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CFL Power Ratings

CFL Week 2 Prediction: Montreal vs. Ottawa – Who Has the Edge?

📅 Friday, June 13, 2025 | 🕢 7:30 PM ET | 📍 TD Place Stadium
📉 Line: Montreal -1.5 (-133) | Ottawa +1.5 (+110) | O/U: 49.5

The lights are on in the nation’s capital this Friday as the Montreal Alouettes (1-0 SU) travel to Ottawa to take on the Redblacks (0-1 SU) in a heated East Division rivalry.

Let’s be crystal clear—this is the Raymond Report Newsletter Preview, not Ron Raymond’s personal pick. If you want Ron’s top-rated CFL selections, they’re exclusive to members at ATS STATS. This preview gives you the numbers; Ron gives you the winners. 💼📊


🔮 Raymond Report Forecast

Prediction: Montreal 24.82 – Ottawa 20.41
Projected Total: 45.23
C.O.W. (Chances of Winning):

  • 🟩 Montreal: 64.29%
  • 🟥 Ottawa: 30.43%
    Value Index:
  • 🧮 Montreal VI: -2.88
  • 💹 Ottawa VI: +4.5
    Momentum Meter:
  • 📈 Montreal: Bullish
  • 📉 Ottawa: Bearish

📊 Quick Hit Team Trends

🟣 Montreal Alouettes (1-0 SU/ATS)

  • 🔥 8-1 SU in last 9 games
  • ✅ 7-3 ATS in their last 10
  • 🧊 Under is 7-3 in last 10
  • 10-0 SU last 10 at Ottawa
  • 12-3 ATS as road favorites since 2021
  • 14-5 ATS in June since 1996

🔴 Ottawa Redblacks (0-1 SU/ATS)

  • 🧯 Just 1-8 SU in last 9 games
  • 3-7 ATS last 10 overall
  • 🚨 0-10 SU vs. Montreal at home (last 10 matchups)
  • 8-12 ATS as a home underdog (last 3 seasons)
  • Coming off 31-26 loss to Saskatchewan in Week 1

⚔️ Head-to-Head Edge

  • Montreal has dominated Ottawa, going 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS in the last 10 road meetings.
  • Ottawa has failed to cover in 6 of the last 8 division games.
  • The OVER is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings, but early line movement and projection favor the UNDER (Raymond Report forecast total: 45.23).

🔍 Situational Angles

  • Montreal coming off a statement win vs. Toronto (28-10) with elite defensive effort.
  • Ottawa showed life offensively vs. Saskatchewan but gave up 31 points and lost the turnover battle.
  • Ottawa playing on 7 days rest after a road loss, while Montreal is on 6 days rest after a home win.
  • Total edges lean slight to the UNDER with both teams historically trending that way early in the season.

📌 Final Word

Montreal enters with momentum and a serious edge in this series, but Ottawa is in must-bounce-back mode in their home opener. Still, the numbers—and history—lean to the Alouettes. Just remember, this write-up is for the newsletter. Ron’s official CFL picks for Week 2 are available now inside the ATS STATS members area.