics-H +135 40 (0.46) 10% 43% +148 +186 +186
Mets-A +103 37.50 (0.28) 2% 49% +105 +139 +139
Royals-A -103 12 (0.78) 8% 50% +108 NA NA


Key Indicator= Considered a positive indicator for the Value Play for which it is assigned.

Value Play: Any Money Line Underdog with an opening betting line of +150 or lower. H=Home, A=Away

Opening Line: All opening lines are from the Las Vegas Westgate Super book.

Value Rating:  Our Value Rating is based on our team ranking system, our projected win/loss margin and the odds of the Underdog Money Line.  The Value Rating is based on the current line.  Key Indicator= 50 or greater

Win/Loss Margin: Our Projected win/loss margin by the underdog versus the favorite.  Key Indicator= (3 Points or less, one possession)

Note: The underdog does not have to have a winning margin in order for it to be considered a good value play

Premium/Discount: The percentage increase/decrease from the opening line to the current line. Key Indicator= 10% premium or greater.

Projected Win %: How likely the Value Play is to win the game outright based on the OPENING money line assigned by Las Vegas bookmakers.

Current Line: The current line at the time our report is released.  All lines are from Key Indicator= Green highlight indicates the current line is posted at the optimal line or better.

50 VR Line: The target line needed for the Value Play to have a Value Rating of 50 or greater. NA= Line is +200 and out of play.   Key Indicator= “In Play”- The Value Play currently has a Value Rating of 50 or greater.

Note: Many times the 50 VR Line will be the same as the optimal line.

Optimal Line: The target betting line needed in order for the Underdog to reach a Value Rating of 50 AND carry a 10% premium from the opening line.  NA= +200 and out of play.  Key Indicator= If the underdog stands at their optimal line at the time the report is posted, the current line will he highlighted in green.