The Raymond Report Card: MLB Market Grades & Podcast Notes (April 2, 2026)
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Welcome to the April 2, 2026 edition of the Raymond Report Card. I’m Ron Raymond, and today we are breaking down the MLB market landscape using our proprietary analytical tools at ATS Stats. This report is designed for our podcast listeners and high-level subscribers who treat sports betting like a floor trader at the NYSE. We are moving beyond gut feelings and looking at Market Sentiment, DMVI (Daily Market Value Index), and Situational Trends.
Before we dive into the team grades, a quick note for those looking to level up: the AIPL (Artificial Intelligence Professional League) is now open for franchise ownership. This isn't just about following picks; it’s about owning the technology. Whether you prefer Manual Mode, where you drive the decisions based on our data, or Auto Pilot Mode, where our advanced AI cappers execute the strategy, AIPL offers a transparent, real-time tracking environment. It is the ultimate hybrid of human expertise and machine precision. You can check out the latest AI insights at AIPL Picks.
Now, let’s get into the records, the grades, and the ticker symbols for today’s MLB slate.
MINNESOTA TWINS ($MIN)
Market Grade: C
Market Sentiment: BEARISH (3 Days)
Confidence Index: 39%
Record: 0-0 Home, 1-4 Away | O/U Record: 2-3-0
Current Streak: 3 SU L
The Twins are priced with a DMVI of 135 and a C.O.W. (Chance of Winning) of 38.72%. Market status remains Bearish over the last 72 hours. Forecast: 4.41.
Pitching Outlook:
Bradley (R): Current starter.
Starter Matchup: Bradley (R) vs. Cole Ragans (L).
Situational Analytics:
Road Split: 1-4 Away.
Historical Under Trend: The Under is a staggering 2-10-0 for the Twins when playing in Kansas City over the last two years.
System Trend: When playing as a +120 to +140 road dog in the 3rd game of a series with a total of 9.5, the Under is 9-4 (69.2%).
Kansas City is holding an A-grade profile with a 65.84% Confidence Index equivalent on the current card. DMVI: -139. Forecast: 5.61.
Pitching Outlook:
Cole Ragans (L): Current starter.
Home Split: 2-0 Home.
Situational Analytics:
Dominance over $MIN: The Royals are 10-2 SU in their last 12 home games against the Twins.
C.O.W. (Chance of Winning): 65.84%.
Total Trend: When playing as a home favorite with a total between 9.5 and 10.0 following a divisional win, the Over has hit in 47 of the last 76 instances (61.8%).
TORONTO BLUE JAYS ($TOR)
Market Grade: A
Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (1 Day)
Confidence Index: 69%
Record: 4-2 Home, 0-0 Away | O/U Record: 2-4-0
Current Streak: 2 U
Toronto remains in an A-grade lane with a 68.75% C.O.W. reading and a 5.08 forecast. Market Sentiment: Neutral (1).
Pitching Outlook:
Dylan Cease (R): Current starter.
Kevin Gausman: On roster, but pitched yesterday.
Situational Analytics:
Favorite Reliability: Over the last 3 years, Toronto is 66-37 SU when playing as a favorite.
Home Split: 4-2 Home, 0-0 Away.
Thursday Trend: For all MLB teams playing on a Thursday against an AL opponent coming off a loss vs. a LHP, the Under is 13-7-1.
The White Sox remain in a deep Bearish cycle. Current card metrics: C.O.W. 28.75%, Forecast 3.00, Away split 1-5.
Pitching Outlook:
Sean Burke (R): Current starter.
Situational Analytics:
Over Streak: Despite the 1-5 SU record, the White Sox are currently on a 4-game Over streak. Their pitching staff is surrendering a massive 8.67 runs per game on the road.
The "Long Shot" Trend: Interestingly, the Over is 8-2 for the White Sox when they are listed as a heavy home underdog (+220 to +240) in night games.
Market Warning: DMVI not listed on current update. Market remains Bearish (199).
