Oregon Ducks vs. Southern California Trojans Prediction (12/18/2020)

CFB

Oregon Ducks vs. Southern California Trojans Prediction (12/18/2020)

Ron Raymond Dec 18, 2020 0

USC UCLA Football | Sports Betting Stats

Sports Handicapper Ron Raymond of the Raymond Report Sports Betting Tipsheet has released a preview and prediction on tonight’s PAC-12 Championship between the Oregon Ducks and the USC Trojans for Friday, December 18th, 2020.

LEAGUE:-RAYMOND REPORT LITE (NCAAF)

Oregon Ducks (73.5) vs. Southern California Trojans (3) Preview (12/18/2020)

Oregon Ducks +3 ( +130 ) Vs. Southern California Trojans (Total:73.5)

Southern California Trojans -3 ( -152 ) Vs. Oregon Ducks (Total:73.5)

Oregon Ducks O/U :73.5	Vs. Date: 2020-12-18 Time: 21:00:00 Generated from 20 Previous Games	Southern California Trojans SIDE :3
26.32	Forecast (O/U 60.42 )	34.1
3-2	L5(SU)	5-0
2-3-0	L5(ATS)	3-2-0
3-1-1	L5(O/U)	1-4-0
40%	C.O.W	84.62%
80%	C.O.C	20%
51%	C.O.G.O	51%
-7.17	MSV	-10.67
(A) NEUTRAL	PVI	(A) BULLISH
1-0	SU	0-0
1-0-0	ATS	0-0-0
1-0-0	O/U	0-0-0

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL,NFL & NCAAF)

C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The ‘Law of Average’ edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.
BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

Oregon Ducks vs. Southern California Trojans Prediction (12/18/2020)

Oregon Ducks

Southern California Trojans

Line : 3

Line : -3

Money Line : +130

Money Line : -152

O/U : 73.5

Season Record :

SU: 3-2

ATS: 2-3-0

O/U: 3-1-1

SU: 5-0

ATS: 3-2-0

O/U: 1-4-0

Home Record :

SU: 2-0

ATS: 1-1-0

O/U: 1-0-1

SU: 2-0

ATS: 1-1-0

O/U: 0-2-0

Away Record :

SU: 1-2

ATS: 1-2-0

O/U: 2-1-0

SU: 3-0

ATS: 2-1-0

O/U: 1-2-0

Last game: 0 – 0 vs Washington Huskies

Last game: Win 43 – 38 vs UCLA Bruins

SU: 11-8

ATS: 10-9-0

O/U: 9-8-2

SU: 21-3

ATS: 15-9-0

O/U: 5-18-1

Current game: vs. Southern California Trojans

Current game: vs. Oregon Ducks

SU: 4-4

ATS: 5-3-0

O/U: 3-5-0

SU: 4-4

ATS: 3-5-0

O/U: 3-5-0

Next Game: Vs.

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

Days Rest : 5 (RD)

Days Rest : 5 (HF)

(L) SU: (3-11-6 )

ATS: (8-6-6 )

O/U: (5-14-1)

(L) SU: ( 11-3-4)

ATS: (7-7-4)

O/U: (5-13-0)

(T) SU: (0-0)

ATS: (0-0-0)

O/U: (0-0-0)

(T) SU: (0-0)

ATS: (0-0-0)

O/U: (0-0-0)

Streaks : 2 SU Lost – 3 ATS Lost – 2 Under

Streaks : 5 SU Win – 3 ATS Win – 1 Over

Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.44%

Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %

Situational Stats

Home Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost (PF)36.5 – (PA)24.5

Home Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost (PF)33 – (PA)20

Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A

Road Favorite: 1 Win -2 Lost (PF)32.67 – (PA)30.33

Road Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost (PF)36.67 – (PA)28.33

Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A

Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost (PF)31 – (PA)32.33

Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost (PF)38 – (PA)22.67

Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost (PF)34.2 – (PA)28

Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost (PF)35.2 – (PA)25

Last 7 game: 3 Win 2 Lost (PF)34.2 – (PA)28

Last 7 game: 5 Win 0 Lost (PF)35.2 – (PA)25

Last 10 game: 3 Win 2 Lost (PF)34.2 – (PA)28

Last 10 game: 5 Win 0 Lost (PF)35.2 – (PA)25

Last 15 game: 3 Win 2 Lost (PF)34.2 – (PA)28

Last 15 game: 5 Win 0 Lost (PF)35.2 – (PA)25

Situations (Oregon Ducks)

Situations (Southern California Trojans)

Coming off 2 unders (Washington)

Coming off a road favorite win (UCLA)

Coming off a game scored 3 points or less against

Coming off a 5 game winning streak

Coming off 1 over

Coming off a game scored 40 points or more

Coming off a game scored 38 points or less against

Coming off 3 ATS win

Trends

Query	ATS	SU	O/U
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Road team – After a division game – Last 3 years – vs. opponent with a 80% or more winning % – Scored 0 – 3 POINTS FOR in their last game	3-7-1	1-10	9-2-0

Query	ATS	SU	O/U
When Southern Cal team played as Home team as a Favorite – After a conference game – Coming off a Win over Pacific 12 opponent	13-2-0	13-1	8-7-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 5 years – During the month of December – Coming off a Road win as a Favorite – Coming off back to back SU wins	19-14-0	25-5	12-20-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – Last 4 years – During the month of December – During Week 12 to 16 – Coming off a game scored 40 points or more – Coming off a Road win – Coming off 1 over	7-3-0	8-2	3-7-0

Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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