MLB Betting Trends

MLB Trends Insight for Sunday, April 14th, 2024

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This Sunday offers a wealth of data-rich trends that could inform savvy MLB bettors. From specific pitcher matchups to day-of-week trends and team performance in given situations, today's games are ripe for strategic betting based on historical performance insights. Here’s a breakdown of the key trends:

Head to Head Trends:

  • Kyle Freeland's Total Performance:
    When Kyle Freeland's team plays with a total between 8.5 and 9.0, they have struggled with a 3-7 SU record, but the games tend to be high scoring, as indicated by an 8-2 O/U record.
  • Toronto vs. Colorado at Home:
    Toronto has dominated Colorado at home with a 10-1 SU record. However, the trend suggests fewer runs, with a 4-7 O/U record.
  • Boston as Home Favorites Against AL West:
    Boston has shown strength at home against AL West teams with an 8-2 SU record, though games tend to go under with a 3-6-1 O/U record.

Team System Trends:

  • New York Yankees on the Road on Sundays:
    The Yankees, playing on Sundays as road teams after a win as a favorite against an American League opponent and coming off an over, have a slightly negative 8-11 SU record and a strong under trend with a 3-16 O/U record.
  • Cleveland's Struggles at Home:
    Cleveland has had difficulties at home before non-division games, especially coming off a home loss as an underdog against an AL East opponent, with a 3-9 SU and 2-10 O/U record.
  • Philadelphia's Day Game Performance:
    Philadelphia playing at home during a day game against an NL Central opponent after a home win as a favorite shows a positive 7-5 SU record and a high-scoring trend with a 9-2-1 O/U record.

Random System Trends:

  • Chicago White Sox as Home Underdogs on Sundays:
    The White Sox have a nearly balanced 6-7 SU record but a significant under trend with a 2-9-2 O/U record when playing as home underdogs on Sundays after a non-conference game.
  • Toronto's Dominance as a Heavy Home Favorite:
    Toronto has excelled as a -240 to -260 home favorite during day games before a conference game, posting a 12-4 SU record, but with low scoring outcomes (2-13-1 O/U).

Smart Stats System Trends:

  • San Francisco's Performance Variability:
    Over the last 5 years, when San Francisco had 1 over or less and won the last game by 9 runs or less, their record stands at 7-7 SU with a very low scoring trend (2-10-2 O/U).
  • St. Louis Consistency on the Road:
    St. Louis shows a strong performance on the road over the last 5 years with 1 under or more, and after a loss by 2 runs, boasting an 8-2 SU record and a 7-3 O/U record.


These trends and historical performances provide a layered perspective on today’s matchups, allowing bettors to gauge both the likely winners and the potential for games to go over or under the total. Whether it's leveraging Kyle Freeland's high-scoring games, tapping into Toronto's home strength, or navigating the mixed outcomes of teams like Cleveland and Philadelphia, today's trends offer multiple angles for informed betting strategies. As always, consider these trends as part of a broader strategy that includes other variables such as current form, injuries, and weather conditions.