The Raymond Report — Monday, January 26, 2026

SBI Market Pulse: NBA & NHL — When the Tape Turns, Don’t Argue With It

If you’ve ever watched a trader fight the chart… you’ve watched a bettor force favorites on a cold streak.

Today’s SBI (Sports Betting Index) is your market tape. It doesn’t care about takes, storylines, or what your buddy “feels.” It just tells you where the money has been rewarded — and where it’s been burned.

And right now?

• NBA: short-term is in a full-blown risk-off mood
• NHL: sides are still a dog market, but totals are heating up

Let’s break it down like we’re managing a portfolio — not playing roulette.

📉 NBA SBI: Short-Term Selloff, Long-Term Still Bullish

✅ The Big Picture (YTD + 3M)

• SU Favorites YTD: 64.9% (BULLISH)
• SU Favorites 3M: 64.4% (BULLISH)
  That’s a strong long-term uptrend. The NBA still rewards power.

🚨 The Problem: The last 1–3 days are ugly

• 1D SU Favorites: 33% (BEARISH)
• 3D SU Favorites: 40.3% (BEARISH)
• 1D ATS Favorites: 33% (BEARISH)
• 3D ATS Favorites: 26.3% (BEARISH)

Translation: the market just hit a pothole — and anyone blindly “buying the dip” on favorites has been getting body-slammed by underdogs.

🧊 Totals: Under market is firm

• 1D O/U: UNDER 67% (BEARISH for Overs)
• 3D O/U: UNDER 61.3% (BEARISH for Overs)
• YTD O/U: basically Neutral (48.8% Over / 51.2% Under)

What this means:
Totals are not a long-term edge… but right now the short-term tape leans Under. That’s not a guarantee — it’s a warning label.

🏒 NHL SBI: Dogs Still Own the Ticket Window (ATS)

If the NBA is “blue-chip, trend-following,” the NHL is “small-cap chaos.” Welcome to hockey.

⚖️ Moneyline (SU): Neutral almost everywhere

• YTD SU Favorites: 53.8% (NEUTRAL)
• 1M/2M/3M: basically neutral across the board

Translation: betting NHL moneylines like you’re “sure” is how you learn humility.

🧨 The Edge: ATS Dogs are still printing (YTD + recent)

• YTD ATS Favorites: 33.7% (BEARISH)
• YTD ATS Dogs: 66.4%
• 3D ATS Dogs: 69.3%
• 7D ATS Dogs: 69.4%

That’s not a trend — that’s a market regime.

If you’re laying pucklines with favorites right now, you’re basically shorting a bull market and wondering why your account looks like a leaky boat.

🔥 Totals: A rare “Over” pop short-term

• 1D Overs: 60% (BULLISH)
• 3D Overs: 57.7% (BULLISH)
• Longer windows drift back to Neutral

Translation:
We’ve got a short-term Over push in the NHL — but it’s a trade, not an investment.

🧠 Raymond’s Portfolio Rules for Today

📌 NBA (Today’s stance)

1) Don’t force favorites short-term
Long-term trend is bullish, but the tape says the market is punishing favorite backers right now.

2) Treat the Under like a “watchlist buy”
Short-term Under trend is real (1D/3D), but totals revert fast. Pick spots, don’t spray.

3) ATS is neutral long-term — so your edge comes from price + timing
If you’re not shopping numbers, you’re donating.

📌 NHL (Today’s stance)

1) Dogs ATS is the regime
This is the cleanest signal on the board. NHL favorites are winning, but not covering.

2) Overs are a short-term momentum trade
Ride it selectively — if it persists into the 7D window, then we talk trend.

3) Stop paying brand premiums
Big logos ≠ big returns. Hockey is where the public buys names and pros buy prices.

🏁 Closing Bell: Read the Tape, Not the Headlines

Here’s the one-liner that pays bills:

• NBA: Long-term bullish favorites… but short-term the market is slapping them.
• NHL: Moneyline is a coin flip… but dogs ATS are the house edge right now.

If you want to bet like a pro, you don’t “predict.”
You position.

And that’s exactly what ATS STATS is built for:
the daily tape, the trend shifts, the market temperature — before the public catches up.

👉 Want the SBI edges packaged into actionable filters and daily market screens? That’s what memberships at ATSSTATS.com are for.