Categories: Horse Racing

Indianapolis Colts (51.5) vs. Buffalo Bills (6.5) AFC Prediction (01/09/2021)

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) fakes a handoff to running back Devin Singletary (26) during the first half of an NFL football game against the Miami Dolphins, Sunday, Jan. 3, 2021, in Orchard Park, N.Y. (AP Photo/Adrian Kraus)

Sports Handicapper Ron Raymond of the Raymond Report Sports Betting Tipsheet, has released his AFC Wild Card prediction and preview on Saturday’s NFL Playoff game between the Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills for Saturday, January 9th, 2021.

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Indianapolis Colts (51.5) vs. Buffalo Bills (6.5) Prediction (01/09/2021)

Indianapolis Colts +6.5 ( +225 ) Vs. Buffalo Bills (Total:51.5)

Buffalo Bills -6.5 ( -263 ) Vs. Indianapolis Colts (Total:51.5)

Indianapolis Colts O/U :51.5	Vs. Date: 2021-01-09 Time: 13:05:00 Generated from 2 Previous Games	Buffalo Bills SIDE :6.5
21	Forecast (O/U 51 )	30
4-1	L5(SU)	5-0
2-3-0	L5(ATS)	5-0-0
2-3-0	L5(O/U)	3-2-0
33.33%	C.O.W	100%
75%	C.O.C	16%
44%	C.O.G.O	44%
-5.56	MSV	-7.88
(A) NEUTRAL	PVI	(A) BULLISH
2-2	SU	4-1
2-2-0	ATS	4-1-0
3-1-0	O/U	3-2-0

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL,NFL & NCAAF)

C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The ‘Law of Average’ edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.
BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

Types of Teams – When you look at League Standings, you have 3 types of teams.
Tier 1 Teams (A): 60% or higher (Above Average Teams = High Public Confidence = Low Rewards)
Tier 2 Teams (B): 50% to 59.9% (Average Teams = Moderate Public Confidence = Medium Rewards)
Tier 3 Teams (C): 49.9% or Lower (Below Average Teams = Low Public Confidence = High Rewards)

Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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