Here's a market analysis for the NHL game between the St. Louis Blues and the Ottawa Senators on February 19, 2023.
The Ottawa Senators are the home team and the favorites to win the game with a money line of -164, while the St. Louis Blues are the underdogs with a money line of +145. The over/under for the game is set at 6.5.
Looking at the market conditions, home teams have a slight advantage in the NHL this season, winning 52.78% of their games overall and 56.36% of their games in the last 30 days. Home favorites have not performed well against the spread, covering only 36.41% of the time this season and 44.03% of the time in the last 30 days.
The Ottawa Senators have a bullish PVI-C, meaning they have a slight advantage as the home favorites. They have performed well as home favorites, covering the spread 57.89% of the time this season and 50% of the time in the last 10 games. The Senators also have a higher chance of going over the 6.5 O/U, with a COGO of 52%.
The St. Louis Blues have a neutral PVI-C, meaning they have an even chance of performing as the road underdogs. They have performed well as road underdogs, covering the spread 60% of the time this season and 70% of the time in the last 10 games. The Blues have a slightly bearish VIC-C and a lower COGO of 48%, indicating a lower likelihood of going over the 6.5 O/U.
Overall, the market conditions and PVI analysis suggest that the Ottawa Senators are the favorites to win the game, especially with their bullish PVI-C and higher COGO. However, the St. Louis Blues may be worth considering as an underdog bet, especially if they are able to cover the spread as they have done in their recent games.
