Gulfstream Park Tipsheet: Sunday, April 5th, 2026 – The Raymond Report

Sunday at Gulfstream Park offers a 10-race card loaded with tactical opportunities for the data-driven bettor. Today’s analysis is powered by the Raymond Report, utilizing our proprietary algorithms to identify value across the turf, dirt, and all-weather surfaces.

In horse racing, we focus heavily on the C.O.W.: which stands for Chance of Winning. This metric, combined with jockey efficiency and historical track data, allows us to separate the “chalk” from the live longshots. Today’s card is particularly notable for the heavy presence of jockey Paco Lopez, who sits atop our Pick Order in seven of the ten scheduled races.

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TOP 5 BETTING OPTIONS: SUNDAY AT GULFSTREAM

Based on the Raymond Report’s high-signal data, these are the five most actionable plays on today’s card:

1. Race 5: (8) Social Triumph (7-5) – The strongest “Win” profile of the day with Paco Lopez in the irons.
2. Race 2: (3) Bee N Dee (8-5) – High C.O.W. score in a 7-furlong sprint.
3. Race 7: (3) Bombs Away (10-1) – Our premier VALUE PICK. Massive overlay potential.
4. Race 9: (4) Con Compania (2-1) – Top-rated in the $71k Allowance Optional Claiming feature.
5. Race 4: (2) Skedaddling Home (2-1) – Consistent speed figures on the All Weather Track.

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THE JOCKEY FACTOR: PACO LOPEZ DOMINANCE

When looking at the Raymond Report Free Stats, jockey win percentages are a critical weight in our “In The Money” (ITM) calculations. Today, Paco Lopez is listed as the “WIN” pick in Races 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, and 10. With a 38% strike rate in these specific pairings, he is the anchor for most exotic tickets today.

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RACE-BY-RACE ANALYTICAL BREAKDOWN

RACE #1: MAIDEN CLAIMING – 12:50 PM

Distance: 1 Mile (Turf) | Purse: $37,000
The opener features a competitive turf mile. No More War leads the pick order, but the real interest lies in the Joker.

• WIN: (6) No More War (4-1)
• PLACE: (4) I Wish You Love (20-1)
• SHOW: (9) Kraken (3-1)
• JOKER: (5) Commendatore (15-1)
• EXOTICS: Exacta 6/4 Box; Trifecta 6/4/9 Box.

RACE #2: CLAIMING – 01:20 PM

Distance: 7 Furlongs (Dirt) | Purse: $26,500
Paco Lopez takes the mount on Bee N Dee. This horse shows superior late-pace figures for this class level.

• WIN: (3) Bee N Dee (8-5)
• PLACE: (2) Horseplay (3-1)
• SHOW: (5) La Dinamita (5-2)
• JOKER: (4) My Sweet Adaline (15-1)
• ANALYSIS: Bullish on the (3). Use the Joker (4) in the bottom of your Trifecta for a price boost.

RACE #3: MAIDEN CLAIMING – 01:50 PM

Distance: 5 1/2 Furlongs (All Weather) | Purse: $36,000
The Tapeta surface requires horses with high “early turn” speed. The Coromoto fits the profile perfectly.

• WIN: (4) The Coromoto (5-2)
• PLACE: (1) Miskita (12-1)
• SHOW: (7) The Other One (2-1)
• JOKER: (6) Terrimendous (3-1)
• EXOTICS: Exacta 4/1 Box; Trifecta 4/1/7 Box.

RACE #4: MAIDEN CLAIMING – 02:20 PM

Distance: 5 Furlongs (All Weather) | Purse: $31,000
Short sprints on the All Weather often favor the rail or the immediate outside stalker.

• WIN: (2) Skedaddling Home (2-1)
• PLACE: (1) Mannerism (10-1)
• SHOW: (5) Rent’s Due (4-1)
• JOKER: (4) Beau Hush (12-1)
• STRATEGY: High-value Joker here. Beau Hush has shown morning workout speed that isn’t reflected in the 12-1 ML.

RACE #5: CLAIMING – 02:50 PM

Distance: 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) | Purse: $33,000
This is the “Banker” of the day. Social Triumph is the class of the field and draws the optimal post for this distance.

