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Cleveland Browns (56.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (9.5) Preview (01/17/2021)

NFL Playoff PreviewKansas City Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill (10) reacts as he beats Tampa Bay Buccaneers strong safety Antoine Winfield Jr. (31) on a 75-yard touchown reception during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Nov. 29, 2020, in Tampa, Fla. (AP Photo/Mark LoMoglio)

Professional Sports Handicapper Ron Raymond has released his free NFL Preview and Prediction on Sunday’s NFL Playoff game between the Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs for Sunday, January 17th, 2021 at Arrowhead Stadium.

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LEAGUE:-RAYMOND REPORT LITE (NFL)

Cleveland Browns (56.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (9.5) Preview (01/17/2021)

Cleveland Browns +9.5   ( +330 ) Vs. Kansas City Chiefs (Total:56.5)Kansas City Chiefs -9.5  ( -417 ) Vs. Cleveland Browns (Total:56.5)
Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns
O/U :56.5

Vs.
Date: 2021-01-17
Time: 15:05:00

Generated from 3
Previous Games
Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs
SIDE :9.5

37Forecast
(O/U 72.25 )
35.25
3-2L5(SU)4-1
2-3-0L5(ATS)0-4-1
3-2-0L5(O/U)3-2-0
100%C.O.W44.44%
61%C.O.C79%
40%C.O.G.O40%
-0.16MSV-6.94
(A) NEUTRALPVI(A) NEUTRAL
2-2SU1-0
2-2-0ATS1-0-0
2-2-0O/U0-1-0
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL,NFL & NCAAF)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The ‘Law of Average’ edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.
BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

Types of Teams – When you look at League Standings, you have 3 types of teams.
Tier 1 Teams (A): 60% or higher (Above Average Teams = High Public Confidence = Low Rewards)
Tier 2 Teams (B): 50% to 59.9% (Average Teams = Moderate Public Confidence = Medium Rewards)
Tier 3 Teams (C): 49.9% or Lower (Below Average Teams = Low Public Confidence = High Rewards)

Raymond Report

NFL Market Condition Chart

Cleveland BrownsKansas City Chiefs
Line : 9.5Line : -9.5
MoneyLine : +330MoneyLine : -417
O/U : 56.5O/U : 56.5
Season Record :Season Record :
SU: 12-5ATS: 7-9-1O/U: 10-7-0
SU: 14-2ATS: 6-8-2O/U: 8-8-0
Home Record :Home Record :
SU: 6-2ATS: 3-5-0O/U: 5-3-0
SU: 6-2ATS: 3-5-0O/U: 3-5-0
Away Record :Away Record :
SU: 6-3ATS: 4-4-1O/U: 5-4-0
SU: 8-0ATS: 3-3-2O/U: 5-3-0
Last game: Win 48 – 37 vs PITTSBURGH STEELERSLast game: Lost 38 – 21 vs LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
SU: 6-8ATS: 7-5-2O/U: 7-6-1
SU: 28-11ATS: 22-15-2O/U: 17-20-2
Current game: vs. Kansas City ChiefsCurrent game: vs. Cleveland Browns
SU: 1-3ATS: 3-1-0O/U: 3-1-0
SU: 3-1ATS: 1-3-0O/U: 3-1-0
Next Game: Vs.Next Game: Vs.
SU: 0-0ATS: 0-0-0O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0ATS: 0-0-0O/U: 0-0-0
Days Rest : 6 (RD)Days Rest : 13 (HF)
(L) SU:  (27-66-0 )ATS:  (46-46-1 )O/U: (48-44-1)
(L) SU: ( 7-5-0)ATS:  (5-7-0)O/U: (6-6-0)
(T) SU: (3-1)ATS: (3-1-0)O/U: (3-1-0)
(T) SU: (0-0)ATS: (0-0-0)O/U: (0-0-0)
Streaks : 2 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 2 OverStreaks : 1 SU Lost – 2 ATS Lost – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.44%Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 66.67%
Situational StatsSituational Stats
Home Favorite: 5 Win -1 Lost   (PF)21.83 – (PA)18.67Home Favorite: 6 Win -1 Lost   (PF)28.43 – (PA)20
Home Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)37 – (PA)35Home Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)21 – (PA)38
Road Favorite: 3 Win -1 Lost   (PF)25 – (PA)22Road Favorite: 7 Win -0 Lost   (PF)31.29 – (PA)23.43
Road Underdog: 3 Win -2 Lost   (PF)30.2 – (PA)37.2Road Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)34 – (PA)20
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)29.33 – (PA)27.33Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)23.33 – (PA)27
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)30 – (PA)27Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)25 – (PA)24.8
Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (PF)31.14 – (PA)27.86Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)26.71 – (PA)25.57
Last 10 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (PF)25.6 – (PA)23.5Last 10 game: 9 Win 1 Lost   (PF)29.8 – (PA)23.5
Last 15 game: 11 Win 4 Lost   (PF)27.67 – (PA)25.87Last 15 game: 13 Win 2 Lost   (PF)29.27 – (PA)22.8
Situations (Cleveland Browns)Situations (Kansas City Chiefs)
Coming off a vs AFC North opponent (PIT)Coming off a vs AFC West opponent (LA)
Coming off a road underdog winComing off a home underdog lost
Coming off a 2 game winning streakComing off 1 over
Coming off 2 oversComing off a game scored 21 points or less
Coming off a game scored 40 points or moreComing off a game scored 38 points or more against
Coming off a game scored 38 points or less againstComing off 2 game home stand
Coming off 1 ATS winComing off 2 ATS lost
TrendsTrends
QueryATSSUO/U
QueryATSSUO/U
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as Home team as a Favorite – After 12 to 15 days off – Coming off vs American Conference opponent8-4-09-32-10-0
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as a -7.0 to -9.5 Favorite – After a division game – Coming off vs American Conference opponent12-13-122-415-11-0
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as a -7.0 to -9.5 Home Favorite – After a conference game – Coming off vs American Conference opponent11-12-120-413-11-0
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as a -7.0 to -9.5 Favorite – After a conference game – Coming off vs American Conference opponent16-16-128-522-11-0

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