NBA Home Court Advantages and Road Warriors – Post In-Season Tournament (12/10/23)

Analyzing the ATS (Against The Spread) records of NBA teams offers intriguing insights for sports fans and bettors alike. Here's a summary of interesting data points based on the provided statistics:

  1. Strong Home Court Advantage:
  • Teams like the Minnesota Timberwolves and Boston Celtics demonstrate a remarkable ability to cover the spread at home. The Timberwolves have an impressive 7-2 ATS record at home, while the Celtics are 8-2 ATS at home.
  • Conversely, the Los Angeles Clippers and Chicago Bulls struggle at home, with both teams having more losses than wins against the spread.
  1. Road Warriors:
  • The Milwaukee Bucks and Dallas Mavericks excel on the road, both having better ATS records away than at home. The Bucks are 5-5 ATS at home but improve to 5-5 on the road, while the Mavericks jump from 4-6 at home to 7-4 away.
  • Teams like the Utah Jazz and Charlotte Hornets have significantly worse road records, with the Jazz at 1-8 ATS and the Hornets at 4-5 ATS on the road.
  1. Overall Standouts:
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves (11-6 ATS) and the Los Angeles Lakers (14-10 ATS) stand out for their overall ATS performance.
  • In contrast, teams like the San Antonio Spurs (7-13 ATS) and Washington Wizards (10-11 ATS) have struggled to cover the spread overall.
  1. Underdog Surprises:
  • Teams like the Oklahoma City Thunder (14-6 ATS) and Indiana Pacers (12-9 ATS) have shown strong performances against the spread, indicating their potential as profitable underdog bets.
  • The Houston Rockets, despite a modest SU record, have an impressive 13-6 ATS record, making them a team to watch when betting against the spread.
  1. Struggling Favorites:
  • Some traditionally strong teams like the Golden State Warriors (9-12 ATS) and Memphis Grizzlies (9-12 ATS) have underperformed against the spread, suggesting caution when betting on them as favorites.
  1. O/U Trends:
  • Teams like the Milwaukee Bucks (16-6 O/U) and Dallas Mavericks (15-6 O/U) tend to be involved in high-scoring games that often go over the points total.
  • On the flip side, teams like the Los Angeles Lakers (9-15 O/U) and Denver Nuggets (9-13 O/U) have more games staying under the total points line.

This analysis reveals trends and patterns that could be crucial for making informed decisions in sports betting or fantasy sports. The data indicates that while some teams consistently perform well against the spread, others present more risk, and some might offer value as underdog picks. Additionally, home and road performances can significantly influence ATS outcomes, emphasizing the importance of considering location in betting strategies.