• WIN: (8) Social Triumph (7-5)
• PLACE: (7) Cairo Comedy (4-2)
• SHOW: (4) Imperia Blue (8-1)
• JOKER: (6) Alluring Serenity (12-1)
• EXOTICS: Exacta 8/7 Box; Trifecta 8/7/4 Box.

RACE #6: CLAIMING – 03:20 PM

Distance: 7 Furlongs (Dirt) | Purse: $31,000
A mid-level claiming sprint where the “In The Money” percentages for trainers are very tight.

• WIN: (2) Gallant Knight (5-2)
• PLACE: (1) Brother Brad (3-1)
• SHOW: (6) Cross Haste (8-1)
• JOKER: (3) Antillean (6-1)
• TRENDS: Horses with the best WIN record in this field are 2/1/6.

RACE #7: MAIDEN CLAIMING – 03:50 PM

Distance: 1 Mile (Turf) | Purse: $36,000
VALUE ALERT. The algorithm has identified Bombs Away as a significant overlay at 10-1. While the (1) Del Mar Sunrise is the morning-line favorite, the data suggests a pivot.

• WIN: (3) Bombs Away (10-1)
• PLACE: (4) Tiger Eye Pearl (6-1)
• SHOW: (6) More Applause (9-2)
• JOKER: (2) Come On Poppi (5-2)
• EXOTICS: Exacta 3/4 Box; Trifecta 3/4/6 Box.

RACE #8: CLAIMING – 04:20 PM

Distance: 1 Mile 70 Yards (All Weather) | Purse: $26,500

• WIN: (4) Outlaw Country (6-1)
• PLACE: (7) Full Nelson (9-5)
• SHOW: (2) Bold Advance (6-1)
• JOKER: (3) Schnittker (2-1)
• ANALYSIS: Outlaw Country offers great middle-market value. The Joker (3) is actually a short price, suggesting the top 4 horses are heavily favored by the model to sweep the superfecta.

RACE #9: ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING – 04:50 PM

Distance: 6 Furlongs (Dirt) | Purse: $71,000
The feature race of the day. High-caliber sprinters. Paco Lopez on Con Compania (2-1) is a formidable combination.

• WIN: (4) Con Compania (2-1)
• PLACE: (5) Rolando (9-2)
• SHOW: (2) Neshume (15-1)
• JOKER: (6) Urban Legend (15-1)
• EXOTICS: Exacta 4/5 Box; Trifecta 4/5/2 Box.

RACE #10: STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING – 05:20 PM

Distance: 5 Furlongs (Turf) | Purse: $42,000
The nightcap is a turf dash. Efficiency in the first 2 furlongs is the only metric that matters here.

• WIN: (2) Xy Speed (3-1)
• PLACE: (5) Esperon (9-2)
• SHOW: (9) Boat’s a Rockin (9-5)
• JOKER: (3) Biz Biz Buzz (8-1)
• SUMMARY: Finish the day strong with an Exacta box of the top three.

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MARKET INDEX AND VALUE REPORT

While individual horse picks are the foundation, successful bettors use the Market Index to gauge the overall “health” of the card. Are favorites winning at an unsustainable rate? Is the “Law of Averages” due to kick in for longshots?

On Sunday, April 5th, we are seeing a NEUTRAL sentiment on the favorites, with the exception of the turf routes (Races 1, 5, 7, 10). The dirt sprints show a higher variance, which is why we’ve labeled Bombs Away (Race 7) and Outlaw Country (Race 8) as high-leverage opportunities.

If you are following our NHL picks or NBA trends today, remember that the same mathematical principles of regression and “Value vs. Price” apply to the track.

MAXIMIZING YOUR RETURNS

The Raymond Report is designed to give you a clinical, data-first look at the races. By stripping away the “gut feeling” and focusing on raw metrics like trainer ITM%, jockey efficiency, and surface-specific speed, we provide a dashboard for success.

To get the full Sunday experience, including the Super Database and the 80% Club stats, join our community. For just $19.99/week, you get access to all premium tipsheets and the AIPL capper insights that help you stay ahead of the window.

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