The NHL Value Sheet: Saturday’s Raymond Report Card (March 28, 2026)

DATE: Saturday, March 28, 2026
MODULE: Raymond Report Card (NHL)
OUTPUT: NHL Value Sheet (MoneyLine)
METRIC KEY: C.O.W. (Chance of Winning), Forecast (Proj Score), Sentiment (BULLISH/BEARISH/NEUTRAL + Index), MVI (Market Value Index), BET(U)

INTRO (RAYMOND REPORT CARD + AIPL)

Ron Raymond’s Raymond Report Card flags pricing errors (MoneyLine) using forecast modeling + market context. This NHL Value Sheet is the same decision stack used inside the AIPL (AI Capper Franchise)—a buy-and-own AI capper business with Manual Mode (you make the calls) and Auto Pilot Mode (AI executes the card). All picks tracked; performance transparent; head-to-head AI vs AI.

ATS Stats (NHL hub): https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK (HOW TO READ THIS SHEET)

C.O.W. = Chance of Winning (SU).
Forecast = projected score (team goals).
Sentiment = market posture tag:

BULLISH = market tailwind
BEARISH = market headwind
NEUTRAL = no directional bias
(Parenthetical index = strength / signal count on the day)

MVI (Market Value Index) = implied “fair” MoneyLine vs current market.

More negative MVI than the market price on a favorite = potential discount
Positive MVI while priced as dog/favorite = potential misprice

GRADES

GRADE A = highest edge + highest unit tier
GRADE B = playable edge / value pocket
GRADE C = small edge / price-sensitive

BEST BETS — GRADE A (5 UNITS)

OTTAWA SENATORS @ TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING

Forecast: 2.77 to 3.32 (Total Forecast: 6.09)
C.O.W.: 60.63%
Sentiment: NEUTRAL (2)
Market Value Index: -194
Recommendation: TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING -154 — 5 Units
Analytical angle: Side price is well within our -210 cap and aligns with the Grade A Value Index of -194.
Deep Dive: Ottawa @ Tampa Bay Stats — https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

NEW JERSEY DEVILS @ CAROLINA HURRICANES

Forecast: 2.85 to 3.27 (Total Forecast: 6.12)
C.O.W.: 59.8%
Sentiment: NEUTRAL (4)
Market Value Index: -193.17
Recommendation: CAROLINA HURRICANES -208 — 5 Units
Analytical angle: This is right at our maximum price threshold. The model supports the ML play for the Grade A home favorite.
Deep Dive: New Jersey @ Carolina Stats — https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

SEATTLE KRAKEN @ BUFFALO SABRES

Forecast: 3.01 to 3.69 (Total Forecast: 6.7)
C.O.W.: 65%
Sentiment: NEUTRAL (3)
Market Value Index: -160
Recommendation: OVER 6.5 (Forecast 6.7) — 5 Units
Analytical angle: Swapping side for total. The forecast indicates an offensive surge, clearing the 6.5 market total with confidence.
Deep Dive: Seattle @ Buffalo Stats — https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

WINNIPEG JETS @ COLORADO AVALANCHE

Forecast: 2.97 to 3.08 (Total Forecast: 6.05)
C.O.W.: 63.16%
Sentiment: NEUTRAL (12)
Market Value Index: -318.33
Recommendation: UNDER 6 (Forecast 6.05) — 5 Units
Analytical angle: The ML price (-278) exceeds our -210 limit. Pivot to total; model projects a tight landing near the number with downside bias.
Deep Dive: Winnipeg @ Colorado Stats — https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

NHL ice-level action photo: puck drop with market-style overlays (C.O.W., Forecast, MVI).

GRADE B & C VALUE PLAYS

DALLAS STARS @ PITTSBURGH PENGUINS

Forecast: 3.37 to 2.24
C.O.W.: 41.36% (on Pitt)
Sentiment: NEUTRAL (12)
Market Value Index: 122
Recommendation: PITTSBURGH PENGUINS +110 — 4 Units
The dog play of the day. Value index indicates Pittsburgh should be favored; grabbing plus money is sharp.
Deep Dive: Dallas vs Pittsburgh Stats — https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

MINNESOTA WILD @ BOSTON BRUINS

Forecast: 3.69 to 2.76 (Total Forecast: 6.45)
C.O.W.: 42.11% (on Boston)
Sentiment: NEUTRAL (55)
Market Value Index: 121.83
Recommendation: OVER 6 (Forecast 6.45) — 4 Units
Analytical angle: Model shows a clear discrepancy between the market total (6) and the projected output (6.45).
Deep Dive: Minnesota @ Boston Stats — https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

