Raymond Report Sports Handicapping Fundamentals:
A) Line/Price Value ($): When calculating the “Value” of a line or price, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a past game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game. (Perception vs. Reality = Value)
B) Percentage Play (%): Every time a team wins or covers (Side or Totals), their chances of repeating that same action decreases, based on the law of average theory.
i) Side: (C.O.W – Chance of Winning) & (C.O.C. – Chance of Covering)
ii) Total: (C.O.G.O. – Chance of Going Over)
C) V.I.C. (Value Index Cycle): The intangibles of special circumstances. (Letdown factor, Look ahead, Line-moves, Shelf Scouting, Gut Feeling, etc…)
3 Types of Teams (Value Category)
When you look at League Standings, you have two type of teams; Teams above .500 and Teams below .500. However, we see 3 type of teams in the Raymond Report!
- 3 Types of Teams in the Standings:
- Tier 1 Teams (A): 60% or higher (Above Average Teams = High Public Confidence = Low Rewards)
- Tier 2 Teams (B): 50% to 59.9% (Average Teams = Moderate Public Confidence = Medium Rewards)
- Tier 3 Teams (C): 49.9% or Lower (Below Average Teams = Low Public Confidence = High Rewards)
*Note: Remember, every time a team wins or loses, it affects their classification ranking and allows for another team to go up or down in the standings. When one team goes up in the standings, there’s always one team coming down!
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Type of Performance Cycles (Percentage Play)
Every team goes through different performance cycles during a season. Bookmakers will use these situations to manipulate the line and use market confidence to their advantage.
- 3 Types of Performance Cycles: (Market Confidence Levels)
- MLB, NHL & NBA CYCLE:
- Bullish Cycle =Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) Last 7 games.
- Neutral Cycle =Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) Last 7 games.
- Bearish Cycle =Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) Last 7 games.
- NFL, CFB & CFL CYCLE:
- Bullish Cycle =Team is (3-0) Last 3 games.
- Neutral Cycle =Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) Last 3 games.
- Bearish Cycle =Team is (0-3) Last 3 games.
*Note: Depending on the type of team and their current performance cycle, will affect their percentage play in their next game.
Situational Handicapping (Value. Index. Cycles)
Every team has an “BEFORE” and “AFTER” situational game factor which leads to conditional situations that could work for or against teams.
- Division Play
- Letdown Factors
- Look Ahead Factors
- Late Line-moves
- Underdog Roles
- Favorite Roles
- Shelf Scouting
- Gut Feeling
Conclusion: In order to be successful at sports betting, you need to find indicators that leads you to have confidence in your final decision. At the end of the day, the only thing you control is the confidence you have in your research and evaluation system.
About Professional Sports Handicapper Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper going into his 24th season and is recognized as a pioneer in the online sports handicapping industry. In 2009, Ron Raymond wrote a book called “Ron Raymond’s 50 Greatest Sports Betting Secrets” and it is now listed on Amazon. Plus, Ron Raymond is the owner and founder of the World Series of Handicapping© Pro Football Contest going into its 9th season.
50 Sports Betting Secrets & 30 Bonus Tips
Professional Sports Handicapper Ron Raymond shares his “50 Sports Betting Secrets & 30 Bonus Tips” in a very easy to read e-book which you can download in minutes.
In fact, Ron Raymond “50 Sports Betting Secrets & 30 Bonus Tips” will not only help you win on a daily basis, it will prevent you from making those early “bettors mistakes” when starting out and Ron shares his many years of wagering experience.
Also, Ron Raymond has known and learned from some of the best sports gamblers of all times, such as Mike Lee (Vegas Legend), Bobby Bryde (Hockey Meister) Russ Culver (Las Vegas Bookmaker), Greg Dempson (NFL Gambling Historian) and many more respected industry leaders.
Allow Ron Raymond’s early errors and miscalculations be your beginners guide to making the right bet. Ron’s e-book will help you avoid betting traps and mistakes the average sports bettor doesn’t see on a daily basis.
RON RAYMOND’S TOP 50 SPORTS BETTING SECRETS & 30 BONUS TIPS
Ron is going into his 24th season in the sports betting industry and wishes to be recognized as a pioneer in the online sports handicapping industry who brought innovation and creative thinking to all of his online properties.
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