MLB Betting Trends

MLB Betting Trends Report for Monday, April 15th, 2024

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As Major League Baseball progresses into mid-April, today's matchups offer intriguing historical trends that bettors should consider. From pitcher-specific stats to team performances under certain conditions, these insights derived from the 80% Club at ATS STATS highlight key patterns that could shape today's game outcomes and betting strategies.

Head to Head Trends:

  • Cincinnati’s Road Performance with Specific Odds:
  • When playing as road underdogs with a spread between +120 and +140, Cincinnati boasts an 8-2 SU record, matched by an 8-2 O/U record, indicating not only frequent wins but also high-scoring games.
  • Cincinnati Against AL West:
  • Facing AL West teams as underdogs, Cincinnati has a strong 12-3 SU record. However, the total tends to lean under with a 7-8 O/U record.
  • Toronto’s Total Insights:
  • In games where the total is set between 8.5 and 9.0, Toronto has a 6-4 SU record, but a low-scoring trend with a 2-8 O/U record is evident.
  • Detroit and Total Trends:
  • Similar to Toronto, Detroit also shows a 6-4 SU record with the total between 8.5 and 9.0, and games tend to go under, marked by a 2-8 O/U record.
  • Philadelphia’s Wide Spread Performance:
  • Philadelphia performs well when playing with a spread between +260 and +280, boasting a 24-6 SU record, though the O/U is fairly balanced at 16-13-1.
  • Zach Eflin’s April Home Games:
  • Teams with Zach Eflin on the mound have excelled in April home games with a 12-2 SU record, though the over trends slightly under with a 6-7-1 O/U record.
  • NY Yankees in AL East Road Games:
  • As road favorites against AL East teams, the Yankees have an 8-2 SU record, with an even 5-5 O/U record, suggesting balanced outcomes in terms of scoring.

Team System Trends:

  • Cincinnati’s Specific Pitching Matchup:
  • Facing right-handed pitchers on the road before a non-conference game, especially after allowing 4 runs or less and coming off a road win as favorites, Cincinnati has a mixed 4-6 SU record but a strong trend towards overs with a 9-1 O/U record.
  • Colorado’s Struggles in Specific Road Games:
  • On the road against NL East teams after allowing 5 runs and coming off a loss as underdogs, Colorado struggles with a 4-11 SU record and a low-scoring trend (3-12 O/U).
  • Philadelphia’s Night Game Performance:
  • In night games at home after a non-division game and coming off a loss against NL Central teams, Philadelphia has a balanced 5-5 SU record but again shows a tendency towards high scoring with a 9-1 O/U record.

Random System Trends:

  • Kansas City as Road Underdogs:
  • Playing as +100 to +120 road underdogs in April, Kansas City has a challenging 8-13 SU record and a pronounced under trend with a 4-17 O/U record.
  • San Diego’s Specific Favorite Status:
  • As -120 to -140 road favorites with the total between 8.5 to 9.0, San Diego shows a slightly negative 5-6 SU record and a low-scoring trend (2-8-1 O/U).

Smart Stats System Trends:

  • LA Dodgers’ Resilience:
  • Following a loss by 3 runs or less and with a recent record of 2 wins and 3 losses, LA Dodgers rebound well with a 10-2 SU record, with a mildly high-scoring tendency (6-4-2 O/U).

These trends highlight the nuanced nature of MLB betting, where historical performance under specific conditions can guide bettor decisions. Whether exploiting favorable pitcher matchups or understanding how teams perform under certain odds, today’s data provides a wealth of strategic entry points for Monday’s MLB action.