Market Conditions: Toronto Maple Leafs (-270) vs. Chicago Blackhawks (6.5)
Game Time: 18:00:00 – February 19, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs: The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game as the clear favorites with a money line of -270. They are also playing on their home ice, where they have been performing well this season. In terms of their recent performance, the Maple Leafs are coming off a convincing 5-1 win against the Montreal Canadiens, giving them a two-game winning streak. In their last 10 games, they have a record of 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS, and 5-5 O/U.
Chicago Blackhawks: The Chicago Blackhawks are the underdogs in this matchup, with a money line of +220. They have been struggling this season and have a poor overall record of 17-37 SU. However, they come into this game off a 4-3 win against the Ottawa Senators, giving them a one-game winning streak. In their last 10 games, they have a record of 3-7 SU, 3-7 ATS, and 5-5 O/U.
Market Conditions Analysis: Looking at the overall market conditions in the NHL, home teams have a slight advantage, winning 52.78% of their games overall and 56.36% of their games in the last 30 days. Home favorites, however, have not been performing well ATS, covering only 36.41% of the time this season and 44.03% of the time in the last 30 days.
In terms of PVI analysis, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a neutral PVI-A, indicating that they do not have a significant advantage playing at home. However, they have been performing well as road favorites, covering the spread 52.94% of the time this season and in the last 30 days. The Chicago Blackhawks have a bearish PVI-C, suggesting that they may struggle as the underdogs on the road. They have performed poorly as road underdogs, covering the spread only 40% of the time this season and in the last 30 days.
Overall, the market conditions and PVI analysis suggest that the Toronto Maple Leafs are the favorites to win the game, but bettors may want to be cautious with the high money line. The Blackhawks, despite their poor overall record, have shown some signs of improvement lately, and their recent win streak could provide a boost of momentum. The O/U line is set at 6.5, and bettors may want to consider the Over given the recent scoring trends of both teams.