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Welcome to the heart of the Bluegrass State. It’s Friday, April 24, 2026, and the spring meet at Keeneland is delivering exactly what the big-money players expect: high-stakes drama, elite pedigree, and a 10-race card that would make any horseplayer salivate. We are tracking a total purse value north of $1 million today, headlined by the massive $350,000 Stakes in Race 8.
At ATS Stats, we don’t just “guess” who looks good in the paddock. We lean on the Raymond Report, utilizing the Artificial Intelligence Picks League (AIPL) to separate the contenders from the pretenders. Whether you are looking for sports betting stats to back up your hunch or elite cappers picks to guide your exacta boxes, this report is your clinical roadmap to the winner’s circle.
Before we dive into the dirt and turf analysis, let’s talk shop. The Artificial Intelligence Picks League, or AIPL, has revolutionized how we view handicapping. This isn’t just a leaderboard; it’s a franchise model. You can actually buy and own an AI Capper Franchise.
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In our analysis, we frequently reference the C.O.W., which stands for Chance of Winning. This metric is the cornerstone of the Raymond Report, calculating the probability of a horse hitting the board based on historical situational data, trainer/jockey win percentages, and recent form. Today, we are seeing a heavy dominance from the Ortiz brothers, with Irad and Jose lighting up the win percentages across multiple surfaces.
Distance: 1 1/16 Miles on the Dirt | Purse: $48,000
| PICK | HORSE | M/L ODDS | JOCKEY (WIN %) | SENTIMENT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (3) Backside | 9-5 | I. Ortiz, Jr. (34%) | BULLISH (A) |
| PLACE | (2) Punkin Boy | 20-1 | A. Concepcion (35%) | NEUTRAL (C) |
| SHOW | (6) Otzelberger | 3-1 | D. Sheehy (28%) | NEUTRAL (B) |
| JOKER | (4) Quality Spirits | 7-5 | B. Curtis (20%) | BULLISH (A) |
STRATEGY:
Distance: 5 1/2 Furlongs on the Turf | Purse: $90,000
| PICK | HORSE | M/L ODDS | JOCKEY (WIN %) | SENTIMENT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (2) Glitz and Ritz | 15-1 | J. L. Ortiz (38%) | BEARISH (B) |
| PLACE | (5) Shining Moment | 7-5 | I. Ortiz, Jr. (34%) | BULLISH (A) |
| SHOW | (1) More Champagne | 12-1 | J. R. Velazquez (28%) | NEUTRAL (B) |
| JOKER | (8) Extravaganzoo | 7-2 | T. Gaffalione (28%) | BULLISH (A) |
STRATEGY:
Distance: 1 1/16 Miles on the Dirt | Purse: $48,000
| PICK | HORSE | M/L ODDS | JOCKEY (WIN %) | SENTIMENT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (5) Stay Beautiful | 10-1 | J. D. Ramos (40%) | BULLISH (B) |
| PLACE | (10) Golexgo | 30-1 | S. E. Bermudez (28%) | BEARISH (C) |
| SHOW | (6) Lexi’s Melody | 20-1 | D. Sheehy (28%) | NEUTRAL (C) |
| JOKER | (2) Speed Skater | 6-5 | F. Prat (26%) | BULLISH (A) |
STRATEGY:
Distance: 6 1/2 Furlongs on the Dirt | Purse: $58,000
| PICK | HORSE | M/L ODDS | JOCKEY (WIN %) | SENTIMENT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (6) Compressed | 15-1 | J. L. Ortiz (38%) | BULLISH (B) |
| PLACE | (2) Damascus Steel | 5-2 | I. Ortiz, Jr. (34%) | BULLISH (A) |
| SHOW | (8) Dr Fenn | 30-1 | D. Sheehy (28%) | BEARISH (C) |
| JOKER | (4) Sometime | 6-1 | L. Saez (26%) | NEUTRAL (B) |
STRATEGY:
Distance: 6 Furlongs on the Dirt | Purse: $77,000