FLORIDA PANTHERS @ NY ISLANDERS

Forecast: 2.54 to 3.05 (Total Forecast: 5.59)
C.O.W.: 59.38%
Sentiment: NEUTRAL (18)
Market Value Index: -152.62
Recommendation: NY ISLANDERS -189 — 4 Units
Market angle: Favorite priced to win; MVI supports edge at current tag.
Deep Dive: Florida vs NY Islanders Stats — https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

PHILADELPHIA FLYERS @ DETROIT RED WINGS

Forecast: 2.87 to 3.25 (Total Forecast: 6.12)
C.O.W.: 57.41%
Sentiment: NEUTRAL (0)
Market Value Index: -146.5
Recommendation: OVER 5.5 (Forecast 6.12) — 4 Units
Analytical angle: Significant gap in the total. The forecast suggests at least 6 goals, making the Over 5.5 a high-conviction play.
Deep Dive: Philadelphia @ Detroit Stats — https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

MONTREAL CANADIENS @ NASHVILLE PREDATORS

Forecast: 3.61 to 3.02 (Total Forecast: 6.63)
C.O.W.: 57.89%
Sentiment: NEUTRAL (25)
Market Value Index: -135
Recommendation: MONTREAL CANADIENS -120 — 3 Units
Market angle: Price under model fair line; projection pushes scoring environment north of 6.5.
Deep Dive: Montreal vs Nashville Stats — https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

UTAH HOCKEY CLUB @ LOS ANGELES KINGS

Forecast: 2.54 to 2.9 (Total Forecast: 5.44)
C.O.W.: 50%
Sentiment: NEUTRAL (6)
Market Value Index: 117.75
Recommendation: UNDER 5.5 (Forecast 5.44) — 3 Units
Analytical angle: Defensive matchup indicator. Model projects a landing below the current market total.
Deep Dive: Utah @ Los Angeles Stats — https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

SAN JOSE SHARKS @ COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS

Forecast: 3.03 to 3.17 (Total Forecast: 6.2)
C.O.W.: 57.58%
Sentiment: BULLISH (7)
Market Value Index: -143.57
Recommendation: UNDER 6.5 (Forecast 6.2) — 2 Units
Analytical angle: Total sits above model output; under positions against inflated scoring expectation.
Deep Dive: San Jose @ Columbus Stats — https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS @ ST. LOUIS BLUES

Forecast: 3.0 to 3.3 (Total Forecast: 6.3)
Recommendation: OVER 6 (Forecast 6.3) — 1 Unit
Analytical angle: Projection clears 6; minimal exposure due to thin margin.
Deep Dive: Toronto @ St. Louis Stats — https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

WASHINGTON CAPITALS @ VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS

Forecast: 2.78 to 3.16
Recommendation: WASHINGTON CAPITALS +135 — 1 Unit
Market angle: Dog ticket only; price-driven.
Deep Dive: Washington vs Vegas Stats — https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

VANCOUVER CANUCKS @ CALGARY FLAMES

Forecast: 3.06 to 3.37 (Total Forecast: 6.43)
C.O.W.: 58.15%
Recommendation: OVER 6 (Forecast 6.43) — 1 Unit
Analytical angle: Projection supports a 6+ goal environment; low unit due to limited edge.
Deep Dive: Vancouver @ Calgary Stats — https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

ANAHEIM DUCKS @ EDMONTON OILERS

Forecast: 2.88 to 3.34 (Total Forecast: 6.22)
C.O.W.: 55.92%
Recommendation: UNDER 6.5 (Forecast 6.22) — 1 Unit
Analytical angle: Model output sits below the 6.5 band; small unit.
Deep Dive: Anaheim @ Edmonton Stats — https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/

AIPL franchise visual with official logo and NHL dashboard styling.

AIPL (AI CAPPER FRANCHISE) — OWN THE CARD

AIPL converts sheets like this into a tracked, repeatable operation:

Manual Mode: you interpret C.O.W. + Forecast + Sentiment + MVI and build your own slate.
Auto Pilot Mode: AI deploys the card with risk rules (unit sizing) across books.
Transparent tracking: every capper/pick logged; standings updated; human-vs-AI measurable.

Entry point (NHL picks + models): https://www.atsstats.com/nhl-picks/