📍 Rogers Centre, Toronto | Friday, October 24, 2025 | First Pitch: 8:00 PM ET
⚾ Setting the Stage
The 2025 World Series opens under the dome in Toronto, where the Blue Jays — Canada’s baseball heartbeat — host the powerhouse Los Angeles Dodgers in what promises to be a chess match between firepower and finesse.
The Dodgers, priced at -158 favorites, are sending lefty Blake Snell (5-4, 2.35 ERA) to the mound, while the Jays counter with rookie sensation Trey Yesavage (1-0, 3.21 ERA). The total sits at 7.5, signaling respect for both arms and the potential of a pitcher’s duel — though these offenses can explode in a hurry.
🔵 Dodgers: Deep, Dangerous, and Dialed In
Los Angeles enters the Fall Classic red-hot, winning 9 of their last 10 and 14 of their last 15, outscoring opponents by an average of 4.87 to 2.53. Their recent five-game streak has all gone UNDER, proving their pitching and defense are carrying the load at the right time.
Blake Snell’s postseason form has been vintage — mixing his devastating curve with pinpoint fastballs. Over his last three starts, he’s allowed just 1 run per outing on average, and the Dodgers are 2–1 in those games. When Snell starts, L.A. tends to lean on situational hitting rather than slugging, averaging 4.4 runs for and allowing 2.4 against in his last five outings.
Offensively, the Dodgers have been steady: 4.6 runs per game over their last 10 while keeping opponents under three. When they face right-handers like Yesavage, however, their production dips slightly (3.9 runs/game), suggesting this could be a grind-it-out opener rather than a slugfest.
🔹 Blue Jays: Confident and Clutch at Home
Toronto’s late-season run was fueled by home dominance and clutch hitting. They’re 58-29 SU at Rogers Centre, including 19-8 as home underdogs, and they’ve been cashing OVER tickets in that role (18-8-1 O/U).
The Jays have won 6 of their last 10, fueled by a resurgent offense averaging 6.1 runs per game and a bullpen that’s tightened up, holding teams to 4.8. Rookie righty Trey Yesavage may be untested on the World Series stage, but his stuff plays — mid-90s heat and a filthy splitter that’s tough on lefties. Toronto is 20-3 vs. left-handed pitchers, averaging over 7 runs per game in those matchups, a stat that should have L.A. bettors sweating.
At the plate, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer have been the spark, while Daulton Varsho continues to be clutch at home. Combine that with the Rogers Centre crowd in full “#WeTheNorth” playoff mode, and the Jays could steal the opener if they get to Snell early.
📈 Raymond Report Indicators
- C.O.W. (Chance of Winning): Dodgers 51.3% vs. Blue Jays 38.7%
- C.O.G.O. (Chance of Game Going Over): 58% — slight lean to the OVER
- PVI-SOS: Dodgers (B) Bullish vs. Jays (B) Neutral
- DMVI: Dodgers -136.88 vs. Jays +112.92 — suggests market overvalues L.A. slightly
The Law of Average (L.O.A.) may also favor Toronto here — after five straight UNDER results for L.A. and a line of 7.5, an offensive breakout could be due.
🔍 Betting Trends & Angles
- Dodgers are 4-0 in October and 8-6 on Fridays, but 0-9 O/U vs. AL East teams.
- Jays are 4-2 in October, 9-4 on Fridays, and 17-6 O/U vs. left-handed pitchers.
- Toronto is 27-11 SU vs. opponents with a 51–60% win rate — they rise to the occasion.
- Dodgers are 6-6 SU when coming off a win vs. a lefty pitcher — watch that angle.
🧠 Raymond Report Forecast
Projected Score:
Los Angeles Dodgers 4.53 – Toronto Blue Jays 3.55
Raymond Report Line: Dodgers -136 | Total 8.08
Value Edge: Slight edge on Toronto +1.5 (129) and Over 7.5
🏁 Final Thoughts
Game 1 feels like a “prove-it” moment for both teams — Snell trying to cement his ace status, Yesavage looking to become Toronto’s next postseason legend.
If you’re betting with your head, not your heart, the Dodgers are the rightful favorite. But if you’re looking for value, Toronto +1.5 with a sprinkle on the Over has that Raymond Report flavor — disciplined, data-backed, and perfectly contrarian.
Prediction:
📊 Dodgers 5 – Blue Jays 4
💰 Best Bet: Over 7.5 / Jays +1.5
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