Categories: NBA

Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets Prediction (08/19/2020) NBA Computer Picks

Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) drives against San Antonio Spurs forward Drew Eubanks (14) during the first half of an NBA basketball game, Wednesday, Aug. 5, 2020, in Lake Buena Vista, Fla. (Kim Klement/Pool Photo via AP)

Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets Prediction (08/19/2020) NBA Computer Picks – The Utah Jazz and the Denver Nuggets will play game #1 of the NBA playoffs today at 4:00 PM EST and the Nuggets took game one in Overtime with a 135-125 win over the Jazz. Entering today’s NBA Playoffs game, the Nuggets are a -4.5 point favorite and the listed total is set at 218.0 at Bookmaker Sportsbook.

NBA Betting Tip

The Nuggets are 29-4 SU when played as Home Team Coming off 1 Winning Streak Last 3 Years (87.88%)

Utah Jazz (218) vs. Denver Nuggets (4.5) Preview (08/19/2020)

Utah Jazz +4.5 ( 167 ) Vs. Denver Nuggets (Total:218.0)

Denver Nuggets -4.5 ( -178 ) Vs. Utah Jazz (Total:218.0)

Utah Jazz O/U :218	Vs. Date: 2020-08-19 Time: 16:00:00 Generated from 31 Previous Games	Denver Nuggets SIDE :4.5
105.79	Forecast (O/U 222.31 )	116.52
3-7	L10(SU)	4-6
4-6-0	L10(ATS)	5-5-0
6-4-0	L10(O/U)	9-1-0
42.11%	C.O.W	74.63%
61%	C.O.C	60%
32%	C.O.G.O	32%
-2.33	MSV	-2.2
(A) BEARISH	PVI	(A) NEUTRAL
5-10	SU	12-6
6-9-0	ATS	9-9-0
7-8-0	O/U	9-9-0

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA)

C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The ‘Law of Average’ edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Performance Value Index) – The Performance Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.
BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets Prediction (08/19/2020) NBA Computer Picks

Utah Jazz

Denver Nuggets

Line : 4.5

Line : -4.5

MoneyLine : 167

MoneyLine : -178

O/U : 218.0

Season Record :

SU: 44-29

ATS: 31-39-3

O/U: 39-34-0

SU: 47-27

ATS: 32-37-5

O/U: 39-35-0

Home Record :

SU: 23-12

ATS: 13-19-3

O/U: 19-16-0

SU: 27-11

ATS: 16-20-2

O/U: 20-18-0

Away Record :

SU: 21-17

ATS: 18-20-0

O/U: 20-18-0

SU: 20-16

ATS: 16-17-3

O/U: 19-17-0

Last game: Lost 125 – 135 vs Denver Nuggets

Last game: Won 125 – 135 vs Utah Jazz

SU: 41-50

ATS: 45-43-3

O/U: 54-36-1

SU: 75-29

ATS: 53-47-4

O/U: 54-49-1

Current game: vs. Denver Nuggets

Current game: vs. Utah Jazz

SU: 21-30

ATS: 21-29-1

O/U: 25-26-0

SU: 30-21

ATS: 29-21-1

O/U: 25-26-0

Next Game: Vs.

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

Days Rest : 1 (+3.5/+6.0 RD)

Days Rest : 1 (-3.5/-6.0 HF)

(L) SU: (37-65-0 )

ATS: (50-48-4 )

O/U: (53-48-1)

(L) SU: ( 66-47-0)

ATS: (51-58-4)

O/U: (61-51-1)

(T) SU: (0-3)

ATS: (1-2-0)

O/U: (0-3-0)

(T) SU: (3-0)

ATS: (2-1-0)

O/U: (2-1-0)

Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Over

Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 9 Over

Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 42.86%

Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.1%

Situational Stats

Home Favorite: 21 Win -11 Lost (PF)111.66 – (PA)107.44

Home Favorite: 27 Win -7 Lost (PF)112.53 – (PA)106.15

Home Underdog: 2 Win -1 Lost (PF)109.67 – (PA)109.33

Home Underdog: 0 Win -4 Lost (PF)111.75 – (PA)123.5

Road Favorite: 16 Win -5 Lost (PF)114.48 – (PA)108.57

Road Favorite: 13 Win -8 Lost (PF)112.76 – (PA)110.52

Road Underdog: 5 Win -12 Lost (PF)107.59 – (PA)113.18

Road Underdog: 7 Win -8 Lost (PF)107.87 – (PA)111.2

Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost (PF)119 – (PA)123

Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost (PF)118.33 – (PA)122

Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost (PF)119.4 – (PA)124.4

Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost (PF)122 – (PA)123.8

Last 7 game: 2 Win 5 Lost (PF)118.43 – (PA)121.86

Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost (PF)122.43 – (PA)124.29

Last 10 game: 3 Win 7 Lost (PF)112.1 – (PA)116.8

Last 10 game: 4 Win 6 Lost (PF)118 – (PA)122.1

Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost (PF)113.2 – (PA)113.53

Last 15 game: 7 Win 8 Lost (PF)115.87 – (PA)117.73

Situations (Utah Jazz)

Situations (Denver Nuggets)

Coming off a vs. Northwest Opponent. (DEN)

Coming off a vs. Northwest Opponent. (UTA)

Coming off a road favorite lost

Coming off a home fav win

Coming off a 1 game losing streak

Coming off a 1 game winning streak

Coming off 1 over

Coming off 5 overs

Allowed 120 or more points AGAINST in their last game

Scored 120 or more points FOR in their last game

Coming off a 1 game Road Stand

Coming off a 1 game Home Stand

Coming off 1 ATS lost

Coming off 1 ATS win

After 1 day off

Trends

Query

ATS

O/U

Query

ATS

O/U

Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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