Basketball picks

NBA Game #3 Preview: Oklahoma City Thunder (218) vs. Dallas Mavericks (-2.5) – (05/11/24)

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🗓 Date: May 11, 2024
⏰ Time: 3:30 PM
📍 Venue: Dallas

The stage is set for a thrilling showdown as the Oklahoma City Thunder, boasting a solid record of 62-26, go head-to-head against the Dallas Mavericks, who have an impressive tally of 55-35 this season. With the Thunder coming off a recent loss and the Mavericks riding the wave of a win, both teams are looking to assert dominance in this closely contested matchup.

Game Details:

  • Spread: Mavericks -2.5
  • Total: 218 points
  • Oklahoma City Thunder Moneyline: +133
  • Dallas Mavericks Moneyline: -147

Current Streaks and Recent Performance:

  • Oklahoma City Thunder:
  • SU: 9-1 in the last 10 games
  • ATS: 8-2 in the last 10 games
  • Coming off a loss against the Mavericks with a score of 119-110
  • Dallas Mavericks:
  • SU: 5-5 in the last 10 games
  • ATS: 5-5 in the last 10 games
  • Coming off a win over the Thunder with the same scoreline

Key Metrics and Insights:

  • Chances of Winning (C.O.W): Mavericks hold a slight edge with a 50% probability compared to the Thunder's 46.03%.
  • Market Spread Value (MSV): Indicates slight undervaluation of the Thunder at -7.66 and the Mavericks at -2.35.
  • Performance Value Index (PVI): Both teams are marked as ‘Bullish' indicating strong recent performances.
  • Chances of Covering (C.O.C): Nearly equal for both teams, suggesting a tight contest against the spread.
  • Chances Game Going OVER (C.O.G.O): Both teams have a 49% chance, indicating a potential to hit over the total of 218 points.


This game is poised to be a nail-biter given the competitive nature of both teams and their recent forms. With the series getting heated, the slight edge in home advantage and recent momentum might tip the scales in favor of the Mavericks. However, the Thunder's resilience and ability to bounce back should not be underestimated. Expect a high-intensity game likely pushing towards a high score, closely contesting the set total.

Will the Mavericks extend their winning streak or will the Thunder make a strong comeback? Don't miss out on this exciting NBA action! 🏀