| PICK | HORSE | M/L ODDS | JOCKEY (WIN %) | SENTIMENT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (4) Creature | 10-1 | J. L. Ortiz (38%) | BULLISH (B) |
| PLACE | (5) Mainstream | 6-5 | I. Ortiz, Jr. (34%) | BULLISH (A) |
| SHOW | (1) Inordinary | 4-1 | T. Gaffalione (28%) | NEUTRAL (B) |
| JOKER | (2) Easy Dial | 8-1 | D. Sheehy (28%) | NEUTRAL (C) |
STRATEGY:
Distance: 7 Furlongs on the Dirt | Purse: $120,000
| PICK | HORSE | M/L ODDS | JOCKEY (WIN %) | SENTIMENT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (4) Queen Jubilee | 10-1 | J. L. Ortiz (38%) | BULLISH (B) |
| PLACE | (3) Absolute Honor | 7-5 | I. Ortiz, Jr. (34%) | BULLISH (A) |
| SHOW | (1) Sassy Princess | 9-2 | T. Gaffalione (28%) | NEUTRAL (B) |
| JOKER | (6) Expecto Patronum | 12-1 | L. Saez (26%) | NEUTRAL (B) |
STRATEGY:
Distance: 6 Furlongs on the Dirt | Purse: $69,000
| PICK | HORSE | M/L ODDS | JOCKEY (WIN %) | SENTIMENT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (2) Show Time | 3-1 | J. L. Ortiz (38%) | BULLISH (A) |
| PLACE | (4) Freeze the Fire | 5-2 | I. Ortiz, Jr. (34%) | BULLISH (A) |
| SHOW | (1) Five o’ Somewhere | 8-1 | A. Concepcion (35%) | NEUTRAL (B) |
| JOKER | (3) Swill | 5-1 | F. De La Cruz (28%) | NEUTRAL (B) |
STRATEGY:
Distance: 1 1/2 Miles on the Turf | Purse: $350,000
This is the main event. At a grueling 1.5 miles on the turf, stamina and tactical positioning are the only things that matter. The Ortiz brothers are once again the center of attention here, but the morning line favorite Speed Shopper will have plenty to say about the final turn.
| PICK | HORSE | M/L ODDS | JOCKEY (WIN %) | SENTIMENT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (6) Mrs. Astor | 4-1 | J. L. Ortiz (38%) | BULLISH (A) |
| PLACE | (8) Literate | 7-2 | I. Ortiz, Jr. (34%) | BULLISH (A) |
| SHOW | (9) Speed Shopper | 5-2 | J. R. Velazquez (28%) | BULLISH (A) |
| JOKER | (3) Venencia | 10-1 | T. Gaffalione (28%) | NEUTRAL (B) |
STRATEGY:
Distance: 6 Furlongs on the Dirt | Purse: $110,000
| PICK | HORSE | M/L ODDS | JOCKEY (WIN %) | SENTIMENT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (1) Island Town | 8-1 | J. L. Ortiz (38%) | BULLISH (B) |
| PLACE | (11) Happy I Got It | 30-1 | A. Gomez (36%) | BEARISH (C) |
| SHOW | (3) Hovland | 5-1 | I. Ortiz, Jr. (34%) | BULLISH (B) |
| JOKER | (2) Stunning | 20-1 | A. Achard (34%) | NEUTRAL (C) |
STRATEGY:
Distance: 1 1/8 Miles on the Turf | Purse: $130,000
| PICK | HORSE | M/L ODDS | JOCKEY (WIN %) | SENTIMENT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (4) Awesomesauce | 15-1 | J. L. Ortiz (38%) | BULLISH (B) |
| PLACE | (11) Massarat | 5-1 | I. Ortiz, Jr. (34%) | BULLISH (B) |
| SHOW | (1) Strong Destiny | 4-1 | F. De La Cruz (28%) | NEUTRAL (B) |
| JOKER | (10) Random Harvest | 10-1 | J. R. Velazquez (28%) | NEUTRAL (B) |
STRATEGY:
According to our internal sports betting picks algorithm and current market data, here are the top 5 highest-confidence options for today’s Keeneland card:
Keeneland is a track where speed meets class. If you aren’t using the Raymond Report and the AIPL data, you are essentially flying blind. For more granular data on the NHL, MLB, and NBA, be sure to check our latest NHL Picks and see how our AI is dissecting the puck line and moneylines tonight.
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