By Ron Raymond – ATS STATS
In the world of sports betting, finding value before the market corrects itself is the name of the game. The Raymond Report’s Daily Market Value Index (DMVI) helps us spot which MLB teams are overvalued, undervalued, or right on the money based on their recent performance, betting market lines, and win percentages.
Let’s take a look at today’s movers and shakers.
🔥 HOT & UNDERVALUED – “Ride the Bull”
These teams are outperforming their market price — a bettor’s dream.
| Team | Record | Streak | Confidence | DMVI | Market Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 23-20 | 🔥 10W | 💯 100% | -118 | Bullish |
| Detroit | 29-15 | 🔥 3W | 71% | -222 | Bullish |
| NY Mets | 28-16 | ❌ 1L | 71% | -213 | Bullish |
| Texas | 23-21 | 🔥 5W | 71% | -129 | Bullish |
| St. Louis | 24-20 | ✅ 1W | 85% | -129 | Bullish |
| Houston | 22-20 | ✅ 2W | 71% | -118 | Bullish |
| Toronto | 21-21 | ✅ 1W | 71% | 101 | Bullish |
| NY Yankees | 25-18 | ✅ 1W | 71% | -151 | Bullish |
📈 Ron’s Take: These are your “Buy Low” teams. Minnesota and Detroit are delivering elite results without inflated price tags. The Yankees and Mets are New York values for once — don’t expect that to last long.
🧊 COLD & OVERVALUED – “Buyer Beware”
These teams are not playing up to their price — approach with caution.
| Team | Record | Streak | Confidence | DMVI | Market Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado | 7-35 | ❌ 3L | 14% | +225 | Bearish |
| Chi White Sox | 14-29 | ✅ 3W | 57% | +181 | Neutral |
| Pittsburgh | 15-29 | ✅ 1W | 42% | +204 | Neutral |
| Washington | 17-26 | ✅ 1W | 14% | +137 | Bearish |
| Miami | 16-26 | ✅ 1W | 28% | +145 | Bearish |
| LA Angels | 17-25 | ❌ 2L | 28% | +151 | Bearish |
| Baltimore | 15-26 | ❌ 2L | 28% | +124 | Bearish |
📉 Ron’s Take: Even though the White Sox and Pirates showed life recently, their market prices are still too hot for their long-term results. Colorado? That’s not a baseball team right now — that’s a value trap with Coors Light stats.
⚖️ Fair Market – “No Edge, No Wedge”
These teams are fairly priced or lacking consistent momentum.
| Team | Record | Streak | Confidence | DMVI | Market Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 25-18 | ❌ 1L | 57% | 100 | Neutral |
| San Diego | 27-15 | ✅ 2W | 57% | -253 | Neutral |
| Cleveland | 25-18 | ❌ 1L | 57% | -161 | Neutral |
| LA Dodgers | 28-15 | ✅ 1W | 57% | -218 | Neutral |
| Kansas City | 25-20 | ❌ 2L | 42% | -144 | Neutral |
📊 Ron’s Take: These teams are priced fairly — not much value to exploit. But if you’re looking for solid parlay fillers, clubs like the Dodgers and Padres are in stable form.
⚠️ BEARISH TEAMS TO AVOID – “Fool’s Gold”
Poor confidence, negative streaks, and inflated prices. Just say no.
- Seattle (2-5, 28% confidence, -157 DMVI)
- Cincinnati (3L, 28% confidence, -193 DMVI)
- San Francisco (2-5, 28% confidence, -147 DMVI)
📉 Ron’s Take: Even if the price looks appealing, don’t let the book lure you in with “discounted trash.” A bad team at +120 is still a bad team.
🧠 Closing Thought from The Bullpen:
When betting the board, you’re not looking for the best team — you’re looking for the best price. That’s where the DMVI shines. Use it to find undervalued gems and avoid betting into inflated lines that the public already pounded.
👉 Want to see the full Raymond Report for today’s games?
Visit: www.ATSStats.com
Let’s cash it! 💰