ATLANTA BRAVES ($ATL)
Market Grade: A
Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (2 Days)
Confidence Index: 49%
Record: 4-2 Home, 0-0 Away | O/U Record: 0-6-0
Current Streak: 6 U
Atlanta profile update: C.O.W. 49.04%, Forecast 4.70, Market Sentiment Neutral (2), Home split 4-2.
Pitching Outlook:
Reynaldo Lopez (R): Current starter.
Situational Analytics:
Elite Defense: The Braves have allowed only 2 runs per game on average over their last 7 contests.
Home Split: 4-2 Home, 0-0 Away.
System Total: When any MLB team is a -100 to -120 road favorite after a non-conference game in the first game of a series, the Under is 15-4-2.
Clutch Performers: Arizona is 9-3 SU as a home team when coming off a 3-game winning streak over the last two seasons.
Underdog Alert: When Arizona is a +100 to +120 home dog with a total between 9.0 and 9.5, the Over is 58-34-3 (63%).
Momentum: Current home form remains intact at 3-0.
NEW YORK METS ($NYM)
Market Grade: B
Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (2 Days)
Confidence Index: 45%
Record: 2-1 Home, 1-2 Away | O/U Record: 1-5-0
Current Streak: 5 U
The Mets carry a 44.67% C.O.W. reading with a 3.66 forecast. Market Sentiment remains Neutral (2).
Pitching Outlook:
David Peterson (L): Current starter against San Francisco.
Starter Matchup: Peterson (L) vs. Robbie Ray (L).
Situational Analytics:
Road Favorite Trend: The Mets are 10-3 SU as a road favorite over the last 2 years when they have had 5 or fewer Overs in their recent stretch.
LHP Factor: The Mets are 10-4 SU when played as a -120 to -140 road favorite coming off a loss against a left-handed pitcher.
Record Split: 2-1 Home, 1-2 Away.
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS ($S.F.)
Market Grade: C
Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (2 Days)
Confidence Index: 54%
Record: 0-3 Home, 2-1 Away | O/U Record: 1-3-2
Current Streak: 1 SU L
San Francisco update: C.O.W. 53.85%, Forecast 3.65, Market Sentiment Neutral (2). Split profile remains polarized.
Pitching Outlook:
Robbie Ray (L): Current starter.
Home/Away Split: 0-3 Home, 2-1 Away.
Situational Analytics:
Thursday Blues: The Under is 8-4 for the Giants in Thursday games over the last two seasons.
Home Dog Struggles: SF is winless in their last 3 tries as a home underdog, averaging only 0.33 runs in those games. That is a historically low offensive output that makes them an automatic fade until proven otherwise.
The Pitcher’s Board: Head-to-Head Performance
Pitcher
Team
Throws
Current Status
Key Stat
Bradley
MIN
R
Current starter
C.O.W. 38.72%
Cole Ragans
KC
L
Current starter
Forecast 5.61
Dylan Cease
TOR
R
Current starter
C.O.W. 68.75%
Sean Burke
CWS
R
Current starter
Forecast 3.00
Reynaldo Lopez
ATL
R
Current starter
Forecast 4.70
Kyle Nelson
ARI
L
Current starter
C.O.W. 48.43%
David Peterson
NYM
L
Current starter
Forecast 3.66
Robbie Ray
S.F.
L
Current starter
C.O.W. 53.85%
AIPL: The Future of Sports Betting Franchises
As we wrap up today's Raymond Report Card, it's important to look at how we process this data. At ATS Stats, we don't just provide a database; we provide an ecosystem. The AIPL (Artificial Intelligence Professional League) is the first of its kind: an AI Capper Franchise that you can own.
Imagine having a "digital employee" working 24/7, scanning millions of data points across our SOS (Strength of Schedule) and PVI (Predictive Value Index) databases.
Auto Pilot Mode: Our AI utilizes deep-learning models to identify high-probability outcomes, like the Atlanta Braves' Under streak or the Blue Jays' April seasonal trends.
Manual Mode: Use the AIPL dashboard to input your own insights and compete against the AI. It's a "Wall Street meets Vegas" environment where transparency is the priority. Every pick is tracked in real-time, and every franchise owner has access to the same high-level data Ron Raymond uses for his daily broadcasts.
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